easternsnowman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 If we're not going to get snow let's have warmth... better than nasty cold and wind, nothing worse than dry and cold. Warm and dry is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 If we're not going to get snow let's have warmth... better than nasty cold and wind, nothing worse than dry and cold. Warm and dry is better No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Friend on Facebook said its' really snowing hard in Philipsburg. Flakes flying here just west of downtown. On a side note, upper 20s hasn't felt this nice in a while! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 BGM dropped the WWA for most of its forecast area. Had some flurries earlier but right now it is sunny and 20 degrees. We usually do well with clippers up here but not today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Not this **** again... Cold is ok, but not these dang wind chills. to me it feels like a repeat of the prior cold days earlier in January would be worse this time around... we have had a longer duration cold that will cause more pipe freezing than before... the earlier event was brutal cold but also didnt last more than 48 hours... I dont mind 0 and calm winds... 0 and 10-15mph+ forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 to me it feels like a repeat of the prior cold days earlier in January would be worse this time around... we have had a longer duration cold that will cause more pipe freezing than before... the earlier event was brutal cold but also didnt last more than 48 hours... I dont mind 0 and calm winds... 0 and 10-15mph+ forget it The coldest air as modelled right now is really just Tuesday and Wednesday though. After that, temperatures should moderate back up at least into the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 1.1" and its coming down pretty good now. 4" total on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 No snow for me. Got radar reflection over me, but sun is coming out more than when there was nothing over me. Enjoy the snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The coldest air as modelled right now is really just Tuesday and Wednesday though. After that, temperatures should moderate back up at least into the 20s. I meant before most of the state at least had readings in the 30s/40s/50s a few days before and a few days after... we now have had a number of days with lows in single digits to teens before the coldest air arrives tuesday and wednesday and will only see temps climb into the 20s and maybe a day or two of 30s in the next few days after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Ctp just updated and still kept my area in 2-4 with advisory. I don't get it. The band that totally missed us earlier was supposed to drop 1-3" then we might get another inch from the snowshowers this afternoon. That band left nothing so where is the 2-4 coming from??? I get a bust, I busted too although I was never going 2-4 but why put out a new snow forecast now that is obviously not going to verify? Is Ctp usually slow to catch up to trends with now casting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Ctp just updated and still kept my area in 2-4 with advisory. I don't get it. The band that totally missed us earlier was supposed to drop 1-3" then we might get another inch from the snowshowers this afternoon. That band left nothing so where is the 2-4 coming from??? I get a bust, I busted too although I was never going 2-4 but why put out a new snow forecast now that is obviously not going to verify? Is Ctp usually slow to catch up to trends with now casting? they seem to be thinking a decent band with possible whiteout conditions develops along the cold front and pushes eastward late this afternoon/evening... my guess is they are leaving the forecast totals alone until they see how that develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Smart man, this is the best way to approach the sight of weather you want (or don't want) on the long range. Last weekend several over on the Philly forum jumped all over the torch the GFS was showing for our Polar Death Vortex week coming up. So, yeah. I agree, we have witnessed time and time again warm periods getting cooler and shorter in duration as we get closer. No reason to believe this will change with the -epo and some -ao starting to show up as well. We might warm if a storm amplifies and cuts west a day or 2, but sustained warmth through the end of the run like todays 06z GFS seems unlikely at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Snow is coming down good now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 they seem to be thinking a decent band with possible whiteout conditions develops along the cold front and pushes eastward late this afternoon/evening... my guess is they are leaving the forecast totals alone until they see how that develops. I am too Far East for that. My snow was going to come from the bands missing schuykill county. Not sure why. High res models had the snow redeveloping further west and hitting here but the bands keep developing 10 miles east. I had slim hope until this latest batch again skipped over and is developing over Berks county instead. 6z nam also hinted in the east shift so it has some support. It's obviously a bust not sure why nws is dragging it out. There are people in the public that still think 2-4" of snow is coming and are changing plans needlessly. It's not fair to them.PS. Just looked at the 12z high res to confirm and they all show the reality that the precip shifted east and is missing most of schuykill county. So we have radar, ground reports, and model guidance all confirming nothing is going to happen here and nws still scaring people with an advisory for 2-4". It's crap like this that gives meteorology a bad name they should have dropped the advisory 3 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Steadier light snow here now. I bet going up 322 toward Phillipsburg would have been interesting earlier, going from sunny to decent snow pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 BGM dropped the WWA for most of its forecast area. Had some flurries earlier but right now it is sunny and 20 degrees. We usually do well with clippers up here but not today! It makes my point about the superior forecasting of Mt Holly as compared to other nws offices! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Snow total today is about 3.25" or so, hard to measure wind is causing drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 We got .6" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Very Light snow in lititz lancaster. Started about a half hour ago. Working our way 1 micrometer at a time towards our forecasted 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Anyone see the new Euro? Odd pattern out past seven days. Irishrob on philly weather describes it: "euro shows the west based blocking in the NAO regions, with some of that epo hooking up with it. It elongates the PV, drops the main lobe into the 50-50 spot, with a -PNA and SE ridge... crazy pattern verbatim." Never heard of a west based block and 50/50 with a -PNA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Sunny and not bad out... I like these clippers lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Anyone see the new Euro? Odd pattern out past seven days. Irishrob on philly weather describes it: "euro shows the west based blocking in the NAO regions, with some of that epo hooking up with it. It elongates the PV, drops the main lobe into the 50-50 spot, with a -PNA and SE ridge... crazy pattern verbatim." Never heard of a west based block and 50/50 with a -PNA... Beyond 120 it is not even worth looking anymore. You get a glimpse and then just are like whatever. You know it will change next run anyways. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 25, 2014 Author Share Posted January 25, 2014 Light snow falling here, bout an inch of new snow today so far. That line of snow showers/squalls associated with the arctic front out in Ohio looks like it means business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Light snow falling here, bout an inch of new snow today so far. That line of snow showers/squalls associated with the arctic front out in Ohio looks like it means business. The mountains will have something to say about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Gosh damn Philly. 25 14:54 SW 14 G 22 0.50 Snow Freezing Fog VV011 25 21 85% 13 NA 29.52 999.7 0.02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 1.6" so far today. been snowing lightly all day..waiting to see what that band out west has to say here are a few pics form about 15 mins ago....just looked through my old pics and last year to the day we had a similar clipper here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Hope that band holds up. Looks sick. Flurries the past 2 hrs. Starting to pick up a tad. Still no accumulating type stuff yet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 No real accumulation today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Lol flakes falling with no real meaning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I haven't seen a single flake all day in Harrisburg. Downsloping wins the day. The models did a nice job of positioning the "snow hole," but if anything they might have underplayed the drying. Either that or my "coating to an inch" is still coming and I just don't know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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