buckeye Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 But the RAP is a whiff to the north. Interestingly though, the 12z RGEM p-type maps bring a mixed bag through LAF later. Might make sense with temps getting so warm here today. Only thing that is really going to suck, is the snow cover is going to get vaporized. rap sucks...but wouldn't be surprised to see this ushered in with a quick mix or even rain before a quick changeover here. If nothing else, should be an interesting show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Winds kicked up out of nowhere. Really blowing the fresh powder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The farther east you are, the less warmth makes it in I think. Should be a brief warm up for you guys...but nothing like what will transpire here. It'll be an all day assault for LAF. Just cracked 35º on my thermometer...a 22º rise since 8:00 AM. Snow melting like a mother... are you guys sunny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 are you guys sunny? In and out of the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 a little south of the 15Z Not surprising...This is an I-80 on south event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 More of that snow with nothing on the radar here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 14z HRRR hits Cedar Rapids to QC to LAF pretty good. South of the RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 56º at STL. Definitely tee time weather down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Yikes. Glad we got an extra 4" today...should help with that torch coming, though I can't imagine it being quite as impressive here. yea imagine we warm up enough to lose 8-9" of fresh snow....I'm done til next November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 WRF-NNM furthest south. Misses CR/QC/LAF to the south with the best snow squalls. Lines up better from Des Moines to Burlington, down into central IL. Still nice snows along I-80 corridor in IL but not as "squally". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 snow getting a little more enhanced now...... should continue to increase thru the day. was just in town and took this. van, what van? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Temp is heading up here as well. Was 14° an hour ago, now 21°. Sun broke out a few times. Still light winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 WRF-NNM furthest south. Misses CR/QC/LAF to the south with the best snow squalls. Lines up better from Des Moines to Burlington, down into central IL. Still nice snows along I-80 corridor in IL but not as "squally". Looks like it may clip LAF...but yeah, best is to the south of here. Pretty nice looking line of fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 snow getting a little more enhanced now...... should continue to increase thru the day. was just in town and took this. van, what van? 126141.jpg Got some records within reach. And poor NE lower. They've been our sister region in screwage the last 5-6 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Looks like it may clip LAF...but yeah, best is to the south of here. Pretty nice looking line of fun. Forecasting this thing is kind of similar to forecasting a convective complex in the warm season. Looks like the best squalls should line up just south of the tight boundary layer baroclinic zone. The comma head should roll right along that boundary, wherever that sets up. The warmer we get the better chance we get in on the squall part of the complex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Some 65-70mph wind gusts being reported out of central South Dakota behind the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 16z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The farther east you are, the less warmth makes it in I think. Should be a brief warm up for you guys...but nothing like what will transpire here. It'll be an all day assault for LAF. Just cracked 35º on my thermometer...a 22º rise since 8:00 AM. Snow melting like a mother... At least we got something this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Forecasting this thing is kind of similar to forecasting a convective complex in the warm season. Looks like the best squalls should line up just south of the tight boundary layer baroclinic zone. The comma head should roll right along that boundary, wherever that sets up. The warmer we get the better chance we get in on the squall part of the complex. Yeah. The ones that we had roll through here Wednesday night were very intense. And we didn't have nearly the temp gradient as this one looks to have. Could be electric for those that get underneath those bands. Unfortunately I have a social engagement at a local watering hole with my lady friend tonight, so no video from me most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 At least we got something this morning. No doubt. Very happy with that. Hopefully we can get lucky tonight. Temp has leveled off on my thermometer...and even down a few 0.1º's in the past 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 56º at STL. Definitely tee time weather down there. I think I've forgotten what weather that warm feels like snow getting a little more enhanced now...... should continue to increase thru the day. was just in town and took this. van, what van? 126141.jpg That is ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Snow depth is more less a meaningless statistic right now but UofM recorded a 8" depth yesterday so after today it should be double digits. Crossed 50" for the season yesterday too. Back to pixie dust snow here after a period of parachutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Got some records within reach. And poor NE lower. They've been our sister region in screwage the last 5-6 years. Never thought I'd see the day we were smoking Houghton Lake and Alpena's seasonal snow totals this early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Got some records within reach. And poor NE lower. They've been our sister region in screwage the last 5-6 years. a co-op over in Maple city (Leelanau) has 154" already. the NW lower coast here has a shot at 180-200"... I'm in awe! And the hour drive between Houghton Lake and Gaylord, and a 100" spread is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Up, up, and away. 50º or bust! LAF hourly graph. 1:26 ob graph.gif It is amazing to me that even with all this cold air, the warm air can push in so strongly. Since the system snows were slightly north of guidance (in terms of the heaviest banding) it wouldn't be out of the question to see a shift north with the arctic frontal snows. Often times these bands extend farther than they are predicted. Got 4 to 5 inches here this morning with some lake enhancement. The snowpack continues to build! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Unfortunately I have a social engagement at a local watering hole with my lady friend tonight, so no video from me most likely. Well, at least none you can post here. Haha j/k. 15z HRRR ticked north a bit compared to the 14z version. EDIT: Squall line still looking strong by the time it reaches LAF on that HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Never thought I'd see the day we were smoking Houghton Lake and Alpena's seasonal snow totals this early most of the immediate coast from here to Manistee area has 130"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Snow depth is more less a meaningless statistic right now but UofM recorded a 8" depth yesterday so after today it should be double digits. Crossed 50" for the season yesterday too. Back to pixie dust snow here after a period of parachutes just getting back into parachutes hereThere's like 5-8" out front at my house, 7-12 out back. Hard to tell from all the drifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Well, at least none you can post here. Haha j/k. 15z HRRR ticked north a bit compared to the 14z version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 most of the immediate coast from here to Manistee area has 130"+ Talk about a screw zone, been there though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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