PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Sat still has a 1 to 2 look it , Nice 6 to 9 hours of light snow , will clean up the canvas . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Take 1 at a time guys , still looks like 1 to 2 , Dont fall asleep on Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The 12z GGEM looks like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 GFS GGEM EURO all with the same look for Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 GFS GGEM EURO all with the same look for Sat 1-3 looks like a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The 09z SREF's have 0.10-0.25" total QPF area wide. Significantly wetter than 03z. The Srefs have been a disaster this yr. They had POU receiving 18" 6 hrs before yesterday event lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The Srefs have been a disaster this yr. They had POU receiving 18" 6 hrs before yesterday event lol. They were a disaster for areas on the northern fringe but were spot on elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Well the 15z SREF's are still 0.10"+ area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The Srefs have been a disaster this yr. They had POU receiving 18" 6 hrs before yesterday event lol.Spot on for my location, as close to perfect as one can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Saturday will be another rare event for our area with snow on SSW winds gusting over 40 mph. Just goes to show how cold the airmass is in place when the low cuts to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Saturday will be another rare event for our area with snow on SSW winds gusting over 40 mph. Just goes to show how cold the airmass is in place when the low cuts to our west. GFS_3_2014012212_F78_WSPD_10_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png The pattern is showing you it will snow under any condition . It wants to snow here ths winter and it will take a minor adjustment at the mid levels to bring one of those SW back this week into a favorable slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The Srefs have been a disaster this yr. They had POU receiving 18" 6 hrs before yesterday event lol. All relative. They were signaling 8"+ here from the far reaches of the extent of their range. Perfect forecast and never wavered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The pattern is showing you it will snow under any condition . It wants to snow here ths winter and it will take a minor adjustment at the mid levels to bring one of those SW back this week into a favorable slot I like how the SREF's have thunder potential Late Thursday into Friday over ocean as those GL streamers move off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 lapse rates get really steep (again) late saturday into sunday. LES streamers should easily make it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 All relative. They were signaling 8"+ here from the far reaches of the extent of their range. Perfect forecast and never wavered. Exactly all relative.. They were good there and atrocious here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The Srefs have been a disaster this yr. They had POU receiving 18" 6 hrs before yesterday event lol. Yea they have been great the last 2 storms for most areas, and was one of the first to pick up on the potential. They were just a little too far NW with the precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Yea they have been great the last 2 storms for most areas, and was one of the first to pick up on the potential. They were just a little too far NW with the precip shield Models are always going to be too far north or not far enough by nature. Whoever's on the northern edge will either bust high or low. 1/96 went the other way where heavy snow went much further north than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Models are always going to be too far north or not far enough by nature. Whoever's on the northern edge will either bust high or low. 1/96 went the other way where heavy snow went much further north than modeled. exactly same thing with the R/S line, you never want to be on the edge\ - The SREFs did real well with calculating the snow ratios too, that is something to take forward from them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 At our 60 -66 - 72, looks better than it did at 66- 72- 78 , doesn't really translate to the surface yet . But aloft the NAM looked like it was better IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Yea they have been great the last 2 storms for most areas, and was one of the first to pick up on the potential. They were just a little too far NW with the precip shield Not for most areas. For the coast maybe. Early Jan storm it had us ( interior) receiving 1-2' of snow 6-12 hrs before the event. Most finished with a 6-8" snowfall. Its all relative to your location and unfortunately it has been atrocious for the interior. NAM/GFS/RGEM/EC were always low on precip for the area with the exception being the Srefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Not for most areas. For the coast maybe. Early Jan storm it had us ( interior) receiving 1-2' of snow 6-12 hrs before the event. Most finished with a 6-8" snowfall. Its all relative to your location and unfortunately it has been atrocious for the interior. NAM/GFS/RGEM/EC were always low on precip for the area with the exception being the Srefs. Yea, I was only monitoring the coastal locations as far as totals so I cant speak to the far interior but it was one of the first models to pick up on the threat and the possibility of 10"+ totals. So that was pretty impressive especially when the globals really dropped the ball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Not for most areas. For the coast maybe. Early Jan storm it had us ( interior) receiving 1-2' of snow 6-12 hrs before the event. Most finished with a 6-8" snowfall. Its all relative to your location and unfortunately it has been atrocious for the interior. NAM/GFS/RGEM/EC were always low on precip for the area with the exception being the Srefs. Every potential event greater than 3 inches this year for the interiror NW, the models have been awful with precip related to snow. You name the model, it has busted. Short range or long range model. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Saturday will be another rare event for our area with snow on SSW winds gusting over 40 mph. Just goes to show how cold the airmass is in place when the low cuts to our west. GFS_3_2014012212_F78_WSPD_10_M_ABOVE_GROUND.png Reminds me of this: http://www.northshorewx.com/oes20050119.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Upton says just a few snow showers little accumulation http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 0z nam still looks 1 to 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 0z nam still looks 1 to 2 And maybe 2-3 NW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 And maybe 2-3 NW..Excellent- maybe I'll jackpot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The 4K NAM which goes out to hour 60 looks impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Any word on gfs?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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