Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 break out the jorts Making a tee time right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 hoosier is getting sassy I don't get the pessimism. He's mentioned himself how the recent impulses have packed a punch. Model average qpf doesn't look too bad for us from now through Sunday especially since there will likely be higher ratios involved. I'm on the optimism train...it's been a record snowy start to winter here and we've been doing well in this pattern so why run with worst case scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get the pessimism. He's mentioned himself how the recent impulses have packed a punch. Model average qpf doesn't look too bad for us from now through Sunday especially since there will likely be higher ratios involved. I'm on the optimism train...it's been a record snowy start to winter here and we've been doing well in this pattern so why run with worst case scenarios. I've lost it...clearly. But, the Euro doesn't give me warm fuzzy feelings about this 1-2 "punch". Even if it's been poor on a few of these recent clippers. Just want to do well with every event that's close...because I think we have a chance at getting close to the big dog. I'll back down the rhetoric. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get the pessimism. He's mentioned himself how the recent impulses have packed a punch. Model average qpf doesn't look too bad for us from now through Sunday especially since there will likely be higher ratios involved. I'm on the optimism train...it's been a record snowy start to winter here and we've been doing well in this pattern so why run with worst case scenarios. Yea, pessimism from the LAF crowd??? pfttt whatever? At least here in CMH we've EARNED ours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't get the pessimism. He's mentioned himself how the recent impulses have packed a punch. Model average qpf doesn't look too bad for us from now through Sunday especially since there will likely be higher ratios involved. I'm on the optimism train...it's been a record snowy start to winter here and we've been doing well in this pattern so why run with worst case scenarios. you're talking about a guy who punted an hour into his big dog this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 If the EURO is right with tonight's storm or Sunday's, I'll fly to Lafayette and personally pay for a season of golfing. Seriously it might be "king" but it has handled every single clipper for the past two weeks like crap and this weekend will be no different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It has been a season for over-performing...nothing CRAZY .... but the trend here seems to always be good for an extra 10 to 25% on the totals.... Massive progressive pattern brings in a tiny bonus of moisture to saturate things better and also tangle that with higher ratio producing colder air... not many virga storms this year (case in point) my 2 cents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Not much new here, just through Saturday, no Sunday yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Yea, pessimism from the LAF crowd??? pfttt whatever? At least here in CMH we've EARNED ours Yeah, WTF?! The cash in on the biggest of big dogs Jan 5th, have been hit with the clippers and he's bitching. Meanwhile we get the parade of fairy dust dustings! If he went through what we have he'd have a complete and total meltdown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It has been a season for over-performing...nothing CRAZY .... but the trend here seems to always be good for an extra 10 to 25% on the totals.... Massive progressive pattern brings in a tiny bonus of moisture to saturate things better and also tangle that with higher ratio producing colder air... not many virga storms this year (case in point) my 2 cents quite a few of the clippers have trended drier up until the last minute but that's to be expected when there are so many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 If the EURO is right with tonight's storm or Sunday's, I'll fly to Lafayette and personally pay for a season of golfing. Seriously it might be "king" but it has handled every single clipper for the past two weeks like crap and this weekend will be no different. Sweet! Purdue membership for full cart and range is about $2800. Just FYI. Seriously, don't mind me. I'll stop now. Here's to an overachieving weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Just want to do well with every event that's close...because I think we have a chance at getting close to the big dog. I'll back down the rhetoric. My bad. Me too. Despite many places doing very well, we're closer to our big dog winter than a lot of other places right now. We've only got about 20" to go...just gotta keep chipping away for now and hopefully there will be something bigger in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Sweet! Purdue membership for full cart and range is about $2800. Just FYI. Seriously, don't mind me. I'll stop now. Here's to an overachieving weekend. That is a solid looking course. Was on campus a few years back and was checking it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Yeah, WTF?! The cash in on the biggest of big dogs Jan 5th, have been hit with the clippers and he's bitching. Meanwhile we get the parade of fairy dust dustings! If he went through what we have he'd have a complete and total meltdown! look on the bright side, just think how awesome 3" is gonna seem to us! Of course the other side of that coin is I'm not sure I can handle another D to an inch.... Hoosier might have to ban me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 That is a solid looking course. Was on campus a few years back and was checking it out. Kampen is really nice. Pete Dye design. He's re-doing the other course starting this Fall. Then there'll be two top notch tracks there. Sorry, OT. Let it snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 quite a few of the clippers have trended drier up until the last minute but that's to be expected when there are so many. model run to model run...totally but in terms of what actually falls vs. some of the short range guidance....I seem to end up with a little more than what was expected via the models inside 24 to 36 hours.... I may also have faulty eyes and measuring instruments too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Hope we're not hearing about another pileup later ... ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 285K LEVEL IS PRETTY IMPRESSIVE TONIGHT...AND THE BEST LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS LOOKS TO BE ACROSS THE NORTH TONIGHT AND EAST SATURDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...THE SNOW RATIO SHOULD BE A LITTLE BETTER THAN 1 TO 10 WITH TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW FREEZING. SO...HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES CONTINUE TO LOOK GOOD WITH LESSER AMOUNTS SOUTHWEST. MODEL 24 STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ALONG WITH HPC WWD 24 HOUR STORM SNOWFALL REFLECT THIS THINKING. WITH THIS SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH SO FAST...WILL KEEP MAX SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO NO MORE THAN 3 INCHES WITH MORE LIKE AN INCH EXPECTED SOUTHWEST. DESPITE THE LOW SNOW AMOUNTS...TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN WINDY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR MORE. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT TO NORTHWEST BEHIND IT. SO...THERE SHOULD BE QUITE A BIT OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING AND MORE SIGNIFICANT ACROSS SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ORIENTED ROADS SUCH AS INTERSTATE 65 TOWARDS LAFAYETTE. THAT WILL CHANGE ON SATURDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ROADS...SUCH AS INTERSTATE 69...BEING MORE EFFECTED. EITHER WAY...THE VISIBILITY WILL DETERIORATE TO NEAR WHITEOUT AT TIMES. SO...DESPITE SNOW AMOUNTS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...WITH THE BLOWING SNOW MIXED IN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES TO BE PRUDENT. SNOW SHOULD BE ENDING BY AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE UPPER SYSTEM PULLS AWAY AND UPPER RIDGE APPROACHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 SREF plumes mean up to 5.3" for ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Nasty travel in La Porte County again. https://www.facebook.com/LaPorteCountySheriffsOffice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 SREF plumes mean up to 5.3" for ORD we keep baby stepping up there, nice sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Going to be interesting what kind of headlines various offices come with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z NAM looks a little wetter with tonights clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 5.2" and counting today. might be able to double that through tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 SREF plumes mean up to 5.3" for ORD That would line up nicely with Euro which is using the Kuchera method over at Euro Wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 NAM should be a little wetter with Sunday as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 DTX finally pulled the trigger on wwa's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 18z NAM a hair south and more compact with the WAA snows Sunday but the wave is pretty robust...really nice quick hitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Point Click calling for 3-4 inches totals by Mid Morning tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 NAM looks like it drops 3"+ in 3hrs in a swath from southwest WI to Chi metro. Really nice UVV signal and it's trended colder aloft like the GFS with a much more favorable DGZ. Probably won't be as intense as super bowl night in 2008 around here might come close close for a 3hr period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Winter Storm Warning just issued for all of WNY. Looks to be some insane wind gusts with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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