Syrmax Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 This is the 3rd time during a winter storm this season that I recall the Buffalo radar going down. What the hey. Its also about time for KTYX up on the Tug to go belly up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 This is the 3rd time during a winter storm this season that I recall the Buffalo radar going down. What the hey. There are plenty of radars working, just find another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Just saw the rap, it went from low end to high und for thruway communities. I should just let this play out, I know. But I love watching the models roll in and compare to facts on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Just saw the rap, it went from low end to high und for thruway communities. I should just let this play out, I know. But I love watching the models roll in and compare to facts on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 What gives w the radar? Do they monkey with it during storms and over load the software or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Latest Model have trended even further Southeast. Doubt the high end amounts of the forecast will be realized. Going with 6-10 across KBUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Moderate snow outside, already 1/4"-1/2" on the ground, nothing at the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 BTW, the 00z NAM basically took 40% off it's 12z run totals for much of CNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 2.5" steady moderate snow for several hours now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 talk about a dry slot. I'd guess 2-3" here in CNY....I'm surprised they closed schools. Unless this second piece gives us a good thump, this could be an ultimate fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Bustolysis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 So we we're suppose to get a storm? Lol. Racked up a whole 1-1.5" wow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 3.4" in Cuse so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 2.2 inches with the WAA snows. Was expecting 3-6, definitely under-performing so far. Measuring board is swept clean and ready for the deform band. Were going to need some lake enhancement across the Niagara Frontier to get to warning criteria snows I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 talk about a dry slot. I'd guess 2-3" here in CNY....I'm surprised they closed schools. Unless this second piece gives us a good thump, this could be an ultimate fail The heavy snow banding set up quite a bit south of where it was forecast to develop yesterday... the current heavy precip over PA doesn't help matters either. Albany doesn't look to bust too badly, but the whole central NY axis looks to underperform with the banding having failed to set up as modeled. Looking outside, any increase in accumulation is barely noticeable over the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Over 5 inches here in Otsego County. Light snow when I woke up, getting much heavier now. That big hole on the radar rolling east is not putting a smile on anyone's face though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 2.5"of rice snow, 0.30" liquid. Not even 10:1. Turn out the lights, the storm is over.... School delayed, then cancelled...for 2" of snow and prospects for #notmuchmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Not to be a Debbie, but interested to see if my totally unscientific "50% rule" works with this event. For these types of synoptic systems approaching from the southwest, I take the snowfall forecast from the day before and cut it in half. So my guess for BUF on this storm would be in the 4-6" range. Be gentle...I'm not saying models show this and I understand why the forecast is what it is at this point. I'm just wary of the dry slot, poor snow growth, early transfer, etc. that seem to accompany these storms and cut back on snow totals in WNY. Good call Greg lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Good call Greg lol Well the models did trend south a few hours before the storm hit by 100 miles or so. Check out cocorahs Binghamton got 10 inches from WAA snows. We would of been in line for some of that had it went further north. What we learn from this, never trust the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 2.5"of rice snow, 0.30" liquid. Not even 10:1. Turn out the lights, the storm is over.... School delayed, then cancelled...for 2" of snow and prospects for #notmuchmore. 3" here.. tell me next time not to get excited over some synoptic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 3" here.. tell me next time not to get excited over some synoptic storm. I guess so, but back in 2008 in March we had back to back 12+ inch synoptic storms. People act like we can't get hit with good synoptic storms in WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Remember this one? You just have to get the right trajectory of a storm really is all. This one passed by way to far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I guess so, but back in 2008 in March we had back to back 12+ inch synoptic storms. People act like we can't get hit with good synoptic storms in WNY. Sure, we've had our share of big synoptic hits in WNY. It just seems these Miller B(ust) storms more often than not fail to deliver the goods. That said, I'm not quite ready to throw in the towel yet. Maybe the wraparound snow will over-perform a bit and get most of the region up to 6"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the minister Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Big bust here in Spencer, NY (just south of Ithaca). Thought we had a sure thing on this one. But it still looks nice. Maybe next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Snowing like crazy here in north Toronto. About 4-5" in total so far when that was originally supposed to be out storm total. I'm pulling for you guys in Buffalo to get in on some of the action! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 That band over Erie is producing 2 inch per hour rates. If we can get into that for a few hours we will be golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Snowing like crazy here in north Toronto. About 4-5" in total so far when that was originally supposed to be out storm total. I'm pulling for you guys in Buffalo to get in on some of the action! Wow nice lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 3 inches here, over a foot in Binghamton. I give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the minister Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Slight correction...I just shovelled, and it's a good 6-7 inches in Spencer...more than it looked from the window, So, not really a bust. But still.... Hoping for 1 or 2 more bands! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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