Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I meant more for yesterday down by him. At least that is what I thought he meant. Yeah was more speaking in general over the region and also in theme. IE, again if we removed the GFS inside of 2 days and just used the RGEM and Euro....expectations would have been tempered somewhat. Not enough though. This one actually went more extreme than normal where even the Euro was overdone out west. Down here I think it did well in always indicating part two was more of a "miss/scrape" than the American stuff which clobbered us to varying degrees. As it is, we thought the jackpots might approach 20. I think you and I talked about it being between you and I, and it was. The smokestack from the power plant was running yesterday and it's never been wrong...wind trajectory was a little off for me to stay in the best banding and it did push up to you. If I can get an hour under this OES band I should pull a foot I think. Will go check it out now. I've got drifts to the tops of car doors but that's part for the course. 70% of the yards around me are bare grass stripped by the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Yep, models can get some general features right, but still suck. Even the more pessimistic models didn't show that type of cutoff. Its always a "risk" with the big banding...but you wouldn't forecast that based on what we were seeing on the models. Typically you want to see a really strong cutoff on qpf and also a high to our north (versus more northwest)...we saw that signature in the Dec '09 storm, to our south near NYC in the Feb 5-6, 2010 storm, and likely storms such as Blizz '96, and PDI. It would have been nice for models to give us a better clue on that, since you only have so much to work with. There's a reaosn not one single meteorlogist or hobbyist predicted 1-2" for Wilmington to ORH. With the benefit of hindsight, its a bit easier, but I don't think anyone can say that was identifiable yesterday morning before the storm. Your favorite model, the RPM did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 They make this 3' long bar called a yard stick, Congrats man, You and steve cleaned up in that band Mine could be measured if you lay the bar flat... Yours could be measured with an overhead transparency sheet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Your favorite model, the RPM did. Yup... at that point it was go time though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I would not annoint scooter king of sne this season yet. Sw flow patterns can alter that landscape quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm not even going to add last night's amount to my total... I am going to pretend it never happened...lol A zero won't effect it anyways.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I would not annoint scooter king of sne this season yet. Sw flow patterns can alter that landscape quickly. 07/08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I would not annoint scooter king of sne this season yet. Sw flow patterns can alter that landscape quickly. And eventually we will get the shot at a true blue mega blizzard IMO. Guys lost in all this is it's like 15 degrees and raging again (or colder) for a lot of us last night and today. We will remember this winter for the cold and oscillations but also how abrupt the changes are. Anyway, S+ right now best of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 A zero won't effect it anyways.............. Hey, that 0.25" was hard to move... my back still hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm a humble man when it comes to winter. Thanks for the congrats and after two seasons ago..I appreciate every flake. It can change on a dime which is why I try to enjoy when I can and not post all these happy "OMG!" posts as it's coming down. I know how bad it sucks to be on the outside and looking in..I hate that feeling. Will and Ray have plenty winter left. They will catch up and exceed most likely. To be honest, areas to my south have more on the season than me...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm a humble man when it comes to winter. Thanks for the congrats and after two seasons ago..I appreciate every flake. It can change on a dime which is why I try to enjoy when I can and not post all these happy "OMG!" posts as it's coming down. I know how bad it sucks to be on the outside and looking in..I hate that feeling. Will and Ray have plenty winter left. They will catch up and exceed most likely. To be honest, areas to my south have more on the season than me...lol. Scott in relation to route 18 where are you? roughly of course. I figured you were in that zone that got tattooed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 This is as close of a match to 1994 as you will ever see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm a humble man when it comes to winter. Thanks for the congrats and after two seasons ago..I appreciate every flake. It can change on a dime which is why I try to enjoy when I can and not post all these happy "OMG!" posts as it's coming down. I know how bad it sucks to be on the outside and looking in..I hate that feeling. Will and Ray have plenty winter left. They will catch up and exceed most likely. To be honest, areas to my south have more on the season than me...lol. I may not...didn't in 1994, but Will probably will. Late season elevation dependancy, if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2014 Author Share Posted January 22, 2014 Alot less snow as you head north on 91. Manchester has 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 i thought the same thing. the air is really dry, static shockingly dry. going to take some time to overcome that. seems like those NW of this area , esp north of MA/NH border are going to be struggling for more than a dusting. looks like i was on the right track yesterday. but- was i right for the wrong reasons? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 About 3/4 inch here outside Springfield. 3F and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Scott in relation to route 18 where are you? roughly of course. I figured you were in that zone that got tattooed last night. I'm in the nrn part of Weymouth about 1 mile east of Weymouth landing. A little north of the geographical center of Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I may not...didn't in 1994, but Will probably will. Late season elevation dependancy, if nothing else. Maybe...but I like the next two weeks and beyond. You'll make a run IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I had to make an edit...but I think they weakened the forcing too quickly. The models blew their load down by NYC...but then the band went to town over my head. They didn't model that....but despite that look...I liked seeing the narrow linear band of forcing because there is always room for surprises. Well, there kind of was. Modeled lift was consistently modeled strong into about bos for yesterday pm (even if it was stronger sw near nyc and when models Also lost lift from overnite period 6z to 12z from EMA to say PSM was when i was spooked yesterday am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Hey, that 0.25" was hard to move... my back still hurts From carrying the leafblower! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Hey, that 0.25" was hard to move... my back still hurts I would post that in there, You may jump a spot, And in the end who knows..............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Modeled lift was consistently modeled strong into about bos for yesterday pm (even if it was stronger sw near nyc and when models Also lost lift from overnite period 6z to 12z from EMA to say PSM was when i was spooked yesterday am It was sufficient, but I think models overall weakened it too quickly which led to a false expansion of lift northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm in the nrn part of Weymouth about 1 mile east of Weymouth landing. A little north of the geographical center of Weymouth. Gotcha you're a little N and W of what I thought. The oes bands are converging in Plymouth county this has turned epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Mine could be measured if you lay the bar flat... Yours could be measured with an overhead transparency sheet At least i still have an arctic pack left, Can't do much with it but a couple refreshers would really help right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I'm having a hard time measure in my locale, but a lot of reports between 8-9.5" in the area. I was eyeballing a bit lower but it varies in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I eyeballed 0.5" in Lowell. Wow, what a friggan disaster.Ha ha know what you mean. I began to worry @6PM or so when the NW bands were collapsing. Oh well bud lets kick some arse in the upcoming storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 It was sufficient, but I think models overall weakened it too quickly which led to a false expansion of lift northward. Hey congrats on those totals. I lived in Dedham for several years so i know its fun to see it ripping there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Congrats on the bombogenesis storm guys and gals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Gotcha you're a little N and W of what I thought. The oes bands are converging in Plymouth county this has turned epic Sandwich to Manomet is always a good spot when the winds veer NNE to N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Gotcha you're a little N and W of what I thought. The oes bands are converging in Plymouth county this has turned epic Same. I thought he was in s Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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