Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Jan 21 Obs thread II


stormtracker

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Do whatever you want Matt, in the end you bring good insight to the table. I don't get offended when someone with less ability to interpret the models/situation calls me out on something. Either they're making an irresponsible statement, or just misinterpreting something. Overall, the north trend call is more about the truth, not being a downer. People need to understand that. Radar is indeed looking a bit better for you btw. 

+ 100

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Do whatever you want Matt, in the end you bring good insight to the table. I don't get offended when someone with less ability to interpret the models/situation calls me out on something. Either they're making an irresponsible statement, or just misinterpreting something. Overall, the north trend call is more about the truth, not being a downer. People need to understand that. Radar is indeed looking a bit better for you btw. 

 

agreed...I am hoping to get some more accumulation, even if meager

Link to comment
Share on other sites

talking about a north trend (which has been validated) is not being a debbie downer...perhaps I need to find a place to post whereI can express concern about  a storm or pattern without being attacked...

Understood, but saying "you're done" when theres a few more hours of snowfall to fall, and the possibility of OK rates for an hour or so is kind of ridiculous.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Understood, but saying "you're done" when theres a few more hours of snowfall to fall, and the possibility of OK rates for an hour or so is kind of ridiculous.

This is probably the main point:

Talking realistically about north trend does not equal saying with 100% confidence that the band will not come through. This is for the banter thread at this point, though. 

Picking up here again a bit. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Concur with all the posts about not being able to express an alternative to all the "positive" posts. A lot of mine were deleted, but I bet the scenario they described will be more accurate in the end than the models...

 

Not one of your posts was deleted.    Your warm scenario panned out?  Wet pavement with no daytime stickage?  It did?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think everyone gets 1"+ with that band.  If DC folks have ~3", that band should push most to 4"+ I'd guess.  Then probably done. 

 

Just measured 3" here in Crofton.  I agree we can end up with 4" when all is said and done.  Not a bad system, but certainly not, I repeat NOT the over-performer on 1/02 for this part of AA County. Kudos to the 06Z NAM and 00Z ECMWF and post-06Z RAP trends last night -- they both had DCA right around .40" for the event.  I do not know what the 06Z GFS was smoking, especially between 12-18Z (far too wet). 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Curious of something, when this was looking like a 1-2" deal for DC on the good end, and I said I wanted to make a thread to bring us good luck, did it work? 

 

Wondering if I've earned myself potential privileges in the future? 

Most definitely an overperformer from where we were at when you said you wanted to make a thread. I vote you start next Monday's thread.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Been doing reasonably well with radar interpretations today. Think those in downtown DC should see another .75-1.25" 

 

The Baltimore area should expect 2-3" additional inches of snow I believe, with the best totals coming on the east and especially north parts of town.

That would be Hella swell. Hope you are right.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...