snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Matt you are not lol'ng at me anymore are you?. I like to wait until verification before I start doing a snow dance....last 3 warnings I have a total of 1" cumulative...Plus as I said I dont care if 10" falls in Westminster or Bluemont VA or York Springs...Those are fantasy places to me like never-never land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I enjoyed seeing the words "heavy snow" in LWX's afternoon discussion. Source: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Yes, very nice. Almost had to do a double-take seeing those two words strung together for this area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 3/9/99, I got 12:1...ground truth the same...daytime storm starting around 8am - ending around 11pm.....temp 24-25.....This one wont be quite as wet, but I have to imagine, I will get better ratios on 1/20 than 3/9 even with similar temp profiles....that was a wetter storm coming from the west...I dont think it had canadian origin....This one will be more powder...14:1 should be reasonable How this PJ s/w gets enough room between PV revolutions is beyond me! It truly is amazing timing and makes you wonder what is coming up next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Should we be concerned with surface temps (or, more importantly, ground temps) tomorrow considering the models busted 8-10° high with today's blowtorch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I like to wait until verification before I start doing a snow dance....last 3 warnings I have a total of 1" cumulative...Plus as I said I dont care if 10" falls in Westminster or Bluemont VA or York Springs...Those are fantasy places to me like never-never land You are in the game for as much as 7 or 8", i think you will be very happy tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Come back tomorrow night and we will see who is right. And it does not necessarily have to be you. I said someone in our subforum. you dont seem to understand....I never said it would or wouldnt happen...I was laughing at your boyish enthusiasm and hyperbole over one model run with no basis other than model addiction...again...I dont give a f-uck what happens in Manchester MD....i couldnt care less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Deformation bands love Leesburg...it's an actual fact and is backed up in every obs thread for good snowstorms going back to eastern...basically.. yay me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How this PJ s/w gets enough room between PV revolutions is beyond me! It truly is amazing timing and makes you wonder what is coming up next. We don't have to wonder we have you here to tell us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Go here: http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Click on NAM, then 850mb and then choose "relative humidity." They plot streamlines on that image, so you can see the convergence zone/deformation zone working NW to SE. Someone in NE MD seems to get pivot action out of it. Also be sure to do this at the 700mb layer too. You'll see that zone is further to the NW, as usual. Perfect. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Cras still on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How this PJ s/w gets enough room between PV revolutions is beyond me! It truly is amazing timing and makes you wonder what is coming up next. yes...we did thread the needle a bit (assuming we verify)...And it does make the upcoming period more exciting than it looked just 36 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Should we be concerned with surface temps (or, more importantly, ground temps) tomorrow considering the models busted 8-10° high with today's blowtorch? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 you dont seem to understand....I never said it would or wouldnt happen...I was laughing at your boyish enthusiasm and hyperbole over one model run with no basis other than model addiction...again...I dont give a f-uck what happens in Manchester MD....i couldnt care less I totally understand what you meant, btw it was 4 very fine looking models . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Individual members.. ARW's tend to be wet biased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 We don't have to wonder we have you here to tell us. lol... well I take no credit for this storm should you guys verify your predictions. In the LR, I was downplaying these PJ waves and focusing my attention on late month. Hats off to Bob etc. who saw the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 You are in the game for as much as 7 or 8", i think you will be very happy tomorrow night. i hope so ...otherwise you get my wrath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 lol... well I take no credit for this storm should you guys verify your predictions. In the LR, I was downplaying these PJ waves and focusing my attention on late month. Hats off to Bob etc. who saw the potential. You should do great on this one. You are in extreme SE PA correct?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Wonder if we'll get some blizzard warnings for DE coast, NJ coast etc. Maybe even the bay counties but probably mainly near shore where the best odds are. I was kinda wondering that too. Mount Holly hasn't updated their AFD yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 lulz, CRAS is like a 955 superbomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 i hope so ...otherwise you get my wrath I feel it in my 10 years of weather boards and constant model watching bones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Go here: http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Click on NAM, then 850mb and then choose "relative humidity." They plot streamlines on that image, so you can see the convergence zone/deformation zone working NW to SE. Someone in NE MD seems to get pivot action out of it. Also be sure to do this at the 700mb layer too. You'll see that zone is further to the NW, as usual. Neat site. So much to see and learn. Looking at the streamlines, is the convergence area denoted by non-paralell (meeting at angles) streamlines. If so, looks like there is a pretty good zone out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Rumor has it that Cantore is headed to DC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Deformation bands love Leesburg...it's an actual fact and is backed up in every obs thread for good snowstorms going back to eastern...basically.. yay me Its always in that same area. From basically Winchester north to HGR and east to just NW of Baltimore. Funny how it happens every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I totally understand what you meant, btw it was 4 very fine looking models .One of the most annoying things here is the focus on everyone's past calls. Who cares except you? No one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Rumor has it that Cantore is headed to DC.. NOOOOO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 umor has it that Cantore is headed to DC.. Uh ow NOOOOO. Storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 One of the most annoying things here is the focus on everyone's past calls. Who cares except you? No one. It is sorta like IMBY, who cares about anyone elses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Rumor has it that Cantore is headed to DC..We are screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Rumor has it that Cantore is headed to DC.. For a 6 inch storm? TWC is absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Rumor has it that Cantore is headed to DC.. Can't even watch him Directv has cut off TWC. I am stuck with Weather Nation. Come to think of it i can put on my backup cable hookup but it is only in SD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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