January 22/23rd 2005 Blizzard Recap

[Typhoon Tip]

my bad ..

I don't think winds officially met criteria this past event, but I could be wrong.

 

The title refers to this as 22nd/23rd 2005 blizzard, so it's not your bad. I should have been more clear - sorry. 

[ma blizzard]

The title refers to this as 22nd/23rd 2005 blizzard, so it's not your bad. I should have been more clear - sorry.

all good .. looking at the nantucket obs, they came close to verifying blizzard conditions between 8 and 10 am. I could find any other obs that were more impressive, especially the wind

http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KACK.html

[Chris L]

Was this better or on par than February 2013 blizzard?

[Absolute Humidity]

That was my 4th all time favorite storm. Even down here in Central Jersey, I measured 20."

[Whineminster]

I remember there was easily two feet in Natick....then I drove out to UMass the next day for spring semester and they barely had a foot there in death valley I seem to recall

[danstorm]

I remember DT talking about this was a lower ma hit. Finally the euro about 5-6 days out locked in and I recall well his post..."no 50/50 low, storm going north, I'm going to blow my brains out"....

Euro looked sweet MLK day. I go into work the following Friday telling everyone were getting a huge blizzard. They all say they're hearing 1-3. I told then that by the time they go home tonight the hype machine will be full blast.

Meanwhile, in the background was a planned trip with my family to Chicago. I bald faced bailed....could not miss this blockbuster. What a great storm! Guidance trended better and better right up to the event itself. Then a few days later a potent clipper. A great winter that was!

Remember it like it was yesterday... spent it with my best friend on the S Shore... had ~30 but who the hell knows with the wind.

Tied with 1996 for best all time (though Boxing Day and Jan 11-12, 2011 right up there).

[danstorm]

Incidentally another spurious BOS measurement in that event. Everyone else were 26-28 in the area.

And the period following was cold... and the 8" clipjoint, too... remember being surprised that am digging the car out on Comm Ave expecting 1-3... several great March storms, too...what a winter.

[H2Otown_WX]

Missed out in WNE getting 10". You know it's a huge storm when getting 10" is missing out. The memory that stands out most vividly for me was Jeff Morrow of TWC getting hammered in downtown Boston. Those rates were something to behold, wish I could've experienced it firsthand. 

[codfishsnowman]

You said it best - You knew before this storm started that you were About to Witness History. Just like in 2013. Same Level.

27", 4th Best at the time, now 5th Best All-Time.

I remember that I was with college friends at the Cheesecake Factory the Saturday a week before the storm and we were standing outside when one of the kids in the group (a Trombone player) told me "Hey Cory, you're the weather guy, I heard there's going to be a Big Storm this weekend, like Big.", to this day, I still don't know where he heard that from as from my knowledge this storm wasn't modeled That well That far beforehand. But some met on TV Clearly said it cause ho else would he talk about it. I just thought it was a Clipper at that point.

I remember during the week, waking up (I didn't watch models back then) and sneaking to the lobby where we had one computer in this weird metal box for the whole floor and checking the NWS website. I didn't want to wake my roommate up (we all used to stay up Very late on that floor, was am amazing year), so I'd go out there. I got a reputation for being the weather guy cause anyone that would walk by would always see weather stuff that I was looking at. HEY! It was the Winter of 2004-2005!! What do you Expect! #1 Overall at 122"! I Remember the First snowfall that year in November because I had my bed backed up against the window and I laid my head there and opened the window, letting the snow fall on me for that storm. Remember it like it was a minute ago.

So the day before the storm, I'm getting my stuff ready to head home on the train, I look at the NWS and BAM! Blizzard Warnings are going up, and the forecast is for 20"-20", Well upped form the day before which was only 10"-20". I was ecstatic. BUT, I wake up early the next day and run to that old computer, and BAM BAM! "....20"-30" with amounts in Northern RI possibly at 2 to 3 Feet...." AHHHHHHHH!! (Which verified by the way). I went home and went to Ronnie Catano's house, God I still remember all of that. He was a friend of my dad's near the South Attleboro Train Station and he said Come On we'll just go see him quickly, but I wanted to get home. I was frantically on my phone as I had Just gotten internet on my Windows phone for the first time months earlier. That was a new thing!

I turned on the Weather Channel and Could Not believe it; One of the Only time ever (until it's now become a media weather whore) that it WASN'T Conservative - Storm Total of 26" - 34". I remember it vividly. (ALSO, Verified). It began to snow and I ran home and Finished Chute with Nick (CN Mountain, now you get it), one of our famous trails today. It was a trail that had to be Massively engineered with much wood. And we finished it just as we hit 2" of snow. A Great memory - Finishing a new trail as a historic storm begins.

That night, I remember rocketing to 18" when we had a 30 minute period of 4" per hour, but we never did anything like Feb. 7th, 2003. Which I'm happy about, because that storm will always stand on its own to me, as small as it was.

The next day (I hardly got sleep like in 2013) we started sledding early even though the snow hadn't stopped (Usually a Rule I have at CN Mountain), and remember running to the snow board Constantly and remember when we hit 24". I ran down to the guys and said via Napolan Dynomite - "I GOT YOUR 24 PIECE SET RIGHT HERE!" The first since the Great April Fool's Day Blizzard 8 years earlier.

Had about 22.5" on the ground at the end. 27" Storm Total. What a 2 day period. I'll never forget it. I Skipped school the rest of the week and everyone did and I HAVE MUCH Footage from all the sledding that week. I retired my blue sled which got damaged on a jump we built on Gateway. Still have it, all broken and such. What helped the school cancellations as everyone remembers is that we had an 8.5" storm on the Wednesday JUST as Boston was done clearing the snow from the Blizzard. Now, they had no where to put it, and maybe we had class Friday at NEC, But I stayed home. 8 days of Straight Sledding. It was beyond Special. It was, The Blizzard of 2005 Week.

On it's way to a Record Breaking 122".

Musically and Snowily -

Cory Pesaturo "The Snowman"

thats a great story man but the 27 storm total with just under 23 on the ground is why i dont like the six hour measurements

[codfishsnowman]

forever bitter about all the failed forecasts for two feet of snow in death valley, and i remember the afd saying cef to bdl in on the big accums....and wouldnt you know another last minute tick east that leaves HALF of sne with HALF the forecasted snow and most from the clipper....this is only a memorable storm for the eastern half of sne......i think forecasters knew saturday it was gonna bomb a bit further east and would leave the western half of sne with less snow but forecasts werent changed and bc it was frigid and 8 to 12 fell who would know the difference back here, hated that storm and the clipper only put down three to five over much of this area a few days later......again esne jackpot

[codfishsnowman]

that thing was a real beast but just goes to show that these big events which are redeveloping clippers seem like they cannot bomb close enough to the coast and pass inside the bm when the arctic airmass of that magnitude is in place and the precip fields seem to be tighter too, why are the models not better at picking up on this until the last minute?? i knew those big forecasts were suspicious back this way i mean how often does this area get over 10 inches from a storm with no souther. stream origin lol

[Randy4Confluence]

That was the most tragic storm of my life...because I had to miss it. I already had a visit with my parents planned out of town, and so I was committed. I remember driving to Logan that Sat. morning with the temp in my car reading around 0 (even in Boston) and eventually getting on the plane (Sat morning) feeling bitter sweet because i was glad to visit my fam but fealt sad that going to miss out. When I was with my parents the next day, the news of the storm wad all over the Tv and so I asked my parents if we ciuld please not watch it.

[Ginx snewx]

snowfall

[Ginx snewx]

Pics

[jamesnichols1989]

Most epic blizzard ever!

[Ginx snewx]

pics from my work

[Ginx snewx]

Most epic blizzard ever!

for your life span in Cape Cod but 78 and 13 got it beat back here

[N. OF PIKE]

How did salem ma to Haverhill get 3' on a weenie

SSE-NNW strip . Was there some weird band. I can see salem near coast w O.E but is that Haverhill measurement legit?

[CoastalWx]

How did salem ma to Haverhill get 3' on a weenie

SSE-NNW strip . Was there some weird band. I can see salem near coast w O.E but is that Haverhill measurement legit?

 

No I thought it seemed over the top.

[SouthCoastMA]

Measured 26"-28" of snow depth in Wareham after it was over.

[wx2fish]

No I thought it seemed over the top.

I guess it could be legit, but I always thought it seemed a little high. I got 18-20" 12-15 miles NW of them. N Andover reported close to 30" though I think.

[ORH_wxman]

I had about 2 feet in this one...though 15 miles west got sliced down to about 16"...there was def a gradient just W of ORH.

 

 

The wind/snow combo was spectacular in this one, though Feb 2013 beat it last year back in my area (the Cape is diff story). 2005 was a much colder storm though, we spent most of the storm near 10F...I think it crept up to around 16F or so near the peak of it. It started in the lower single digits. The excitement of the storm lifting north in the final 48 hours was fun to watch. By 4 days out, it was apparent we'd def at least get some accumulating snow inland (the Cape was already looking at a massive storm by this point)...but then that final tick NW was in the last couple of days leading up to the storm. The ETA came a little too far NW as those in the CT valley surely can relate to...but overall it schooled the GFS in the storm which was woefully too far SE.

[codfishsnowman]

i have been going back over some of the old threads on the storm, really is amazing....its hard to keep a clear head out here with all the misses or missing out on the real goods in an event....but jan 05 is an esp bitter pill to swallow bc it did get captured by the upper low , just didnt get tucked in enough due to the arctic air mass. i was in the noho area that week and after the clipper the snow depth was only 14 inches while those to the east were two to three and a half feet buried

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Thats the gfs i know, "woefully too far SE."

[Brian5671]

anyone have a good radar loop of this one?

[Ginx snewx]

anyone have a good radar loop of this one?

http://www.sneweatherconf.org/2006presentations.shtml

[Ginx snewx]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
515 AM EST THU JAN 20 2005
.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
ONE TO AS MUCH AS 4 INCHES OF FLUFFY SNOW HAS FALLEN IN RESPONSE TO
DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE CWA OVERNIGHT. BACK EDGE OF STEADIER
SNOW NOW MOVING ACROSS RI INTO SE MA AND WILL EXIT THE CAPE JUST
AFTER SUNRISE.
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE A BIT LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH WINDS/COLD PUNCH
AND HAVE ALLOWED CLOSED UPPER LOW EVOLVING TO OUR NE TO LIFT OUT
SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN EARLIER RUNS. THIS RESULTS IN A BIT LESS WIND
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND MOS TEMPS THAT ARE A BIT MILDER TODAY.
GIVEN FRESH SNOW - HAVE FOLLOWED A BLEND OF MOS GDNC SHADING TEMPS
COLDER THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN SNOW COVER AND FOR TONIGHT AS WELL GIVEN
EXPECTED RAD COOLING AND DIMINISHING WINDS. GRADIENT TIGHTENS LATE
TONIGHT AND FRI AS SECOND DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH AND THAT SHOULD
DO A FEW THINGS; NOTABLY INCREASING THE WINDS AGAIN FRI AND BASED ON
BOTH NAM AND OUR LOCAL ETA10 - BEGIN OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ON
CAPE COD. TIMING THIS TO START JUST BEFORE SUNRISE FRI AND LASTING
INTO EARLY SAT MORNING.
WITH DROP IN TEMPS BUT ALSO DROP IN WINDS OVERNIGHT...WIND CHILL
VALUES WILL COME VERY CLOSE TO LOCAL CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS
NRN MA AND SW NEW HAMPSHIRE. WILL FORGO AN ADVISORY ON THIS FCST
PKG FOR NW MA GIVEN MARGINAL NATURE BUT WILL ISSUE ALONG SIDE GYX
FOR NH ZONES WHERE -20 TO -25C CHILLS APPEAR MOST LIKELY IN THE 5Z
TO 14Z TIME FRAME.
&&
.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
LOOKS LIKE WINTER HAS LOCKED IN AT LEAST FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE
LONG TERM...THEN TRIES TO 'WARM' UP TO FREEZING BY THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK...AND EVEN NUDGING 40 BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK THOUGH IT
LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER COLD SURGE WILL WORK BACK IN AFTER THAT.
HOWEVER...WITH THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS DUE TO MAJOR
DIFFERENCES EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WILL NOT HANG MY HAT ON
THE WARM UP JUST YET.
LOOKS LIKE WILL CONTINUE THE CAPE SNOW BAND EVENT AS THE ETA/NAM AND
EVEN THE MESOETA HINT AT THE BACKING INVERTED TROUGH INTO THAT
REGION. THAT...ALONG WITH THE CONTINUED ONSHORE TRAJECTORY OVER
THE RELATIVELY WARMER WATER...WILL SEE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE OUTER PART OF THE CAPE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EXPECT THESE TO END AS WINDS BACK TO A
NORTHWEST DIRECTION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND...EVEN WITH WINDS BEGINNING TO
DIMINISH...WILL HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT POSSIBLE WIND CHILL ADVISORY
FOR THIS PERIOD.
NOW...THE BIG QUESTION OF THIS SHIFT IS WHICH SET OF MODELS TO
BELIEVE WITH REGARD TO THE NEXT WEATHER MAKER TO APPROACH THE REGION
OVER THE WEEKEND. CURRENT TIMING HAS SNOW ARRIVING OVER FAR
SOUTHWESTERN ZONES BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...CONTINUING SATURDAY
NIGHT...THEN ENDING SUNDAY. THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCES OCCUR BETWEEN THE
ETA/NAM...WHICH BRINGS CLIPPER LOW OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST AND
DEEPENS IT ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE 40N LATITUDE LINE...WHILE THE
GFS KEEPS IT MUCH FURTHER SOUTH AND WEAKER BUT STILL THROWING A
DECENT AMOUNT OF SNOW INTO THE REGION WITH THE MOST OCCURRING ALONG
THE SOUTH COAST...CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. COMPLICATING MATTERS IS
THAT SOME OF THE MODEL SUITE...SUCH AS THE ECMWF...IS LEANING TOWARD
THE ETA...WHILE OTHERS ARE LEANING TOWARD THE GFS. WILL SPLIT THE
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS AT THIS POINT. THIS IS VERY CLOSE
TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...THOUGH DECIDED TO BRING THE LIKELY POPS
SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH TO ALONG THE MASS PIKE. WILL KEEP THE MOST
SNOW ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR NOW.
WILL END THE PRECIP DURING SUNDAY...THOUGH SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER
OVER THE MID AND OUTER CAPE DUE TO MORE OCEAN EFFECTS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM
LARGE CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THIS
HIGH SUPPRESSES SOUTH BY MONDAY MORNING...ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WORKS
SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN QUEBEC. THIS FRONT WORKS SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT
OR TUESDAY. APPEARS TO BE RATHER DRY THOUGH COULD SEE SOME SNOW
SHOWERS ON TUESDAY THANKS TO MORE COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT. THERE
APPEARS TO BE YET ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW AS ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES DURING WEDNESDAY.
&&



5am Jan 20th. 

NAM/Euro FTW. 

#10ORH_wxman

SNE wx FOCUS

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• Meteorologist
• 
• 48,610 posts

• Location:KORH

Posted 20 October 2010 - 07:20 PM

AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
132 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
...MAJOR WINTER STORM NOW OUTLOOKED FOR THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF SNE
AND MAY BECOME MAJOR FOR RI AS WELL...
.WATCHES AND STATEMENTS...
WIND CHILL ADVY PROBABLY CONTD THIS MORNING.
GOING UP FOR MUCH OF THE REGION (STILL UNDETERMINED FINAL BUT
ROUGHLY) ALONG AND SE OF A LWM-ORH-CEF LINE FOR SAT AFTN AND NIGHT
EXCEPT LASTING INTO SUN MORNING CC AND ISLANDS.
WSW WILL UPDATE ARD 5AM AS SOON AS WE CAN TO INCORP THE WC ADVY AND
THE WATCH.
ADDITIONALLY WE WILL ISSUE A MWS CAUTIONING MARINERS ABOUT BEING OUT
TO THE E AND S OF CC SAT NIGHT THRU SUNDAY WHEN WE THINK WE MAY SEE
55-65KT GUSTS AND RAPIDLY RISING AND VERY STEEP SEAS DUE TO COLD BL
TRANSFER.
MODELS: UKMET/ETA/GFS/NGM ARE MERGING. SUMM5 LOOKING PRETTY GOOD AND
WE CAN SEE OCEAN EFFECT CONTRIB AND WIND BIG PBLMS FOR ACK-PLYMOUTH
-BARNSTABLE COUNTIES. NEW 00Z/21 ECMWF FOR 00Z MONDAY HAS A CLOSED
5H LOW JUST E OF THE BENCHMARK! THIS IS HAPPENING AND MAYBE BIGGER
THAN WE'RE GOING NOW--WE WILL PLAY CONSERVATIVE AND ITS A GOOD
THING THIS IS PROGRESSIVE AND MAINLY SATURDAY NIGHT!
COMMA HEAD: WATCH THE HANG BACK SUNDAY...NOW THAT TROF IS SLOWING
SLIGHTLY...FEED INTO THE 5H TROF. WITH A 7H LOW...CSI BUT MODELED
ONLY S COAST CSI DEPTH LOOKS A LITTLE SHALLOW ON THE 00Z/21 ETRA
BUT FRONTOGEN FIELD PRETTY IMPRESSIVE ALL THE WAY INTO CENTRAL NEW
ENGLAND! SO HOW CLEAR THE CSI SIGNAL ATTM...NOT PERFECT BUT NEEDS TO
BE REEXAMINED OTHER MODELS AND LATER RUNS.
SNOWFALL: THIS HAS FOOT POTENTIAL...ESP PLYMOUTH COUNTY SEWD. THATS
POTENTIAL... THATS NOT A LOCK YET. 21Z SREF HAS 5" 24 HR ACC ALL
SNE WITH 5-10 VARIABILITY SE NEW ENGLAND. ADDITIONALLY THE SREF 24
HR PROB OF 4" IS 50 PCT ALL SNE WITH 70 PCT CT SRN RI AND CC!
8" PROBS ARE AS FOLLOW 50 PCT FOR FOR CT...RI SE MASS WITH 30 PCT 24
HR ACC OF 8" TO AN ORE-PSM LINE! 12" PROBS FROM THE
CONSERVATIVE SREF... 10 PCT BDL-PYM SWD 30 PCT SRN RI AND CC.
NO PROB FOR 16 ATTM!
&&
.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY)...
OES SNOW TO BE HANDLED BY USING THE BOX 00Z/21 ETA10 AND SUMM5.
MAINLY FLIRTING WITH PVC TDY THEN SLIDING A BIT SWD LATE TONIGHT
(FRI NIGHT) BEFORE TURNING WEST TOMORROW-SATURDAY AND EVAPORATING
EXCEPT REFORMING E OF CAPE ANN AND ARRIVING IPSWICH/BVY ARD 22Z JUST
AS SNOWSTORM ARRIVES FM THE WEST. INFO EMBEDDED IN NEW WSW ISSUANCE
LATER THIS MORNING.
SNOWGROWTH LATE SAT STORM...LOOKS PRETTY GOOD! THINKING WE MAY
HANDLE THIS ENTIRE EVENT WITH 10 TO 1 EXCEPT 4 HRS OF 15 TO WEST I95
AND MAYBE 6HRS OF 15 TO 1 I95 E...ESP PLYMOUTH AND BARSNTABLE
COUNTIES.
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW I95 AND HILLS! WE ARE SEEING POTENTIAL
FOR 40 KTS INTERIOR HILLS AND 55 KT AT ACK WITH CW GUSTS AT BUOYS
018/BUZ CMAN OF 55-65 KT POSSIBLE IF ETA IS CORRECT. 10 KT LESS ON
THE GFS BUT THE GFS IS COMING NORTH SO THE MERGER MIGHT END UP 5 TO
8KT LESS THAN THE ETA.
WILL UPDATE WITH DETAILS LATER...
PNS FOR LAST EVENT WILL CORRECT AND ADD A FEW VALUES ARD 7AM. 

#11ORH_wxman

SNE wx FOCUS

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• Meteorologist
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• 48,610 posts

• Location:KORH

Posted 20 October 2010 - 07:33 PM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
515 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2005
.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)...
BLOCKBUSTER STORM ON THE WAY AND BLIZZARD WARNINGS HAVE NOW BEEN
ISSUED.
FIRST...SOME SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS CAPE COD
BAY...EASTERN CAPE COD...AND NANTUCKET EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. AS THE WINDS TURN TO THE NE THEN E THIS
MORNING...THE SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD DRIFT WESTWARD AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF EASTERN MA LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.
LOW PRESSURE NOW IN INDIANA WILL MOVE E THEN NE AND ALL MODELS NOW
BRING THIS TO NEAR OR JUST INSIDE THE BENCHMARK LOCATION OF 40N 70W
AT 12Z SUN. ITS FORWARD PROGRESS IS SLOWED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THE UPPER LOW. MICHIGAN IS LOOKING AT UP TO 20 INCHES AND THAT IS
WITHOUT HAVING TAPPED ATLANTIC MOISTURE YET!
BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN MA AND AREAS SOUTH
OF THE MASS PIKE...NORTHERN CT...AND RI. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
REACH 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ALONG THE COAST AND AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS LATE TONIGHT...AND FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE REST
OF THE BLIZZARD WARNING REGION. WITH TREMENDOUS VERTICAL MOTION
FROM 00Z TO 12Z TONIGHT ALL IN THE SNOW GROWTH REGION...SNOWFALL
RATES OF 3-4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED. STORM TOTALS OF 20-30
INCHES ARE FORECAST WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE CORRIDOR BOUNDED BY
AN AREA FROM BOSTON TO WORCESTER TO ATTLEBORO TO PLYMOUTH. AMOUNTS
IN NORTHERN CT AND SPRINGFIELD AREA SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE 20
INCHES. THE SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE BASED ON A BLEND OF THE ETA AND GFS
QPF FORECAST...WITH BETWEEN A 15-20 TO 1 SNOWFALL RATIO.
A HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR CLOSER TO 12-20 INCHES IS FORECAST FOR THE
NW PART OF THE REGION...WHICH INCLUDES NW MA AND
CHESHIRE/HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN NH. WINDS WILL BE STRONG
THERE TOO...BUT NOT QUITE ENOUGH FOR A BLIZZARD FOR NOW.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TRANSFER DOWNWARD IN A BLAST
JUST BEFORE AND AROUND DAYBREAK. FWC WINDS ARE 38 KNOTS SUSTAINED
AT BDL...THE HIGHEST I CAN RECALL SEEING. EVEN IF THE WINDS ARE NOT
QUITE THAT STRONG IN THE CT VALLEY...DECIDED ON BLIZZARD BECAUSE AN
ADDED FACTOR IS THE EXTREME COLD. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURE STRICTLY IS
NOT A CRITERIA...AT THESE TEMPERATURES GETTING STUCK IN A CAR WILL
BE POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING.
THE 06Z ETA HAS THE LOW GOING INSIDE THE BENCHMARK WHICH LEADS TO
MORE POTENTIAL FOR CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND OR RAIN OVER THE ISLANDS
AND EASTERN CAPE COD...FOR A TIME LATE TONIGHT...BUT NOT BEFORE A
FOOT OR MORE OCCURS THERE.
.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
COMING SOON.
&&
.AVIATION...
COMING SOON.
&&
.MARINE...
COMING SOON.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY UNTIL 7 AM SUNDAY FOR
CTZ002...CTZ003...CTZ004.
MA...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY UNTIL 7 AM SUNDAY FOR
MAZ002...MAZ003...MAZ004...MAZ008...MAZ010...MAZ026.
BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY UNTIL 6 PM SUNDAY FOR
MAZ005...MAZ006...MAZ007...MAZ012...MAZ013...MAZ014...
MAZ015...MAZ016...MAZ017...MAZ018...MAZ019...MAZ020...
MAZ021...MAZ022...MAZ023...MAZ024.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 7 AM SUNDAY UNTIL 2 PM SUNDAY
FOR MAZ007 MAZ015...MAZ016...MAZ019...MAZ022...MAZ023...
MAZ024.
BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY UNTIL 7 AM SUNDAY FOR
MAZ009...MAZ011.
NH...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY UNTIL 7 AM SUNDAY FOR
NHZ011...NHZ012...NHZ015.
RI...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY UNTIL 6 PM SUNDAY FOR
RIZ001...RIZ002...RIZ003...RIZ004...RIZ005...RIZ006...
RIZ007...RIZ008. 

 

[CoastalWx]

In terms of ferocity, this storm was the best for me. April Fools blizzard is still my overall number 1 from where I was on the SW side of Boston, but my location in Marshfield in 2005 allowed me to experience the power of the storm. I had about 27" in Marshfield give or take. Wind made it impossible, it was a guess measurement. I had more in the April Fools Blizz....but the ferocity was unmatched in 2005. That was pure power and still the worst conditions I have ever been out in. 

[N. OF PIKE]

Hopin for a feb blockbuster w a late capture and a block

[RCNYILWX]

Not to derail the thread's focus on impacts in SNE, but one thing that impressed me was the strength of the deformation snows way back northwest into central NY. I was at Colgate University at the time and we had about 18" of snow from the storm, all with a temperature around 0 degrees. That was some of the coldest snow I've ever experienced. Was certainly following the impacts to NE at school and by all accounts they seem more extreme than what I experienced out here in the Chicago area with the February 1-2 2011 Groundhog Day blizzard. Given that it was the most extreme blizzard I have personally experienced even having been in NYC for the blizzard of 96, I can only imagine what 2-3' of snow and those winds must have been like.

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