yoda Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 higher QPF on the 21z SREFs look slightly higher than the 15z ones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I just found this loon. He is my #1 pick for best forecaster of 2014, just beating DT. http://www.facebook.com/WxSynopsis Here is a snippet. THE GFS IS A BRUTAL BOMB....VERY NASTY SUB 990LOW COASTAL STORM BOMBING OFF THE COAST, DUMPING SNOW AT RATES OF 2-3IN AT ITS PEAK. WINDS ARE VERY NASTY ON THIS RUN. BEST OF ALL, THE GFS HAS ALL OF VA AT.50 OR HIGHER QPF. SNOW RATIO PUSHING 30:1 ON THIS RUN. ... ALL OF VA, EVERY SQUARE INCH SHOULD NOW PREPARE FOR A MAJOR SNOWSTORM. WIDESPREAD CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR BLIZZARD CRITERIA. PLEASE PREPARE TONIGHT AND **DO NOT** TRAVEL TOMORROW, STAY OFF THE ROADS, AND STOP READING ANYTHING I POST EDIT: This was supposed to be the banter thread... fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 They look slightly higher than the 15z ones Yeah, kinda looks like that, but I think it might be more an effect of expanded 0.5" contour (larger coverage). At least looks that way eyeballing it compared to earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 QPF on the 21z SREFs look slightly higher than the 15z ones They are ... notably back towards 81/CHO/SHD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yeah, kinda looks like that, but I think it might be more an effect of expanded 0.5" contour (larger coverage). At least looks that way eyeballing it compared to earlier. A lot of times though increased coverage indicates that some small area of the 0.5 (or whatever contour applies in a given case) will see the higher range of that color amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 fixed heheh. If I could +1 you I would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 A lot of times though increased coverage indicates that some small area of the 0.5 (or whatever contour applies in a given case) will see the higher range of that color amount. Yup, agreed...sorry if my previous post implied otherwise, I think as you say higher amounts are implicit in an expanded coverage. Or something like that, if that makes sense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 And WV "dancers" "Snowchase"' my a** Casino Live aint too shabby either. I'm looking forward to the new Vegas style casino coming in 2016 to the National Harbor area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxJordan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I typically post in the southeast forum, but this is valid here too. I usually stop at the Pennsylvania line, so this is only valid to that line. Here is my final call map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yup, agreed...sorry if my previous post implied otherwise, I think as you say higher amounts are implicit in an expanded coverage. Or something like that, if that makes sense! Don't know how I missed that you were in SIlver Spring. Good luck to everyone tomorrow (but more importantly us!). I'm sure those SREF maps are still being skewed a bit the the ARW members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First attempt at a map, let me know what you think: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wx synopsis is a buddy do DT, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I typically post in the southeast forum, but this is valid here too. I usually stop at the Pennsylvania line, so this is only valid to that line. Here is my final call map... Your map will make lots of friends here in the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I just found this loon. He is my #1 pick for best forecaster of 2014, just beating DT. http://www.facebook.com/WxSynopsis Here is a snippet. THE GFS IS A BRUTAL BOMB....VERY NASTY SUB 990LOW COASTAL STORM BOMBING OFF THE COAST, DUMPING SNOW AT RATES OF 2-3IN AT ITS PEAK. WINDS ARE VERY NASTY ON THIS RUN. BEST OF ALL, THE GFS HAS ALL OF VA AT.50 OR HIGHER QPF. SNOW RATIO PUSHING 30:1 ON THIS RUN. ... ALL OF VA, EVERY SQUARE INCH SHOULD NOW PREPARE FOR A MAJOR SNOWSTORM. WIDESPREAD CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR BLIZZARD CRITERIA. PLEASE PREPARE TONIGHT AND **DO NOT** TRAVEL TOMORROW, STAY OFF THE ROADS EDIT: This was supposed to be the banter thread... 30:1 is the most absurd thing I've ever heard. What horrible forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Don't know how I missed that you were in SIlver Spring. Good luck to everyone tomorrow (but more importantly us!). I'm sure those SREF maps are still being skewed a bit the the ARW members. Yeah, moved here from the Capitol Hill neighborhood in DC about 5 years ago...just in time for the 2009-10 winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First attempt at a map, let me know what you think: Is that yours or a map that someone else created? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First attempt at a map, let me know what you think: 'copter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First attempt at a map, let me know what you think: lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Is that yours or a map that someone else created? lol no, it's not really mine. I always get a laugh when I see it, I figured others would too. It was brought up in the CPA forum because a local "stormchasing team" posted a map on FB with the central portion of southern DE getting from 2-10" and adjacent zones for 6-9 and 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Is that yours or a map that someone else created? LOL..it's a classic from EasternUswx days. Some weenie made that and was serious about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 lol no, it's not mine. I always get a laugh when I see it, I figured others would too. Oh, lol. I fell for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 30:1 is the most absurd thing I've ever heard. What horrible forecasting. I don't think they even get 30:1 ratios in ND/SD during those big Arctic outbreaks (well, maybe upon occasion in an extreme), so no way we get that here. As others have said, I think 12:1-15:1 is reasonable for tomorrow's event, probably increasing in that range as the day goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 lol no, it's not really mine. I always get a laugh when I see it, I figured others would too. It was brought up in the CPA forum because a local "stormchasing team" posted a map on FB with the central portion of southern DE getting from 2-10" and adjacent zones for 6-9 and 6-10. You had me and I was over on eastern under a different name, but don't remember seeing that. Thank goodness it wasn't yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 You know that image is old.. when the map actually does not get recognized immediately by some members. ;; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 High mountain areas in the west can pull ridiculous ratios like that, not dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First attempt at a map, let me know what you think: Piet Mondrian, is that you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I wasn't even around for the original posting of that map, but I managed to find it and save a copy for teh lulz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 LOL..it's a classic from EasternUswx days. Some weenie made that and was serious about it. Classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I just found this loon. He is my #1 pick for best forecaster of 2014, just beating DT. http://www.facebook.com/WxSynopsis Here is a snippet. THE GFS IS A BRUTAL BOMB....VERY NASTY SUB 990LOW COASTAL STORM BOMBING OFF THE COAST, DUMPING SNOW AT RATES OF 2-3IN AT ITS PEAK. WINDS ARE VERY NASTY ON THIS RUN. BEST OF ALL, THE GFS HAS ALL OF VA AT.50 OR HIGHER QPF. SNOW RATIO PUSHING 30:1 ON THIS RUN. ... ALL OF VA, EVERY SQUARE INCH SHOULD NOW PREPARE FOR A MAJOR SNOWSTORM. WIDESPREAD CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR BLIZZARD CRITERIA. PLEASE PREPARE TONIGHT AND **DO NOT** TRAVEL TOMORROW, STAY OFF THE ROADS EDIT: This was supposed to be the banter thread... LOL, 30:1 ... OH MAN! What a loon indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I don't think they even get 30:1 ratios in ND/SD during those big Arctic outbreaks (well, maybe upon occasion in an extreme), so no way we get that here. As others have said, I think 12:1-15:1 is reasonable for tomorrow's event, probably increasing in that range as the day goes on. Snow ratios don't just get uniformly higher with colder temps. Ratios have to do with the type of snow crystals as well. Dendrites typically produce some of the best ratios, but at colder temps you get plates and columns which are less "fluffy". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.