kevlon62 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Bro was snowmobiling all the way north of Whitewater today. Best conditions with hard packed and groomed flatties from Walworth into McHenry Counties. Winds were ripping out there. So we're poised for the quick punch overnight and with any luck the groomers will be packing it down before the winds pick up later in the day. Local riding ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 LOT also added heavy snow wording for tonight here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Random but I gotta imagine you can grow some stuff up there that normally wouldn't be hardy as far north as you are, with the warmth of the lake and insanely deep snowpack to insulate the ground. Seems like a cool place to live. there's a "fruit belt" here along the coast. lots of orchards. it really is a cool place to live. interesting climate... lots of micros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 0z NAM is a shutout for LAF. Must be a nasty dry layer in there somewhere. Oh well, Hoosier wins again. EDIT: yep, dry lower levels win. Should be some solid virga. Blah. We're definitely in some trouble as far as the morning stuff. Maybe we'll still get a little something but odds of a period of nice rippage seem to be decreasing. Hopefully the arctic front squalls can deliver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 We're definitely in some trouble as far as the morning stuff. Maybe we'll still get a little something but odds of a period of nice rippage seem to be decreasing. Hopefully the arctic front squalls can deliver. I think we're toast, unfortunately. Your worry was warranted. Arctic front stuff is rolling the dice, but maybe we'll get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I think we're toast, unfortunately. Your worry was warranted. Arctic front stuff is rolling the dice, but maybe we'll get lucky. I'd like to see the other 00z runs before punting on the idea of any morning snow but the NAM and short term models aren't encouraging. Actually, your pessimism yesterday may have been warranted. I was optimistic about tomorrow but looks like that isn't going to work out too well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z NAM actually has about 0.05" here with the morning stuff. Looked like less just eyeballing the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'd like to see the other 00z runs before punting on the idea of any morning snow but the NAM and short term models aren't encouraging. Actually, your pessimism yesterday may have been warranted. I was optimistic about tomorrow but looks like that isn't going to work out too well. Combine our thoughts and maybe we'll be right. Kinda sucks missing out on tomorrow morning's snows. Alas, you win some... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Combine our thoughts and maybe we'll be right. Kinda sucks missing out on tomorrow morning's snows. Alas, you win some... Well, 00z RGEM is wetter than the NAM. Looks like it's a tad drier here than the 12z run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 A pretty rare sight here in parts of NWOH. A very impressive LES band stretches from off of Lake Michigan to BG and into Sandusky county. It's been ripping here for about an hour at this point. Nice bonus snow here. I almost wish it was over KTOL so it would add to our snowfall record this month... but I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Well, 00z RGEM is wetter than the NAM. Looks like it's a tad drier here than the 12z run though. I just saw. Looks like it has a total of 0.10" LE. Woo! Trend is not our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 A pretty rare sight here in parts of NWOH. A very impressive LES band stretches from off of Lake Michigan to BG and into Sandusky county. It's been ripping here for about an hour at this point. Nice bonus snow here. I almost wish it was over KTOL so it would add to our snowfall record this month... but I'll take it 994119_10152147646826897_745650636_n.jpg Just missing it by a couple miles actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 @ Apps. Great looking snow band. RGEM Virga city in SE MN currently. Can't find many snow reports yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Ahhh, the old false hope for LAF on the 0z GFS...because it can't figure out there's a ton of dry air to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Ahhh, the old false hope on the 0z GFS...because it can't figure out there's a ton of dry air to overcome. Was just comparing the past few runs...there's been a trend to shift the southern edge a bit north since 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Does anybody know of a non-pay site where I can get the HRRR? The site I use doesn't seem to be updating now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Was just comparing the past few runs...there's been a trend to shift the southern edge a bit north since 12z. There you go. It's regressing to the mean. It should figure it out by the 12z run tomorrow, lol. Ah hell. EDIT: WxBell RGEM precip map looks better than I expected. But not sure I trust those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Does anybody know of a non-pay site where I can get the HRRR? The site I use doesn't seem to be updating now. I'm having problems at noaa with the HRRR also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 There you go. It's regressing to the mean. It should figure it out by the 12z run tomorrow, lol. Ah hell. It really helps to watch the trends over multiple runs and not just compare to the last run. Best thing to do at this point is probably just take a compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Does anybody know of a non-pay site where I can get the HRRR? The site I use doesn't seem to be updating now. Save your time and effort. I'm sure it's RAPping 0.0" for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It really helps to watch the trends over multiple runs and not just compare to the last run. Best thing to do at this point is probably just take a compromise. Save your time and effort. I'm sure it's RAPping 0.0" for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Yep. Final call for LAF...zero flakes of snow. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z MET with a nice jump here for highs tomorrow...now showing 31. Probably still lagging behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Bloomimgton, MN three miles west of MOA. Looking out to a solid -sn with smallish flakes falling (albeit a lot of them). Definitely better than pixie dust. Car dusted with maybe a quarter inch. Got that low ceiling orange hue urban glow going along with slightly reduced visibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Those WxBell maps are generous...or just wrong. RAP on twister data is much further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 00z MET with a nice jump here for highs tomorrow...now showing 31. Probably still lagging behind. 40 or bust. Remember, you heard it here first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 -SN finally falling at MSP. Visibility at 1.75 miles at SGS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Yep. Final call for LAF...zero flakes of snow. Amazing. Old Tim is back! Not feeling good about the morning stuff but think we could squeeze an inch or so out of it. Then the stuff along the front could pack a punch with perhaps another inch. I'm almost where I was before in terms of totals but leaning more toward the low end of the 2-3" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2014 Author Share Posted January 26, 2014 Those WxBell maps are generous...or just wrong. RAP on twister data is much further north. Screen Shot 2014-01-25 at 11.07.58 PM.png Two different versions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 -SN finally falling at MSP. Visibility at 1.75 miles at SGS It's been going for a good hour so far but not crazy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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