davidjd1994 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 10" in bel air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm now getting dendrites and have moderate snow. Pretty sure I have 4 inches just looking out the window. I'll measure after the band moves through. I'm a happy camper. Overall, the models rocked. they did very well...The GFS got a little goofy with all the front end QPF, but otherwise very good job by the models....north shift was real, but we were just far enough north to be ok..Central VA got pretty screwed...glad we had that margin for error...nice call on the vort delivering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm not far from 3NW FDK.....10" report seems awfully generous. I was getting random measurements between 6" and 10". Seems to have blown and drifted quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I think this last band has helped the lower end calls verify in the Fredericksburg area too. I believe CWG was forecasting 2-5" down that way. I think a lot of places should be solidly within that range when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 they did very well...The GFS got a little goofy with all the front end QPF, but otherwise very good job by the models....north shift was real, but we were just far enough north to be ok..Central VA got pretty screwed...glad we had that margin for error...nice call on the vort delivering I'm now getting S+ for awhile, the prettiest snow of the day. Nice dendrites. How much did you ned up with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanInMd Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 there's actually another one in NC/SC that ultimately is the last in line and takes over if you believe the models And there it is..... http://cl.ly/image/3F2I160W1w3a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Light snow continues even though there are no echoes over us…picked up another .25" in the past 1.5hrs. 14f and roof blizzard in full effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ge0 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm not far from 3NW FDK.....10" report seems awfully generous. 8 seems generous for Germantown as well. /shrug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Snow winding down now, down to 16 degrees, lots of blowing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Though I was done but one last pulse moving through. Won't add much but keeps the mood going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm now getting dendrites and have moderate snow. Pretty sure I have 4 inches just looking out the window. I'll measure after the band moves through. I'm a happy camper. Overall, the models rocked.They did really well except qpf at range. Two days ago a lot of people said this was like a 2-4/3-5 tops. Example of not needing to always hug qpf.. Tho it did eventually lock in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Thx also for the comments all. Cliche shots are always better with snow. The pink/purple hue was something new. I think it was caused by sunset more than city lights tho prob a mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 DC gov closed tomorrow. Went for a walk a few minutes ago and the roads are a sheet of ice underneath the snow. The AM will be tough given the low temps and blowing all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm now getting dendrites and have moderate snow. Pretty sure I have 4 inches just looking out the window. I'll measure after the band moves through. I'm a happy camper. Overall, the models rocked. Up there they did pretty good. Sitting on the gradient here, I say we busted in most of central/western VA. Dry slot madness. Only picked up about 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 And there it is..... http://cl.ly/image/3F2I160W1w3a is this for something different or later for this same system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 They did really well except qpf at range. Two days ago a lot of people said this was like a 2-4/3-5 tops. Example of not needing to always hug qpf.. Tho it did eventually lock in. The NAM actually was the 1st to get in the ballpark with the QPF and vort. The Euro was little late to the game but did a good job of going for the north band, so did the NAM. I thought they might be overdone. The track and strength of the vort gave me confidence for us though I started to worry this afternoon about mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Just measured again... Picked up 1.3" in that band so far... Over 6" now in Glen Burnie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 If only JB2 would be right: Justin Berk @JustinWeather 3m Heavy snow is now lined up along and east of I-95. This is stalling with coastal development. Big snow totals building now along the Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm now getting S+ for awhile, the prettiest snow of the day. Nice dendrites. How much did you ned up with? 4.25" last I checked, but I think I may have gotten to 4.5"....I'm pretty happy....I was stuck at 2.75" and things looked bleak...The old me would have stuck with the models and trusted the RAP and NAM..I used to be the guy who talked people off the ledge...But the new traumatized me was afraid I was just too far southeast to get banded, and that I would end up pixie dusting my way to 3" while all the good finale banding was relegated to Montgomery county and up toward Frederick...it was combo reverse psychology and warranted pessimism...fortunately radar got better quickly and a few sensible people gave me hope even if they were faking it....in the end I was happily wrong!...DT has a rule never to forecast off your last event...but I dont know if he has a rule about forecasting off your last 13 events.....1/2, this one and March 25th of last year have given me hope that I can still get a modest event...the 2-4, 4-8" events actually exist...now we have to see if we can break that seasonal drouight and actually get a 20" winter like we used to...DCA should be around 7" after this event...I'd still say 10-12" is the final amount as of now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Up there they did pretty good. Sitting on the gradient here, I say we busted in most of central/western VA. Dry slot madness. Only picked up about 2". But they started to hint at that yesterday except the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Cashing in on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 4.5 now and that last band seems to be consolidating over me. I think I'll hit the 5 mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 4.25" last I checked, but I think I may have gotten to 4.5"....I'm pretty happy....I was stuck at 2.75" and things looked bleak...The old me would have stuck with the models and trusted the RAP and NAM..I used to be the guy who talked people off the ledge...But the new traumatized me was afraid I was just too far southeast to get banded, and that I would end up pixie dusting my way to 3" while all the good finale banding was relegated to Montgomery county and up toward Frederick...it was combo reverse psychology and warranted pessimism...fortunately radar got better quickly and a few sensible people gave me hope even if they were faking it....in the end I was happily wrong!...DT has a rule never to forecast off your last event...but I dont know if he has a rule about forecasting off your last 13 events.....1/2, this one and March 25th of last year have given me hope that I can still get a modest event...the 2-4, 4-8" events actually exist...now we have to see if we can break that seasonal drouight and actually get a 20" winter like we used to...DCA should be around 7" after this event...I'd still say 10-12" is the final amount as of now Congrats Matt, I was feeling it for you man. Nothing wrong with being off a little, particularly on the good end. The band in the end got you up there to 4.5, which is a solid event even to the modest onlooker, especially in this area, especially with a NS vort. All and all, can't complain! Glad to have you around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanInMd Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 is this for something different or later for this same system? This is current surface analysis from here - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Winding down here. Guessing about 9 inches. If we had received these good ratios all day I'd have a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 But they started to hint at that yesterday except the GFS. the 1/61 analog kind of worked this time...both with the 1/2 event and this event we kind of maximized our pattern potential....give me hope that we can get another 3"+ storm in a so-so pattern this winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 4.25" last I checked, but I think I may have gotten to 4.5"....I'm pretty happy....I was stuck at 2.75" and things looked bleak...The old me would have stuck with the models and trusted the RAP and NAM..I used to be the guy who talked people off the ledge...But the new traumatized me was afraid I was just too far southeast to get banded, and that I would end up pixie dusting my way to 3" while all the good finale banding was relegated to Montgomery county and up toward Frederick...it was combo reverse psychology and warranted pessimism...fortunately radar got better quickly and a few sensible people gave me hope even if they were faking it....in the end I was happily wrong!...DT has a rule never to forecast off your last event...but I dont know if he has a rule about forecasting off your last 13 events.....1/2, this one and March 25th of last year have given me hope that I can still get a modest event...the 2-4, 4-8" events actually exist...now we have to see if we can break that seasonal drouight and actually get a 20" winter like we used to...DCA should be around 7" after this event...I'd still say 10-12" is the final amount as of now DC is a hard nut to crack cause I'll be at around 12 after this event (I think). These kind of events I almost always beat them, same with wet snows. Occasionally like it 2003, being east will really hurt me compared to the city but usually rural beats out the urban heat island and being next to the river. When I was growing up we got lots of these type events. Now they are rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Congrats Matt, I was feeling it for you man. Nothing wrong with being off a little, particularly on the good end. The band in the end got you up there to 4.5, which is a solid event even to the modest onlooker, especially in this area, especially with a NS vort. All and all, can't complain! Glad to have you around. thanks....I am very pleased with the quality of this event and not just the quantity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm now getting dendrites and have moderate snow. Pretty sure I have 4 inches just looking out the window. I'll measure after the band moves through. I'm a happy camper. Overall, the models rocked. I'll say they did. Great consensus leading up to the event. I have 7.1" with pixie dust flying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Pixie dust snow falling. Went out for probably my last measurement. Preliminarily going with 6" as my storm total. Will wait for NWS spotters to confirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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