IsentropicLift Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 The 4k 18z NAM actually has light to occasionally moderate snow over NJ and eastern PA for a majority of the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It seems like the overall model bias has been that everything shifts northwest until the storm finally arrives. So this makes sense that we were under 1-2", and the zone has shifted north and west now to where we are under less 1 inch. This makes me feel confident for the potential threats that show storms suppressed to the south and east...maybe we pull them back in as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z GFS has the 0.10 inch contour just west of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Euro is going down again. It failed miserably for my area on Tuesday. . 44 QPF is not close to the .78 received. Enjoy the snow tomorrow everyone. SATURDAY Snow High: 31 °F SATURDAYNIGHT ChanceSnow Low: 13 °F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 It looks like the Twin Forks had some very light ocean effect snows or flurries a few hours ago when you run the radar back. But SE MA is getting into it now. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-48 http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BOX-N0Q-1-12 NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...645 AM UPDATE...OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE MOVING ACROSSPORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MA. SO FAR VISIBILITIES AND CLOUD BASESSUGGEST MOSTLY FLURRIES SO FAR. THESE SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES SHOULDRESULT IN A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW AT MOST. MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTSTO THE TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LATESTOBSERVED TRENDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 going to be interesting to see if the first batch of precip across eastern PA makes it into the metro by late morning - it is moving rather slowly so that area would be good for at least an hour or so of snow at least or if it expands http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Pack refresher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Interesting to still see the minor discrepancies in the snowfall maps from the NWS, as the Philly office has 1-2" everywhere along the border with the NWS-NYC counties, while the NYC office has <1" at that interface (and everywhere else in that CWA). Not a huge difference, but one would think the western edges of the map for the NYC counties might show 1-2" or the eastern edges of the map for the Philly counties might show <1" amounts. Would love to get at least an inch today in our area, to freshen up the snowpack... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 whats interesting about this precip area moving very slowly this way is the precip is moving towards the northeast in the line and seems to be expanding as the line itself is moving at a snails pace towards the east indication that if it gets over us the precip will last awhile http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0&MR=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I think a couple of 4km nam models showed that band but weakened it as it approached the tri-state area. I wonder what the HRRR shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I think a couple of 4km nam models showed that band but weakened it as it approached the tri-state area. I wonder what the HRRR shows. I cant get a recent run of the HRRR, but the sim radar on the 14z RAP looks pretty decent for later this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I cant get a recent run of the HRRR, but the sim radar on the 14z RAP looks pretty decent for later this afternoon So far the line appears to be holding together nicely. If I see more than an inch I'll be very surprised though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I cant get a recent run of the HRRR, but the sim radar on the 14z RAP looks pretty decent for later this afternoon From what I read the HRRR site is down unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Wow radar looks really nice for at least an initial heavy burst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Wow radar looks really nice for at least an initial heavy burst Radar builds nice around PHILLY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Snow slowly nudging e aligned sw to ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Had to come into the office today here in Pennington, NJ Mercer County and the snow has commenced here. Coming down pretty good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 That is a pretty nice initial looking band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Snowing nicely denville nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Moderate snow here in Pennington, NJ Mercer County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Excellent flake size. Already exceeded expectations. Solid new coating plus.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Sref now showing 0.14" of precip at kblm..It would be nice to squeak out an inch or two.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Mod snow. Great flake size Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Mod snow. Great flake size lol, you must be a few miles west of me, as the first flakes just started at 12:02 pm here and it's definitely very light right now - hope the moderate stuff starts shortly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 wow heavy snow here now!! Pennington, NJ Mercer County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Just started snowing here. Mainly just flurries right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Light to mod snow just started..wind picked up a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 lol, you must be a few miles west of me, as the first flakes just started at 12:02 pm here and it's definitely very light right now - hope the moderate stuff starts shortly... 10 minutes later and it's moderate snow - looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Lol....its hardly moderate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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