champy Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Interesting - this "rain" we're getting on the radar in outside Syracuse is actually heavy wet snow...wonder for how long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Rain/sleet/snow mix in Ithaca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 snow ++ here in Morrisville since before 5, 2-3" so far on the back deck, wet wet wet currently 33* over 1400 ft where i'm at though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Snowing here, too. Only a coating on the deck but it's better than rain. Temperature down to 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Only been rain since precip started about 3pm in W Seneca, yet most others in WNY have been reporting snow. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 it ended, just a light sprinkle now. the snow was very sticky stuff, it made me go out and clean the satellite dish, gotta watch that duke game ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 One inch heavy wet snow last evening. Temp flatlined at 32F since then. I love a good torch FAIL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Feels like spring today. Not sure I want winter to come back if it's just going to be bitter cold with no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 22, 2014 Author Share Posted February 22, 2014 Got drenched in Erie county last two days. ...ERIE COUNTY...3 NE CHEEKTOWAGA 1.86 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHSNY BUFFALO INTL ARPT 1.66 700 AM 2/21 ASOS3 E WILLIAMSVILLE 1.64 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS1 NW WILLIAMSVILLE 1.40 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHSS DEPEW 1.31 600 AM 2/21 COCORAHS2 S AKRON 1.29 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS3 ENE AMHERST 1.27 745 AM 2/21 COCORAHS3 WSW ELMA 1.21 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS3 NE TONAWANDA 1.14 845 AM 2/21 COCORAHS2 SE GLENWOOD 1.14 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHS5 NNE AMHERST 1.10 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHSWSW HAMBURG 1.06 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS2 ENE COLDEN 1.04 800 AM 2/21 COCORAHSESE KENMORE 1.00 530 AM 2/21 COCORAHSENE EAST AURORA 1.00 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS1 W COLDEN 0.96 855 AM 2/21 CO-OP OBSERVER2 S WALES 0.92 728 AM 2/21 CO-OP OBSERVER2 SSW BLASDELL 0.92 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS2 W WEST SENECA 0.86 700 AM 2/21 COCORAHS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 just back from South Florida. At least it wasn't too cold here today. Not looking forward to this next arctic blast. Long range doesn't look particularly mild either. Probably changeable weather at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2014 Author Share Posted February 23, 2014 High winds + rain melted a lot of Lake Erie ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 It looks like we could be setting up for some significant lake effect off Lake Ontario starting tonight through at least Tuesday. As cold air deepens and equilibrium levels rise tonight a band should develop east of the lake. The flow should veer slightly pushing the band south tomorrow. The question is how far south does it make it. Another question is how much does diurnal influences disrupt the band during the day. With the lack of significant synoptic systems in the near future at least we have the mesoscale to keep things interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 I had my hopes up for 290 flow with this one but now it looks more like 270-280, more of a Tug Hill event. We need a few inches of fresh here to cover the glacier and get the XC skiing going again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 000 FXUS61 KBGM 232116 AFDBGM AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 416 PM EST SUN FEB 23 2014 .SYNOPSIS... MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT, SETTING THE STAGE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OVER CENTRAL NEW YORK. WHILE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EVERYWHERE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL NEW YORK. ARCTIC AIR WILL SETTLE IN BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE TEENS WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... 400 PM UPDATE... HOPEFULLY YOU ENJOYED THE DAY BECAUSE THINGS ARE ABOUT TO CHANGE. A WELL ADVERTISED CHUNK OF ARCTIC IS READY TO MOVE BACK INTO OUR AREA THIS WEEK. THE FIRST SHOT, WILL BE PLENTY COLD ENOUGH TO SET OFF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS LATER TONIGHT. PARAMETERS LOOK GOOD WITH LAKE DELTA T'S APPROACHING 20, AND INVERSION HEIGHTS RISING TO 7KFT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH GREAT SNOW GROWTH IN THE DENDRITIC LAYER AND A MEAN FLOW BETWEEN 270 AND 280 FROM 04Z TONIGHT THROUGH 02Z TUESDAY SUPPORT WARNING LEVEL SNOWS OVER OUR AREA. OF COURSE LAKE EFFECT IS NEVER THAT EASY. DESPITE THE ABOVE, CONFIDENCE IS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE WITH THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS SHOWING THE BAND WAVERING QUITE A BIT THROUGHOUT THE EVENT, LIKE A FIRE HOSE. IN ADDITION CONCERNED DIURNAL EFFECTS MAY CHANGE A SINGLE SOLID BAND EARLY MONDAY, INTO SOMETHING MORE DIFFUSE LATE IN THE DAY. WITH ALL THAT SAID WITH A POTENTIAL LONG PERIOD OF A 270/280 FLOW, FELT A WARNING WAS WARRANTED FOR ALL OF ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS TYPE OF FLOW, ESPECIALLY TOWARD 280, WOULD FAVOR THE BAND AT TIMES RIGHT ALONG THE MADISON/ONEIDA BORDER, THUS THE SOUTHERN ONEIDA ZONE IS JUSTIFIED. BASED ON AN INCREASING MOISTURE PROFILE AND THE LEAST AMOUNT OF DIURNAL EFFECTS, THE BEST TIME FOR THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMS LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 09Z AND 16Z. LOOKING FOR 5 TO 10 INCHES THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY IN THE WARNING AREA. HIGHEST AMOUNTS TOWARD OSWEGO COUNTY. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS ONONDAGA/MADISON COUNTIES, THE CALL IS MUCH, MUCH TOUGHER. THE MODELS, NAMELY THE NAM, HAVE HAD A SOUTHWARD BIAS ALL WINTER WITH BAND PLACEMENT. JUST LOOK AT THE 4KM ARW BRINGING THE BAND DOWN INTO METRO SYRACUSE BY MONDAY MORNING. WITH THAT IN MIND THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS EXPECT MOST OF THE ACTION TO BE DANGEROUSLY CLOSE BUT JUST NORTH OF THE ADVISORY AREAS. I WOULDN'T BE SHOCKED TO NOT SEE MUCH MORE THAN A DUSTING TO AN INCH FOR MOST OF ONONDAGA AND MADISON COUNTIES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTH OF BOTH COUNTIES THE BAND MAY BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. ITS A REALLY CLOSE CALL BUT I FELT THE ADVISORY WAS A GOOD COMPROMISE WITH BUFFALO'S ADVISORIES/WARNINGS TO MY WEST. I TRIED TO STRESS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTIES IN THE ADVISORY AND NOT METRO SYRACUSE. FOR THE FAR NORTHERN PART OF THE ADVISORY AREA (SEE BREWERTON) WE WENT 2" TO 6". KEEP IN MIND THIS IS JUST FOR MONDAY THROUGH 7 PM! OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS, WE SHOULD SEE A GOOD SPRAY OF SNOW ACROSS MOST OF NY STATE DUE TO INCREASED DAYTIME HEATING HELPING FOR SOME CELLULAR SNOW SHOWERS. ACCUMS A DUSTING TO AN INCH AT MOST. BEYOND LAKE SNOWS, THE BIG STORY FOR EVERYONE WILL BE THE COLDER AIR. HIGHS ONLY IN THE 20S MONDAY WILL FEEL LIKE A DRAMATIC DROP GIVEN OUR SUNSHINE AND 40S OF RECENT MEMORY. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 400 PM UPDATE... OUR 270/280 FLOW FROM MONDAY LOOKS TO VEER SLIGHTLY TOWARD 290 MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. I AM A BIT LEARY THIS WILL PAN OUT GIVEN THE SOUTHWARD BIAS MENTIONED ABOVE, BUT ITS HARD TO ARGUE AGAINST GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS. BASED ON THIS I WENT LONG WITH THE ADVISORY/WARNING END TIME AND JUST RAN IT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IT SHOULD BE DURING THIS TIME, MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY, THAT WE HAVE OUR BEST SHOT AT THE GREATEST SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE BAND. ADDITIONAL ACCUMS LIKELY, MOSTLY IN THE ADVISORY (3 TO 7 INCH) RANGE. LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE BAND SHIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA AS A REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR MOVES OUR WAY. DAYTIME HIGHS TUESDAY IN THE 20S WILL BE FOLLOWED BY TEENS WEDNESDAY. As per this discussion it looks like here in extreme northern Onondaga County we could be looking at 5 to 13 inches by Tuesday morning. There's a possibility we could get more if the band sets up further south during the day tomorrow. Time to freshen up the glacial snowpack that's left after this thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Agree that 270-280 flow on models usually means hello Tug Hill. Again. It'll probably drop into no. onondaga/madison counties briefly at some point monday night but not expecting much more than nuisance snow here, in extreme no. onondaga cty. At least it will be cold as hell later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Whooo let's get this dusting in the Cuse metro area! We can do itttt . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 After spending the morning in Oswego County the lake effect band is making a sweep into Onondaga County right now. Looks like extreme snowfall rates in the heart of the band but it's moving steadily south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 that band swept thru with a vengeance! whiteout conditions, and snowed quite heavily. mother nature not going to be fooled by a couple of 40* days here in late Feb. the calender still says WINTER! and it looks like more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Looks like February should come in with a mean temperature between 19 and 20 degrees in BUF...somewhere near 7 degrees below normal. This will be the 2nd coldest February since 1979, falling a bit short of February 2007. There is some support for a decent snow event on Monday, March 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 What's up with the insane winds today? Gotta be one of the most windy days this winter. Couple inches of LES fluff today. Thought my chocolate lab was gonna blow away when i let him out a little bit ago haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2014 Author Share Posted February 24, 2014 Looks like February should come in with a mean temperature between 19 and 20 degrees in BUF...somewhere near 7 degrees below normal. This will be the 2nd coldest February since 1979, falling a bit short of February 2007. There is some support for a decent snow event on Monday, March 3rd. Oh goodie a Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Definitely the hardest it has snowed all winter this morning a little after 11:30. As quick as it came it left though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Oh goodie a Miller A. Oh goodie a Miller A. Not sure it ends up a full Miller A. Looks similar to those few 6-10" synoptic events we've had a few times this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Not sure it ends up a full Miller A. Looks similar to those few 6-10" synoptic events we've had a few times this winter. Oh Alright. Keep us updated. You have been MIA quite a bit this winter. I have migrated over to the Great Lakes/Ontario sub-forum. Picked up a nice burst of snow while I was at the gym, car was completely covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Looks like February should come in with a mean temperature between 19 and 20 degrees in BUF...somewhere near 7 degrees below normal. This will be the 2nd coldest February since 1979, falling a bit short of February 2007. There is some support for a decent snow event on Monday, March 3rd. Toronto has the chance to surpass 2007 and be the coldest since 1979. It'll be close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Quite an impressive band off of frozen L. Erie, just south of Dunkirk! Low level convergence + low level ambient moisture ftw! Meanwhile, the unfrozen lake produced near 20" in my old stomping grounds in Parish (per my mother) as of 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Quite an impressive band off of frozen L. Erie, just south of Dunkirk! Low level convergence + low level ambient moisture ftw! Meanwhile, the unfrozen lake produced near 20" in my old stomping grounds in Parish (per my mother) as of 5pm. Yeah, the warmup + strong winds created from openings in the lake. It is not fully frozen now. Theres quite a bit of open ice near Cleveland and some cracks in the ice as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Toronto has the chance to surpass 2007 and be the coldest since 1979. It'll be close! I know you love your cold so I will be rooting for you. But I hate the cold, give me the snow records all day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Pretty incredible time lapse. http://science.time.com/2014/02/23/great-lakes-frozen-time-lapse-video/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.