Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The only reason I can think of for temps is more amp in front and slower solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 DCA still gets like .4" liquid. People should go to bed. What does Baltimore get?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 How bad?. You're ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 How bad?. .35-.4" DC, .4-.5" Balt. .5"+ FDK/HGR/MRB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 What does Baltimore get?. same..0.35" - ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 DCA still gets like .4" liquid. People should go to bed. .that is a disaster....most models have us between .50 and .60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capitalweather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I dont know if it changes anything, but...temps, north trend are a bit concerning... yes- you and i have both seen enough dc events to be a little concerned. one other thing to worry about is how fast this might move through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 You're ok. .35-.4" DC, .4-.5" Balt. .5"+ FDK/HGR/MRB Thanks, you can never tell by Matt since he is always IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 .35-.4" DC, .4-.5" Balt. .5"+ FDK/HGR/MRB wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Too many model runs. Can't remember euro at 12z. Anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 DT gets about .11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 What does Baltimore get?. the problem for us is of course if we don't get rates and have marginal temps we're at least partially screwed.. but we probably should have learned our lesson by now so perhaps we deserve it. at this pt.. i dunno what we can do other than see what it looks like in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thanks, you can never tell by Matt since he is always IMBY. you dont get 0.5..sorry dude... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 same..0.35" - ish Thanks it still seems worst case scenario i see 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Too many model runs. Can't remember euro at 12z. Anyone? 0.49 for DCA...I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 i dropped from .48 to .42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thanks, you can never tell by Matt since he is always IMBY. .44 BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capitalweather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 DCA still gets like .4" liquid. People should go to bed. i just want dca to safely break streak (get 3-4 inches)... this euro run should still do it, but if we lose qpf/ratios due to temps early on, we may be sweating this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Has any model been correct with the current temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 ok...thanks...my maps are a little drier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 you dont get 0.5..sorry dude... he is right..MRB gets .53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Too many model runs. Can't remember euro at 12z. Anyone? If you put them side by side you might laugh a little at the discussion here the last 10 min. But such is life when dictated by 0.10" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wxbell seems to give me .5. Either way arguing over .1 on one model should not change the outcome much. I still think 6-10" is the way to go for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Heck, were good. Temps are what they are but most if not all falls below freezing. I'll go with a blend of all qpf and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wxbell seems to give me .5. Either way arguing over .1 on one model should not change the outcome much. I still think 6-10" is the way to go for my area. Not worried about liquid. Temps are the issue right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 i just want dca to safely break streak (get 3-4 inches)... this euro run should still do it, but if we lose qpf/ratios due to temps early on, we may be sweating this one. yeah.. dca is never a safe bet. i think some of the worrying is extra given what keeps happening though. at least on hi res maps the run looks almost the same as 12z to me. i'd feel more comfortable with this starting at like 5a.. always scary to have the sun come up if temps are marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wxbell seems to give me .5. Either way arguing over .1 on one model should not change the outcome much. I still think 6-10" is the way to go for my area. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 .44 BWI Since i am 25-30 miles north of there i should be close to .50 that is great for the lowest QPF of any model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Heck, were good. Temps are what they are but most if not all falls below freezing. I'll go with a blend of all qpf and be happy. I hate this place sometimes. I'm going to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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