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1/25 & 1/27 Clipper Threats


mitchnick

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NAM and GFS have been painting some qpf over the area, with the GFS the better of the two

Today's 12Z NAM give DCA-.03, IAD-.01 and BWI-.07

NE is where you want to be with MTN at .11 and Matt's favorite east coast town of PHL with .18

 

6Z GFS gave BWI-.06, DCA-.04 and IAD-.03

 

1/2"-1" is probably the best we can hope for barring a miracle band setting up east of the mts.

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RGEM looks like all the other models at 48...Nice precip shield in the OH Valley that then gets shredded by downsloping in the later frames.

700mb RH field is much better than most, though GFS is close

in a nutshell, it's going to come down to how many squalls pass over anyone's particular location

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