A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 That band looks capable of dropping 1-2" per hour rates for a while imo. And it's more of a mesoscale thing which means that the globals may underestimate it. Believable and i'm on board with the idea that QPF should be a little higher given the low strength/thermal gradient currently advertised but even the NAM/SREF guidance is pretty dry. Max members in places like DBQ/JVL/MKE are all only 5" or so and that's including Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Can I made a general request that people who post wxbell graphics not crop out the scale bar? Thanks. It is wider than the forum. CLick on the image to see all of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Might have to jettison my southerly call. Models getting comfy with the northern idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 IND going with 2-4" for Fri/Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 thinking 8-11" locally more in a 36 hour period. with the winds, and the deep snow already down, there's going to be some serious travel issues this weekend. going to be fun!! Friday: Snow showers. Blowing snow. Breezy. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 3 inches. Highs around 19. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Lowest wind chill readings 11 below to 21 below zero in the morning. Friday Night: Snow showers. Areas of blowing snow. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 4 to 6 inches. Lows around 11. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Saturday: Breezy. Snow showers. Accumulation possible. Highs around 13. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Might have to jettison my southerly call. Models getting comfy with the northern idea. Good news for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Good news for us? To a degree. EURO would be too far north (quick shot of snow, dryslot, no LES because winds are S/SSW). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Good news for us? It keeps 2-4" hopes alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 NAM continues to trend lamer with Fri/Sat for MBY, better S & W but not by much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 thinking 8-11" locally more in a 36 hour period. with the winds, and the deep snow already down, there's going to be some serious travel issues this weekend. going to be fun!! Friday: Snow showers. Blowing snow. Breezy. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 3 inches. Highs around 19. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Lowest wind chill readings 11 below to 21 below zero in the morning. Friday Night: Snow showers. Areas of blowing snow. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 4 to 6 inches. Lows around 11. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Saturday: Breezy. Snow showers. Accumulation possible. Highs around 13. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Noticed the same thing, going to be interesting sledding this weekend with all the blowing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 maps? splitting the uprights in madtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 west side / geos screw line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 IND going with 2-4" for Fri/Sat. Need to score with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 18z NAM a tad stronger at 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 not worried with the sim radar at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 18z NAM a tad stronger at 54 hours. yeah looks a baby step stronger with round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 not worried with the sim radar at this point most models don't show Friday's frontal snows blowing up (relatively speaking) until they're well south of you. Might make up ground on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 west side / geos screw line Gotta love the snow forcefield "protecting" Toronto! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 that's the one im interested in is the sat night sunday wave tomorrow is 1" maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Need to score with that one. Yeah. Then it's golfing and tanning time on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Yeah. Then it's golfing and tanning time on Sunday. Trying to talk my friend into opening her pool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 little wetter sat night with front end...no major track wobble, so we might be locking in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 ends up lame for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'm gonna go with 1-3 for both events for MDW and ORD. I think that's the most reasonable call you can make at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Thermal gradient looks even tighter/more impressive on the 18z NAM. Could be quite a show in terms of rapidly changing conditions around here if this kind of solution plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Thermal gradient looks even tighter/more impressive on the 18z NAM. Could be quite a show in terms of rapidly changing conditions around here if this kind of solution plays out. 2m temp loop is kinda entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 cold and windy to colder and windier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Going to be low ratios with temperatures like this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 cold and windy to colder and windier Cheer up. I can already see your third 12"+ storm of the season in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.