JamieOber Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Reports are the ensembles were warm and west. I heard like the Euro Op but a bit warmer. Just saw the Canadian snowmap. CPA jackpot with 18"+ for the JST UNV IPT corridor Are you guys talking about the same system? There's three storms next week and man, it's so damn confusing. Now I am hearing the one for Feb. 8-9 looks like a monster. Just wait until TWC starts naming them, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm assuming he's referring to the Euro ensembles, which I haven't seen, but I'm talking about the Feb. 5th event middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Reports are the ensembles were warm and west. They are from a Mid-Atlantic perspective. The ensemble mean actually jives quite well with the 12z operational run with regard to the low and 850 and 2m temps in PA. Suggestive of some mixing in the lower Sus valley and mixing/rain in SW PA as per usual. Don't know about individual members though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I foresee mass confusion across the board. With multiple storms in a six day span, the threads will be chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 My above post is referring to what the euro ensembles had for the mid-week (Feb 5th) storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I heard like the Euro Op but a bit warmer. There's three storms next week and man, it's so damn confusing. Now I am hearing the one for Feb. 8-9 looks like a monster. Just wait until TWC starts naming them, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Don't even look at the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Lol snow to ice to mostly rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Whether this storm cuts or not is going to come down to northern stream interaction. Happens much earlier on the GFS compared to Euro/CMC. Gonna be a moist one no matter what, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 There's three storms next week and man, it's so damn confusing. Now I am hearing the one for Feb. 8-9 looks like a monster. Just wait until TWC starts naming them, lol. February 8th is my birthday, so I think they should name that one Steve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 18z GFS ensemble mean still looks good.... and the NOGAPS has the low around Detroit Obviously all solutions still on the table. Good news is even if the midweek storm doesn't work out, another threat for next weekend is looking likely. We've gotta get a hit from one of them, right? I'm in full weenie mode here posting about ensembles and trash models 7 days out. Desperate for a big one and some good spring skiing!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 18z GFS ensemble mean still looks good.... and the NOGAPS has the low around Detroit Obviously all solutions still on the table. Good news is even if the midweek storm doesn't work out, another threat for next weekend is looking likely. We've gotta get a hit from one of them, right? I'm in full weenie mode here posting about ensembles and trash models 7 days out. Desperate for a big one and some good spring skiing!!! I didn't like the 18z gefs. Shifted north 3rd straight run. Gets 850 0c all the way into central pa now after keeping it down in md last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Cold & stormy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I didn't like the 18z gefs. Shifted north 3rd straight run. Gets 850 0c all the way into central pa now after keeping it down in md last few days. Think it might be time to punt this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Hilarious!!! Atlanta Hawks even had to postpone their game.... tonight.... after getting three inches of snow.... yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 . Think it might be time to punt this one? Definitely. Punting off of 2 runs of one model is standard operating procedure. I think it's on page 42 of the NWS guide for new mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 PennDOT... meet GDOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Think it might be time to punt this one?I wouldn't go that far. We had a similar setup in December and after trending north it trended back south the last 72 hours. The trends aren't good right now though. Euro and gfs ensembles going the wrong way right now. I've also noticed as the I wonder if the wave trending weaker Monday is allowing the wed system to amp more and that's bad. Still a lot to be resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 PennDOT... meet GDOT after 6 cold ones this pic is a perfect way to finish the night. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 after 6 cold ones this pic is a perfect way to finish the night. Thanks! I'm watching Penn State basketball.... drinks stronger than beer are required to make this bearable . Only down 5 with 12 minutes left vs the Buckeyes, a final four team from last year though, not giving up on this game or some big snow next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm watching Penn State basketball.... drinks stronger than beer are required to make this bearable . Only down 5 with 12 minutes left vs the Buckeyes, a final four team from last year though, not giving up on this game or some big snow next week! Man what happened to Ohio St being a top 5 preseason team? They've definitely fallen flat with expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Go Blue!!! I'm loving the osu downfall haha, I'm actually rooting for psu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Woo-hoo! #WeAre... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 lmao @ the suckeyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 What a win for PSU!!! 18 loss streak vs the Buckeyes is over!!! Hope the models tonight keep me in this joyous mood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Guys don't taunt the southerners for this. It is solid ice, no one here could travel either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 0z GFS still warm, but a good bit better than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Guys don't taunt the southerners for this. It is solid ice, no one here could travel either. Agreed. We've had our share of public shame over unpreparedness (V-Day 2007 for instance.) The wife and daughter of a friend of mine were among those who abandoned their vehicles on I-75 and walked home. The biggest culprit was poor planning by officials, not poor southern drivers. WSW was issued at 330am. Plenty of time to close the schools and tell non-essential employees to stay home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 From what I'm reading there should be a quicker transfer there...but I don't think we want it too quick otherwise you-know-what happens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 From what I'm reading there should be a quicker transfer there...but I don't think we want it too quick otherwise you-know-what happens? Canadian is much better. Full on smack down this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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