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January 22-27th Clippers/Hybrids


Chicago Storm

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Old Tim is back!

 

Not feeling good about the morning stuff but think we could squeeze an inch or so out of it.  Then the stuff along the front could pack a punch with perhaps another inch.  I'm almost where I was before in terms of totals but leaning more toward the low end of the 2-3" range.

 

lol, no chance. Complete whiff on the morning the stuff to the north...and then arctic front stuff slips south. Bluto Blutarsky for LAF. 0.0. Take it to the bank. :guitar:

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Kevlon yeah it's pouring here just north of St. Paul. Flake size seems to be increasing. Roads are covered and it's whipping around good out there.

Looking good in the hood here now too.

Interesting how their overall depth might be a little greater here, but with no big dumps or warmups, you can pretty much shovel straight through the foot or so of dry compacted snow and get to grass. Back home our four inch concrete sub-base makes for a horse of a different color.

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The dry snow you refer to is really gonna blow tomorrow night. I bet They extend the blizzard warnings to MSP proper.

We have a breakfast meetup in St. Louis Park, then grabbing some Metrodome teflon, and then getting the hell out of dodge. Anticipate the most interesting stretches will be Madison to Janesville on I-90 mid-late afternoon and then Rt. 14 from Janesville down through Walworth County where WDOT plowed drifts were already double/triple vehicle high in places last week.
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Latest from IND. I think Mike Ryan did this update, so I like that...even if it's not the best case scenario.

 

ENDLESS STREAM OF CLIPPERS CONTINUE WITH THE NEXT ONE RAPIDLY
DROPPING THROUGH THE DAKOTAS THIS EVENING. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY EXPAND BACK ACROSS THE REGION
AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE SURFACE WAVE APPROACHES. HAVE SOME CONCERN
THAT DRIER AIR WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LIMIT SNOWFALL A BIT
AS THIS SYSTEM SWINGS INTO THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY. HAVE BACKED OFF
ON ONSET OF LIGHT SNOW AND ACCUMS BETWEEN 09-12Z...AS MODEL
SOUNDINGS HINT AT THE DRY LAYER WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER NOT BEING
ERODED COMPLETELY. WHILE DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT SNOWFALL INTENSITY...
RATIOS WILL BE UP IN THE 15-18 TO 1 RANGE WHICH WILL COMPENSATE A
BIT. 00Z NAM AND RAP HAVE BOTH COME IN FURTHER NORTH WITH THE MAIN
SWATH OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...AND EXPECT PRIOR TO
DAYBREAK LIGHT SNOW WILL PRIMARILY BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF I-70.

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lol @ GFS showing 0.25" precip here by day break.  That would fluff up to about 4" with the decent ratios.  Reports out of Iowa aren't that great considering the way the radar looks.  GFS looks to be severely underestimating the dry air.

 

EDIT:  Looks like the HRRR **** the bed.  Can't get it to update on any of my favorite sites, or on GREarth.

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We have a breakfast meetup in St. Louis Park, then grabbing some Metrodome teflon, and then getting the hell out of dodge. Anticipate the most interesting stretches will be Madison to Janesville on I-90 mid-late afternoon and then Rt. 14 from Janesville down through Walworth County where WDOT plowed drifts were already double/triple vehicle high in places last week.

Good luck. I drove up this morning and the wind was blowing snow onto the highway in long stretches. Down to one lane in both directions north of Madison and the dells.

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there's a "fruit belt" here along the coast. lots of orchards.  it really is a cool place to live.  interesting climate... lots of micros.

Yup, blueberries are quite common around here and then cherries and even grapes up by Bo.

  

A pretty rare sight here in parts of NWOH. A very impressive LES band stretches from off of Lake Michigan to BG and into Sandusky county. It's been ripping here for about an hour at this point. Nice bonus snow here. I almost wish it was over KTOL so it would add to our snowfall record this month... but I'll take it  :snowing:

attachicon.gif994119_10152147646826897_745650636_n.jpg

Sweet. It is always cool to see lake effect bands hitting places they're "not supposed" to hit. Enjoy your glimpse of LES! How much have you received?

  

Working tonight on the aviation marine desk. Should be fun.

Sent from my SCH-I535

I don't mean to sound obnoxious or ignorant, but what kind of boats actually go out in this weather at this time of the year?

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4z RAP

 

RAP_255_2014012604_F18_PCPIN_18_HR.png

 

Sick gradient on the south side.

 

Looking pretty good for you guys up there.  I'm hoping this bump northward brings tomorrow afternoon's squalls more into play, but who knows.  DVN's warning should get chopped off quite a bit, maybe 3/4 of it by the early morning update I would think.  A dusting blowing across the frozen crust for 60% of the DVN cwa probably doesn't warrant a winter storm warning lol.

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Actually picked up a fresh 0.2" of snow at some point earlier this evening, I was at an ice festival in Rochester Hills and came home to a fresh dusting. So make that an event total of 3.3" here. Bring on tomorrows clipper! Should put me over 50" on the season. What a winter!

If everything goes according to plan, KTOL might end up ahead of Detroit temporarily. Can't believe we're just .5" behind you (48.1" this season). 

 

Lake Effect still falling here although it's lost some steam since 11:30PM. Close to 3" has fallen with LES so far. Looks like another 2-4" here later today. This month has had everything. 

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Looking pretty good for you guys up there.  I'm hoping this bump northward brings tomorrow afternoon's squalls more into play, but who knows.  DVN's warning should get chopped off quite a bit, maybe 3/4 of it by the early morning update I would think.  A dusting blowing across the frozen crust for 60% of the DVN cwa probably doesn't warrant a winter storm warning lol.

 

A dusting would be an over-performer for here at this point. :lol:

 

Good luck with the squalls tomorrow. YBY to Chicago and on east look golden...as it looks like that'll be well north of here too. 

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A dusting would be an over-performer for here at this point. :lol:

 

Good luck with the squalls tomorrow. YBY to Chicago and on east look golden...as it looks like that'll be well north of here too. 

 

 

:huh:

 

lol, no chance. Complete whiff on the morning the stuff to the north...and then arctic front stuff slips south.

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I need to be more consistent. :D

 

Either way, miss to the north and/or south. Zero flakes for LAF...final call. Bonus...max temp tomorrow of 43º. Rapid snow melt. Lock it up.

 

I wish we would get about three hours of +32F and put a glaze on top of all this blowing snow.

 

Either that or this is the first and only time in my life I am wishing for a bit of freezing rain.

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