needbiggerboat Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Mean inched up a bit, with a few more high end plumes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Snow ratios don't just get uniformly higher with colder temps. Ratios have to do with the type of snow crystals as well. Dendrites typically produce some of the best ratios, but at colder temps you get plates and columns which are less "fluffy". Good points, thanks for the clarification/correction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 A nice paper on snow-liquid ratio. Ratios greater than 30:1 are extremely rare. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/WAF856.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I just found this loon. He is my #1 pick for best forecaster of 2014, just beating DT. http://www.facebook.com/WxSynopsis Here is a snippet. THE GFS IS A BRUTAL BOMB....VERY NASTY SUB 990LOW COASTAL STORM BOMBING OFF THE COAST, DUMPING SNOW AT RATES OF 2-3IN AT ITS PEAK. WINDS ARE VERY NASTY ON THIS RUN. BEST OF ALL, THE GFS HAS ALL OF VA AT.50 OR HIGHER QPF. SNOW RATIO PUSHING 30:1 ON THIS RUN. ... ALL OF VA, EVERY SQUARE INCH SHOULD NOW PREPARE FOR A MAJOR SNOWSTORM. WIDESPREAD CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR BLIZZARD CRITERIA. PLEASE PREPARE TONIGHT AND **DO NOT** TRAVEL TOMORROW, STAY OFF THE ROADS EDIT: This was supposed to be the banter thread... Surely he's hoping is middle school principal reads this and closes school tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 USA_VVEL_700mb_017.gif wow.. doesn't get much better for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 USA_VVEL_700mb_017.gif Mitchnik deathband! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 A nice paper on snow-liquid ratio. Ratios greater than 30:1 are extremely rare. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/WAF856.1 Interesting...I have a copy of that very paper at work but thus far have only been able to give a cursory glance! Been meaning to make more time to read more in-depth. And yes, 30:1 is pretty extreme. (On a related subject, I've heard that in the upper plains, cattle die not only from cold but also from dehydration...they eat the snow for "drink" but there's so little water content. Not sure how true that really is, but anyhow.). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First attempt at a map, let me know what you think: that should be your last attempt at a map. What is Northern Virginia going to mix with? snow with snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Consistant banding location at 700. Along and just NW will do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Mean inched up a bit, with a few more high end plumes. image.jpg LOL: "tenman johnson chris hansen - google search" :lol: :lol: :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 MN transplant posting 700mb images is one of my new favorite things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 that should be your last attempt at a map. What is Northern Virginia going to mix with? snow with snow? You should keep reading the conversation, I didn't really make that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I am just hoping the 0z suite holds the same as the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Think of it more as intensification vs redevelopment. It's only going to gain strength as it turns the corner and rides the coast. We have complete model consensus from the big dogs to the science fair projects. If you can find a hole in guidance that brings cause for concern let me kno. Imo- were bulletproof for a widespread 4+ anywhere near the cities So....what about lead time. Which models had a lock more than three days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Weenies have killed NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mama2Many Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Now there's a good real-time usage of the acronyms right there in action for ya, Mama2Many... LMAO! Brain bulging...might explode......LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Northern MD looks golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Nam'ed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 NAM looks more tucked in. Great run so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The NAM is even wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 NAM looks good from what I can see so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 may be a smidge more after but not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Northern MD looks golden. I thought it would be the eastern shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 eh....further north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 it has DCA below freezing by 1am....20's by 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 may be a smidge more after but not much nam_total_precip_ne_9.png Yeah, more after that. 0.5 drops just south of DC. 0.6 in N MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 eh....further north... Still good, but we don't want much more movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 MN, that 700 map is sick. Lwx talked about the possibility of a heavy band starting n and rotating se as the low passes. Wow, I'm stoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Hope DC can get in on the best banding this time around, NAM is bringing that southern edge a bit close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.