BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The individual members of the GEFS look fairly good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Hey Burger do you have 72 yet? I have the 500 height setup on instant weather maps. Does it look like it's already more neutral than positive or did 60 already look that way My 5h maps are pretty tough to read for individual pieces of energy but the overall trough looks slightly more east out to 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 @96 looks a little better than 00z. Looks like that giant PV is retreating more. Snow breaking out over the panhandle of TX. Let's see where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 @96 looks a little better than 00z. Looks like that giant PV is retreating more. Snow breaking out over the panhandle of TX. Let's see where it goes.Comparing 5h from hour 96 on the 12z and 120hr on the 0z it looks like the orientation of the digging is more west which should hopefully translate to something here in a minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It's trying its best to turn the flow from the wsw, but don't know if it's going to make it. Don't think it will look 12z Canadianish, but maybe MOTO can compare to see how it looks at 500 compared to the other 12z's from the past three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 some pretty significant differences at 96 hours between the GFS and EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 114 snow across parts of western GA all of NC and SC very light though but looks better than the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It should be better than 0z but not as good as 12z yesterday. Will see shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 114 snow across parts of western GA all of NC and SC very light though but looks better than the 00z. It should start cranking at 120ish... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 some pretty significant difference at 96 hours between the GFS and EC.Yea the free 5h setup they offer is not good trying to decipher over a phone haha what are you seeing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 @120 WNC is loosing QPF not much across SC but wetter for portions of eastern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Pretty much in between the 12z GFS and the 12z GEM, not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Euros not too bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 @126 she is pulling away. Euro this round says it's a coastal special. As was stated better than 00z but not as good as 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Yea the free 5h setup they offer is not good trying to decipher over a phone haha what are you seeing The difference at 5H is amazing for only 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Euro starting to trend back a little west from the last run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Boy 5h at 120 looks sick just want to see it more west so it can turn the bend anyone with where the low placement is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 it looked promising initially but it's actually a bit drier even on the coast. Nothing inland to speak of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxgeek Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 As an interesting note about next weeks event.... NWS Tallahassee, Fl has something that strikes me as rather unusual...in the middle of the day, changed their extended forecast for some of their zones: Tuesday Night A chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 it looked promising initially but it's actually a bit drier even on the coast. Nothing inland to speak of. Based on SV snow maps it's actually snowier for places like CHS And SAV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 This tells you all you need to know in determining if an event is snow, sleet, freezing rain or rain: http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/trend/ Nomograms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Good 700mb RH across eastern 2/3 of NC with the trough axis to the west would seem favorable for a good period of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 great run for coastal sc/nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The euro has a slightly more amplified and maybe a touch further west trough through 96 hours but by the time it gets here, the trough and surface low off the east coast is actually faster...probably part of the reason it's a little drier but not by much. Again very sharp gradient with a decent snow on the coast but hardly nothing just a few tens of miles inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Euro get's about .1" to Chapel-Hill, .2" to RDU, 4" to I-95 and 0.5" to PGV. Hopefully the mean is wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Based on SV snow maps it's actually snowier for places like CHS And SAV. yeah, it's virtually identical in terms of sensible weather conditions vs the 0z run along the coast. The gradient over south ga/sc is even sharper though which is why I say it's a little drier. It really is splitting hairs though. Bottom line is, it's very close to the 0z run overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 WxBell clown maps have 9.5" on Myrtle Beach, SC and 10" near Oak Island, NC. Coast special indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 This run of the Euro says round number 2 right behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Lexington, SC is dry. 0.2 snow misses my house by 3 miles it seems; haha! Anyway; expect yet another wonderful EPS run WPC/HPC have been going with the ensembles for this period since the op has not been consistent. Just remember; there was no storm really at all until 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 This run of the Euro says round number 2 right behind it. yeah a very weak disturbance gives north ga some very light snow at hour 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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