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January 22-27th Clippers/Hybrids


Chicago Storm

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Having dinner and a drink in charlevoix tonight. Drive was interesting... Lol crazy visibility in snow and wind on the shore here.

Weathervane? Family has a cottage in Bellaire and enjoy the seafood there. Everyone up there glad to have winter back this year after a historic lack of snow last year...

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Gonna ride my call from yesterday and the day before for here.  1-2" tonight, and gonna bump the 1/2-1" to 1-2" for early Sunday.  NAM/RGEM/GEM will come in too wet again.  Euro/GFS blend of precip amounts much more realistic.  The band of snow early Sunday could be intense, but it's gonna be hauling ass.  The huge temp crash and potential snow squall action Sunday afternoon/eve continue to be the most interesting thing by far to me from this setup. 

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I miss Skillings inflated RPM numbers....

 

He'll be back Monday.

 

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2-4" in the grids here, but only ~1" in southern WI. Probably going to side with the lower end of things given past events.

 

Some blowing and drifting here, but not that big of a deal due to the lack of loose snow around.

 

 

Another thing to be watched is that thermal ridge Sunday.  If the low tracks as far north as a few of the models show much of Iowa and even into northern IL could rise above freezing for awhile.  That could really cut down on any blowing snow. 

 

 

+1

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Another thing to be watched is that thermal ridge Sunday.  If the low tracks as far north as a few of the models show much of Iowa and even into northern IL could rise above freezing for awhile.  That could really cut down on any blowing snow. 

 

Been thinking about that possibility.  But then there's the snow along the front which will be coming in as temps crash so would at least have some blowing then.

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Another thing to be watched is that thermal ridge Sunday.  If the low tracks as far north as a few of the models show much of Iowa and even into northern IL could rise above freezing for awhile.  That could really cut down on any blowing snow. 

 

Been thinking about that possibility.  But then there's the snow along the front which will be coming in as temps crash so would at least have some blowing then.

This. The 1/29/08 arctic front and blizzard conditions had temperatures in the 50s prior to fropa and the light snow followed by incredible winds. Unless it gets really mild, crashing temperatures tend to dry out a wetter top snow layer and make it more susceptible to blowing and drifting. So whatever falls earlier on Sunday plus along the front I think will certainly be capable of being blown around.

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This. The 1/29/08 arctic front and blizzard conditions had temperatures in the 50s prior to fropa and the light snow followed by incredible winds. Unless it gets really mild, crashing temperatures tend to dry out a wetter top snow layer and make it more susceptible to blowing and drifting. So whatever falls earlier on Sunday plus along the front I think will certainly be capable of being blown around.

 

 

One of my favorite frontal passages.  STL goes from the 70s to snowing a few hours later.

 

http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KSTL/2008/1/29/DailyHistory.html?req_city=Lambert-Saint+Louis+International&req_state=MO&req_statename=Missouri

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Northeast IL would likely stay at or below freezing, but out this way points west and south will prob be a different story.  It would depend on how long it stayed above freezing as well.  Any snow that melts and refreezes into icy crust isn't going to go airborne.  It would probably have to be several degrees above freezing for several hours since the ground is still very cold, but it's not out of the question especially over southeast Iowa.

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This. The 1/29/08 arctic front and blizzard conditions had temperatures in the 50s prior to fropa and the light snow followed by incredible winds. Unless it gets really mild, crashing temperatures tend to dry out a wetter top snow layer and make it more susceptible to blowing and drifting. So whatever falls earlier on Sunday plus along the front I think will certainly be capable of being blown around.

 

 

One of my favorite frontal passages.  STL goes from the 70s to snowing a few hours later.

 

http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KSTL/2008/1/29/DailyHistory.html?req_city=Lambert-Saint+Louis+International&req_state=MO&req_statename=Missouri

The Mother of All Arctic Fronts.

Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk

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