tmagan Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 A rare feat possible on Saturday, a NE-SW oriented cold front with SW winds ahead of it with a strong low pressure in Canada providing the area with an accumulating snow on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I believe Sunday night into Monday may become something for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 the last time I saw a snowstorm with sw winds was in early January 1981 during a very cold period...NYC picked 5" from that storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 the last time I saw a snowstorm with sw winds was in early January 1981 during a very cold period...NYC picked 5" from that storm... You just named the analog storm for this event - we are currently in a pattern that does not happen here too often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 With the way modeling has been changing run to run as of late, good idea to keep an eye on this. With that said, not really expecting much out of this right now, but I'm not writing anything off at this point till 24hrs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The 09z SREF's have 0.10-0.25" total QPF area wide. Significantly wetter than 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 AT MOST this is a 1" or so deal...but hey nothing like freshening up the pack before the next arctic shot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 From 6z , Sharper than Yesterday , lets see if 12z continues to strengthen it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The 09z SREF's have 0.10-0.25" total QPF area wide. Significantly wetter than 03z. SREF plumes aren't impressive considering the qpf shown. 1-1.25" for everyone in the area...a bit more NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 12Z NAM still has a heavier band of snow crossing the area around mid-day Saturday. Snow maps show a general quick 1-2" in about 3 hours or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 No real difference at hr 78 - from its 6z 84 hr , looks like a 1 to 2 event sitting here today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Monday nites system is diving into the upper plains behind this at 84 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 SREFs and NAM are basically an inch for everyone with a stripe of 1.5" stretching into NNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 No real difference at hr 78 - from its 6z 84 hr , looks like a 1 to 2 event sitting here today It's a quick burst of heavy snow as the clipper reforms offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Monday nites system is diving into the upper plains behind this at 84 hrs Let's keep these threats seperate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 There was a SW wind snow event in '94, as well. I think we got an inch or so out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Let's keep these threats seperate Please don`t play policemen with me , this is what gets you in trouble . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 From 6z , Sharper than Yesterday , lets see if 12z continues to strengthen it . We wouldn't want it to strengthen too much. This would be WAA driven, and it's not out of the realm of possibility it could get warm enough to be a mix near the coast if there's too much WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Please don`t play policemen with me , this is what gets you in trouble . It was a kind suggestion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 We wouldn't want it to strengthen too much. This would be WAA driven, and it's not out of the realm of possibility it could get warm enough to be a mix near the coast if there's too much WAA. It's a clipper with very cold temperatures both at the surface and aloft, it won't have any chance of mixing anywhere. Not your typical WAA event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Monday nites system is diving into the upper plains behind this at 84 hrs That's not the right vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 No real difference at hr 78 - from its 6z 84 hr , looks like a 1 to 2 event sitting here today There is some difference earlier, look at the vort, but it's the nam so it means very little 6z nam on top, 12z bottom. Agree with you on the end result Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 It's a clipper with very cold temperatures both at the surface and aloft, it won't have any chance of mixing anywhere. Not your typical WAA event.Depending on the fetch, it is possible that just prior the frontal passage we get enough marine influence, imho.Edit: especially with the transient nature of the cold this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 That's not the right vort. ? The piece coming out of the MT @ 84 is the same vort on the GFS @ HR 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Please don`t play policemen with me , this is what gets you in trouble . But I can . This looks like a quick 1-3 inch snowfall. Nothing wrong with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 But I can . This looks like a quick 1-3 inch snowfall. Nothing wrong with that. Careful I will call the Borough Commander and have u doing Midnite foot posts in the Albany houses . ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Careful I will call the Borough Commander and have u doing Midnite foot posts in the Albany houses . ha Well this escalated quickly! Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Well this escalated quickly! Haha Love ANTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 ? The piece coming out of the MT @ 84 is the same vort on the GFS @ HR 90Not the energy for the Monday storm. Disagree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Not the energy for the Monday storm. Disagree? Surface wise yeh kinda disagree, thought looked the SW rounding the trough . Looked like it was the one on Sat heels , no biggie lets see how it shakes out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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