Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Snow appears to have washed out in the mountains as per usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 welp so much for my though of temps dropping... MDT now at 33 breaking the streak of hours below 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Had a pretty nice squall in Bellefonte a bit ago. I'd guess we had about 0.5" total here this morning, although no real increase in snow depth with the winds blowing everything around. Never broke freezing. Hit 31° a bit before 8AM and now at 18°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 12z GFS looks very interesting for those of us who missed out on last week's event...but...you know how it is with being in the GFS bullseye now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 12z GFS looks very interesting for those of us who missed out on last week's event...but...you know how it is with being in the GFS bullseye now. How far out is the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How far out is the event? Way too far to start getting excited. In less vague terms: 130hr+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Way too far to start getting excited. In less vague terms: 130hr+. 5-6 days is better than 10-11 days. Does it do well for all of PA or just the northern sections? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Way too far to start getting excited. In less vague terms: 130hr+. it also breaks down the pattern like the 0z Euro did, but just a couple days later... both 0z Euro and 12z GFS allow that Tuesday/Wednesday system next week to cut right through the Lakes... mainly rain event for many of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 welp so much for my though of temps dropping... MDT now at 33 breaking the streak of hours below 32 it also breaks down the pattern like the 0z Euro did, but just a couple days later... both 0z Euro and 12z GFS allow that Tuesday/Wednesday system next week to cut right through the Lakes... mainly rain event for many of us You gonna have any good news for us today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 You gonna have any good news for us today? ummm...... daylight increases by 2 minutes a day now? is that good? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 it also breaks down the pattern like the 0z Euro did, but just a couple days later... both 0z Euro and 12z GFS allow that Tuesday/Wednesday system next week to cut right through the Lakes... mainly rain event for many of us If we can manage a 5 plus inch snowstorm out of it then so be it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Temps have steadied around 17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 METAR KMDT 271756Z 32013G25KT 10SM SCT040 OVC065 M03/M12 A2986 RMK AO2 PK WND 31032/1719 SLP116 4/002 T10281117 10006 21050 53048 Peak 6 hour temp officially .6 C... or 33 F... grrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 it also breaks down the pattern like the 0z Euro did, but just a couple days later... both 0z Euro and 12z GFS allow that Tuesday/Wednesday system next week to cut right through the Lakes... mainly rain event for many of us Up here it's an icy hell, except for 2/4-5 which does go over to rain. But I've seen enough of those sorts of storms to be very skeptical of any warmups to 40 degree rain for my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Boy, if the GFS is right about the storm on feb 10, gas up your generators. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Up here it's an icy hell, except for 2/4-5 which does go over to rain. But I've seen enough of those sorts of storms to be very skeptical of any warmups to 40 degree rain for my backyard. 33 degree rain is far more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 33 degree rain is far more likely. For one of the storms, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 33 degree rain is far more likely. I think I would leave amwx for the rest of the winter if that happened given what has happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I think I would leave amwx for the rest of the winter if that happened given what has happened. But then you wouldn't be allowed back for the epic early March storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS is all "hey, central PA, have a moderate snow event maybe this weekend" in happy Barney voice. Euro is all "I pee 45 degree rain on all of your fool heads dis weekend" in evil Boris voice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS is all "hey, central PA, have a moderate snow event maybe this weekend" in happy Barney voice. Euro is all "I pee 45 degree rain on all of your fool heads dis weekend" in evil Boris voice. then Euro follows with a much more favorable for messy conditions track for 2/4-2/5... runs low more along Mason-Dixon line compared to into the Great Lakes from 0z... icy for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 it'd be nice to have a snow like Super bowl Sunday 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 GFS is all "hey, central PA, have a moderate snow event maybe this weekend" in happy Barney voice. Euro is all "I pee 45 degree rain on all of your fool heads dis weekend" in evil Boris voice. Hopefully the ECM's losing streak continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 DT just went woof for the 8th-9th. Now nothing will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Hopefully the ECM's losing streak continues. to me it really looks like the models want to change the pattern after this cold air moves out later this week, but are not exactly sure what to do... we may not get a good idea of how this weekend will play out until maybe at least Thursday... then the uncertainty in how things will pan out this weekend will cause the system next week to likely go all over the place over the next few days worth of model runs... Euro skill score numbers are still better than all other models so while there hasn't been a particular model handling all events here well, cant really say it is a big loser this winter either... and I am not saying that to single you out or anything but I just dont understand the Euro bashing that I have seen in some of the other forums lately... is it because it just hasnt locked in on a big storm several days out like we have been used to seeing the past few years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Drifting is a major problem here in Mount Joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Yea clear roads then cars hit those open fields on 772, 743 and any north south road and hit that ice and it all over. I don't miss the paperwork on these type of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Might be better for us if the weekend system amps and cuts more like the GGEM, that could sink the baroclinic zone south for the bigger event next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 A ton of our snowcover has melted today. Freaking sun and 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 JB is going with a Lakes cutter next week to set up a big storm a bit later. FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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