Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS 0.5"+ for everybody... Hoooo-boy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS over around 9pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 does that include ratios? Yes, though I don't know what they are using. QPF is between 0.5" and 0.6" for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Lol 10" for me on the Goofus. Mapgirl approaching a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_036.gif Lets just lock this one in right now!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 you get at least 0.5" Good, I I saw that shortly after I posted. Looking like a really good event for all of us. I don't see how DCA gets less than 5 unless ,,,,,,that area really is a heat sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 What are the ratios for this hit? I would say stay with 12:1 to 15:1 for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_036.gif Slammed. GFS has been consistent each run, just increasing totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Matt, surface temp at onset? I've been out all day enjoying the torch. 25-ish. GFS has consistently been cooler than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS over around 9pm.. Cool...One thing I've liked seeing is that this isn't a quick hit 4-6 hour event, but essentially an all-day affair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I would say stay with 12:1 to 15:1 for the region. Yes. Don't buy 20:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 25-ish. GFS has consistently been cooler than the NAM. Wow, that is money even 3-4 degrees warmer. Road crews are going to have a tough time with the roads tomorrow afternoon-night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Matt, surface temp at onset? I've been out all day enjoying the torch. GFS is around 23....NAM is around 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Winchester...winner winner chicken dinner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Take that snow map, cut it in half and I still get the biggest snow in 2 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This run is really a big city special - DC, Philly, NYC, Bos all cash in. Somehow, the jackpot ends up over CT Blizz's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Has anyone checked instability? I can't imagine someone not getting +tssn. Rapidly deepening and true arctic air is an awesome combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Good, I I saw that shortly after I posted. Looking like a really good event for all of us. I don't see how DCA gets less than 5 unless ,,,,,,that area really is a heat sink. I'm sure DCA will find a way to be...well...DCA. But they should break their <2" streak (they didn't quite do it for the Jan. 2-3 event, unfortunately...1.9" in fact). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This run is really a big city special - DC, Philly, NYC, Bos all cash in. Somehow, the jackpot ends up over CT Blizz's house. He works hard for his snow. That's why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This run is really a big city special - DC, Philly, NYC, Bos all cash in. Somehow, the jackpot ends up over CT Blizz's house. He programs the GFS and is DTK's boss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 What's GFS showing with start times? Thinking about hitting Roundtop early--stay the night. All day freshies? Might have to do it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Has anyone checked instability? I can't imagine someone not getting +tssn. Rapidly deepening and true arctic air is an awesome combo. I looked at the 12z NAM and GFS. Didn't see signs of an unstable layer on either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This run is really a big city special - DC, Philly, NYC, Bos all cash in. Somehow, the jackpot ends up over CT Blizz's house. Been a long time since everyone from DC to Bos has cashed in. Ric might even be in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'm amazed on how this became what it is. We went from maybe a dusting and another one of the little clippers to a legit snowstorm with little chance of a bust. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I looked at the 12z NAM and GFS. Didn't see signs of an unstable layer on either. This is the kind of setup that would do it in the heaviest bands. I'm kinda expecting the "omg thunder!" Posts from somebody in the ma forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I knew I moved from Norfolk to DC for a good reason! Game time boys! Models have gone from no deal clipper to full fledged snowstorm. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'm amazed on how this became what it is. We went from maybe a dusting and another one of the little clippers to a legit snowstorm with little chance of a bust. Beautiful. Savor it. We'll have another couple hundred busts and agony events before it repeats. Unless you believe in atmospheric memory. I kinda do but not for dc snow. Only mappy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This is the kind of setup that would do it in the heaviest bands. I'm kinda expecting the "omg thunder!" Posts from somebody in the ma forum Yeah, I was expecting to see it on the NAM actually. Maybe 18z will have it. But, given the strong frontogenesis, VVs, cold air advection, etc..., there will certainly be some heavy bands. Maybe some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Savor it. We'll have another couple hundred busts and agony events before it repeats. Unless you believe in atmospheric memory. I kinda do but not for dc snow. Only mappy snow. Its funny because the 12z GFS was advertising a pretty close to repeat scenario for this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 every model run since yesterday has trended wetter...when does that trend stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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