JSantanaNYC Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 He just said that schools will be open as of now but that can change. NYC schools rarely close.. so if it does end at 1-2am.. you don't need anyone to tell you, that it will be open ..I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 HRRR not doing well right now. Not picking up on the heavy snow in SNJ, looks like it has the band a good 50+ miles to far NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 NYC schools rarely close.. so if it does end at 1-2am.. you don't need anyone to tell you, that it will be open ..I guess. You must be used to the Bloomberg administration. You have to remember some things. 1) Deblasio is a new mayor, he wants to make him self look good. 2) he is a democratic mayor, definitely not as conservative as Bloomberg, same can be said about the new schools chancellor. 3) A few weeks ago he closed down the schools, mostly because of the cold weather and not because of the little snow we had. Tomorrow will be just as cold, and probably still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 And the previous mayor believed Sandy was a dud. Being a NYC mayor means being clueless. NYC Mayor expects snow to end by 10PM tonight therefore things might be ready by morning for school system..Any chance accumulating snows continues to 4AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 HRRR not doing well right now. Not picking up on the heavy snow in SNJ, looks like it has the band a good 50+ miles to far NW. The HEAVIER snow total may be East of the TPKE , HRRR runs along it . As this pivots , you will really see where the axis sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wow the newest RAP really jackpots the PHL metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HSNN4 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Here comes the major freak out, I can sense it. I'm getting light to moderate snow here and I'm currently only under 5-10dbz returns. That heavy banding down south is forecast to move northward and fall apart some, but not before dumping warning criteria snowfall on the area. This slight tick downward in QPF on the globals is very typical as an event is ongoing. It's better to use the high res modeling at this point and observations. Those are your best bet. Nobody was really forecasted in this forum to be in heavy snow until mid-afternoon. Just wondering that myself, I said looking at that great band in Central NJ I wonder how many are about to jump off there roof right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=DIX&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Here comes the major freak out, I can sense it. I'm getting light to moderate snow here and I'm currently only under 5-10dbz returns. That heavy banding down south is forecast to move northward and fall apart some, but not before dumping warning criteria snowfall on the area. This slight tick downward in QPF on the globals is very typical as an event is ongoing. It's better to use the high res modeling at this point and observations. Those are your best bet. Nobody was really forecasted in this forum to be in heavy snow until mid-afternoon. Just wondering that myself, I said looking at that great band in Central NJ I wonder how many are about to jump off there roof right now. Lol it will begin to pivot in the next hour or so...:still....that area under the band now will be the jackpot because as it pivots, it doesn't shut down there....just alters it's angle and expends N and S....like a seesaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The new RAP has snow persisting right through the end of its run, at least 10z, especially eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 NYC schools rarely close.. so if it does end at 1-2am.. you don't need anyone to tell you, that it will be open ..I guess. That's ridiculous for schools to open just because it stops snowing a couple of hours before the morning commute. There will still be blowing and drifting along with frigid temps. I bet a lot of the secondary/tertiary roads won't be clear of snow tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 That's ridiculous for schools to open just because it stops snowing a couple of hours before the morning commute. There will still be blowing and drifting along with frigid temps. I bet a lot of the secondary/tertiary roads won't be clear of snow tomorrow morning. Does NYC really close schools for storms of less than a foot now-a-days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Does NYC really close schools for storms of less than a foot now-a-days? They did for only 6" on 1/2.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 They did for only 6" on 1/2.... Wow, that's kind of pathetic not going to lie. If that's the case, then It wouldn't shock me at all if NYC schools closed down considering the snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 If paul is right about the heaviest banding currently should show where the best banding for the storm would be LI and coastal NJ has a shot a 20"+ IMO and how is the current VV looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wow, that's kind of pathetic not going to lie. If that's the case, then It wouldn't shock me at all if NYC schools closed down considering the snow and cold. Don't forget that a majority of the staff that works in NYC schools drives to the city from Long Island. If it's 6+ inches of snow, it is very difficult for the teachers to make it in to school. Kids would be there with no teachers or Admin to supervise them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I got 10" here and the roads were pretty bad in morning. They did for only 6" on 1/2.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I got 10" here and the roads were pretty bad in morning. They did for only 6" on 1/2.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just wondering that myself, I said looking at that great band in Central NJ I wonder how many are about to jump off there roof right now. Everything seems pretty on track and with in the realm of reasonable error thus far. Just about everyone in this forum should see at least 4-6" and probably 50% of the forum area will get 8-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Down to 1002mb and about to emerge off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I got 10" here and the roads were pretty bad in morning. I was referring to Manhattan itself. Wow, that's kind of pathetic not going to lie. If that's the case, then It wouldn't shock me at all if NYC schools closed down considering the snow and cold. Meh, I would feel more confident about NYC schools closing if this storm started 6 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 You can see the reason for the developing model battle of sorts as the RGEM and to a certain extent NAM keep the band right where it currently is, not really shifting it north. The HRRR, SREF, and RAP move it northward into NE NJ and NYC by 3pm. This will be really interesting to watch unfold as that band has by far the best snow production and will feature rapid accumulations and whiteout conditions. If the RAP or HRRR back off in the next few hours or shift south, we'll probably be looking at the lower tier of forecast amounts. No complaints here though...moderate snow and beautiful out there. Looks to continue for several hours. If we can get in that band it'll be a bonus. Check out the radar which shows the coastal low forming with weak reflectivity surging from south to north. This is encouraging..hopefully it pushes the band northward over the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 No shift south on the latest HRRR. Still .5"+ for everyone in this area and the band expands northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 You can see the reason for the developing model battle of sorts as the RGEM and to a certain extent NAM keep the band right where it currently is, not really shifting it north. The HRRR, SREF, and RAP move it northward into NE NJ and NYC by 3pm. This will be really interesting to watch unfold as that band has by far the best snow production and will feature rapid accumulations and whiteout conditions. If the RAP or HRRR back off in the next few hours or shift south, we'll probably be looking at the lower tier of forecast amounts. No complaints here though...moderate snow and beautiful out there. Looks to continue for several hours. If we can get in that band it'll be a bonus. Check out the radar which shows the coastal low forming with weak reflectivity surging from south to north. This is encouraging..hopefully it pushes the band northward over the next hour or so. Yea it will be fun to watch...the precip coming in from the ocean should nudge it north soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 850-700mb frontogenesis increasing over NYC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 He's probably not that far off on the timing. My point is that he still managed to find a way to troll this event which hasn't even really started yet. what did I say that was wrong...good lord my local met here for the radio station says midnight. See its attacks like this for no reason that should not be tolerated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Band is moving North.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Band is moving North..A good chunk of Brooklyn is getting into it now, it also looks to be expanding NW of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Band is moving North.. No doubt. In the last 30 minutes, you can see it starting to lift North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 heavy snow in Western Monmouth - wow. I dont think its moving but expanding north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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