ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Looks like our wintry weather continues. Latest Wxsim has 2 more snow events by this coming Monday. With 1-1.5" of snow on Saturday and around 4" of snow on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 While these two events could be some fun, I am really interested in the time period in the beginning of the month/first week of feb Both of these 500mb patterns are exciting; GFS) EURO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Looks like our wintry weather continues. Latest Wxsim has 2 more snow events by this coming Monday. With 1-1.5" of snow on Saturday and around 4" of snow on Monday. The one on the 27th Ive been gung ho about for nearly 10 days. Actually had a thread I made deleted by the mods for being too soon in the game lol. That's the one to watch thoufh the HM storm might have legs as well! Nice active pattern! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 WHats the HM storm Ralph? Does HM like a certain period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 WHats the HM storm Ralph? Does HM like a certain period? wiggum storm 27th, hm storm 29th-ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Next week should be interesting for our area up here in the LV. Seems south of us has been the place to live this year. Congrats to you in the fruitful zones. Ways to go before next week but at least there's something to track. It was like crickets in here. No real blocking forecast so these storms should come in and out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 12Z GFS appears to have shifted north with the Monday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 LV / Poconos really need a 12+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 LV / Poconos really need a 12+ storm. Either need a storm really close to the coast(with this cold) or a really strong SLP to attack us while the cold is retreating(classic I-95 battleground storm). I think you will get your wish this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 0z models so far are more aggressive with Saturday's snow...2-4" NW of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 LV / Poconos really need a 12+ storm. Add Berks to that list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 0z models so far are more aggressive with Saturday's snow...2-4" NW of I-95.Enjoy it, as this run is cold and dry long range out 8 days or so.Wig gum storm looks to be dead on arrival Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Models consistent on 1-4" event sat more N and less south and east. Several threats next week but nothing solid yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 6z Wxsim has snow arriving after noon with 1.5" to 2.0" of snow for NW Chester County tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Add Berks to that list Add York to that list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 nam 12z sim radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 2" looks like a good possibility tomorrow. Just glad Monday doesn't look like a big deal. I have a 6pm flight to New Orleans Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 we could blame the Polar Vortex for robbing our moisture with both of these mini-me systems. especially with the Monday system...the models make it initially look like the Low will reinvigorate as it nears the coast.....and poof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 You don't see Chessy Bay enhancing snow too often in this area... SATURDAY...LOW PRES MOVG FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO INTO SOUTHERNQUEBEC CANADA WITH ITS ATTENDANT CDFNT APPROACHING FROM THE W LATEIN THE DAY. PERIODS OF SNOW IN THE WAA AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITHCHESAPEAKE BAY POSSIBLY ENHANCING SNOWFALL ACROSS SE PA ANDWESTERN NJ WITH AN ADDITIONAL MOISTURE SOURCE. LAPSE RATES STEEPENLATE IN THE DAY SO THAT WHICH IS PERIODIC SNOW MIDDAY MAY BECOMEMORE SQUALLY TOWARD 6 PM IN EASTERN PA.SINCE THE GROUND IS ICE COLD...WHATEVER FALLS WILL STICK. MODELS ARE FCSTG .1 TO .25 QPF WESTERN NJ E PA AND E MD. AM PROBABLYPOSTING A SNOW ADVY FOR PTNS OF E PA AT 2030Z PENDING 12Z MODELREVIEW. MOST OF THE SNOW OCCURS 15Z-21Z. SNOW GROWTH IS MODEST SONOT A BIG FLUFF FACTOR EXPECTED AND SW RATIOS PROBABLY CLOSE TO 11OR 12 TO 1. WILL REREVIEW SW RATIOS LATER TODAY. HWO HAS BEENUPDATED FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMTS AND THE UPDATED SNOWMAP WAS POSTEDAROUND 10 AM. WILL REPOST AS SOON AS CONFIDENT OF HIGHER AMTS I95.AS IT STANDS WE WILL PROBABLY ADD AN INCH OF SNOW TO THE MAP FORTHE I95 CORRIDOR EASTWARD ALMOST TO THE COAST IN THE MIDDAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 New snow map from NWS Mt. Holly heading in the right direction: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Pretty bullish map. I think the 2-4" is confined to the Lehigh Valley and Poconos, and the only 4-6" reports will be isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 funny, when i see those maps, 2-4" for me i say we are getting 4", i guess all snow weenies do the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Pretty bullish map. I think the 2-4" is confined to the Lehigh Valley and Poconos, and the only 4-6" reports will be isolated.There map sounds very similar to what you just stated above, so I don't understand your "bullish" comment.Also, pretty sure the LV and northern bucks/montco areas have the same modeled qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 There map sounds very similar to what you just stated above, so I don't understand your "bullish" comment. Also, pretty sure the LV and northern bucks/montco areas have the same modeled qpf I just think the 2" line will be more around Quakertown than Lansdale/Doylestown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 funny, when i see those maps, 2-4" for me i say we are getting 4", i guess all snow weenies do the same? I always hope for the higher number, and am encouraged by it, and the optimist in me wants to believe we will get it. I use the lower number as a baseline. Less than that is a bummer. Tomorrow is interesting, down here the call is for 1 to 2, I'm hoping we get 2, maybe with some Chesapeake Bay enhancement we can do that (1st time I think I've ever said that). Even more, there's supposed to be a pretty strong SSW breeze, which is unusual (and where the bay factor comes from). A junior sou'wester (with snow) if it verifies. Normally a strong breeze from that direction means rain. Could be one more event to add to Red Sky's "winter that has everything"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Poor Wiggum storm ... it's doa: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 funny, when i see those maps, 2-4" for me i say we are getting 4", i guess all snow weenies do the same? Not me, on that map i visualize that because the poconos are 4-6" and closer to my southeast is 1-2" that my 2-4" forecast is most likely to verify near the low end 2" mark Therefore expecting 2" tomorrow anything more is bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Have to say its nice to have winter again in the Poconos. Another weekend, cold....snowy....3-6 inches expected which is perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This looks good for 1-3" around phl: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This looks good for 1-3" around phl: Sold! Has anybody been able to access the HRRR website? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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