snowlord81 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 polar squall line 18Z showing surface gust up to 50mph along with the band of snow. Could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Friday system looking pretty solid in terms of wind + intense snowfall. Unlikely to have huge accumulations but this will be a powerful, quick hitter. Would be the most exciting event around here in a while. Would probably catch a lot of people off guard. Verbatim, this could certainly produce some temporary blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Remember one of those Polar type squal lines. 03 perhaps? Quick 2-4" and impressive winds. Knocked power out at my college Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 we had a blizzard warning with one a year or two back...IIRC it was pretty lame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 we had a blizzard warning with one a year or two back...IIRC it was pretty lame Remember that. Was tame and lame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 That one was pretty legit in MI IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 well if the trend of slightly to moderately over-achieving continues...the month should finish strong for LOT and obviously other portions of the sub forum as well....but just keep looking at that list of top ten January snowfalls for LOT and can't help thinking the top spot is at least within' striking distance with a little luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 LOT going a little bullish tomorrow. Half inch morning wave then additional 1-2 in the afternoon possible with more brief but intense periods of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 12km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Most models are doing horrible handling the ongoing snow in western IA/sw MN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 LOT going a little bullish tomorrow. Half inch morning wave then additional 1-2 in the afternoon possible with more brief but intense periods of snow. Also hinting at possible LE affecting portions of the CWA again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 stat padding is a little more fun with records at striking distance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Hopefully the NAM has a clue. Would be nice to get to 40" for the season. I can't believe I'm saying that in January. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Latest AFD out of BUF still suggests the potential for a significant wind/snow event for the Lower Great Lakes. A PIECE OF THIS ENERGY IN THE FORM OF A POTENT SHORTWAVEWILL DROP ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT INTOSATURDAY…SPAWNING A DEEP SURFACE LOW TRACKING FROM NORTHERNONTARIO ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY AND INTO QUEBEC. MODEL CONSENSUSSUGGESTS THAT THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL BE IN A FAVORABLE POSITIONWITH REGARDS TO THE SURFACE LOW AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES FOR APOTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT WIND/SNOW EVENT TO UNFOLD FRIDAY NIGHT INTOSATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING YET ANOTHER SHOT OFBITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO THE REGION. FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTALPASSAGE SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT...DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW WITH VERY COLDTEMPERATURES SETS UP ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS HAS THE POTENTIALTO LEAD TO AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWSEAST/SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO STARTING SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY LASTINGINTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK...PARTICULARLY IF THE UPSTREAMCONNECTIONS TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SUGGESTED BY CURRENT GUIDANCEARE REALIZED. ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANTLYHAMPERED BY THE ICE COVERAGE ON THE LAKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 stat padding is a little more fun with records at striking distance get to 35 or 36 inches by sunday night and it could be very interesting...that loss of 3 inches on January 1st could come into play unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Hopefully the NAM has a clue. Would be nice to get to 40" for the season. I can't believe I'm saying that in January. Crazy. Keep saying it....this is a great winter...no complaints...it better snow about 7:45 tonight, that's all ill say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 That one was pretty legit in MI IIRC People, even here on the weather boards who have far more knowledge than your average joe, are very hung up on hearing the word "bizzard" and thinking "major snowfall". Often times a blizzard warning with only a few inches of snow draws scoffs, but can still produce some nasty conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Most models are doing horrible handling the ongoing snow in western IA/sw MN Horrible as in...placement...or in the models are too weak/too bullish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'll gladly take the 18z GFS for the clipper this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'll gladly take the 18z GFS for the clipper this weekend. Which one, the fri night one or early mon one? I like the looks of the Mon one, but you know it'll change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Which one, the fri night one or early mon one? I like the looks of the Mon one, but you know it'll change. Sunday into Monday. Has a small area of 6"+ along I-70 in IN barely getting in to west OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 P007 on the 12z GFS ensembles is wild for Friday. It's an outlier though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I can't remember a winter in my lifetime that has had this kind of clipper frequency. Nor can I, particularly with the amount of both synoptic and LES these have been producing...and I've got some years on you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 P007 on the 12z GFS ensembles is wild for Friday. It's an outlier though. Nice 969 mb clipper amirite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Nice 969 mb clipper amirite. And wetter. In any case we are looking at a significant impact with the combo of wind/snow/crashing temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Nice 969 mb clipper amirite. Now there's one that takes it down to the low-mid 960s on the 18z ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Now there's one that takes it down to the low-mid 960s on the 18z ensembles. Almost all of them have it sub 990mb including the op, that will help promote a response in the wind fields. This clipper is starting to have a decent potential to it with respect to snow/wind/cold combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Not to get ahead of ourselves with the Sunday clipper but the 18z GFS has an outrageously deep DGZ between 350-450mb in the snow band. This is for LAF.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 0z NAM Before the snow moves in Friday night but wow. Still 50mph gusts possible with the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 NAM is showing 70kt winds just 2000ft above the sfc, obviously not going to mix those down but 50kt gusts maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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