A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Euro way north. Punt. and also lame...really hard to find a non-ggem model showing anything particularly interesting beyond a 1-3 stat padder. (Lake belts excluded) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Euro way north. Punt. Yeah, because the Euro has nailed every event this year. Very likely we will see a nice burst of snow on Sunday with amounts up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Yeah, because the Euro has nailed every event this year. Very likely we will see a nice burst of snow on Sunday with amounts up in the air. It's locked and loaded on this solution. It's still a really good model. Thinking mainly rain and a one day torch. Such a shame in the midst of a nice cold/snowy spell. But, you win some...you lose some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 euro wins points for consistency....right or wrong So my 2.2 call is looking good then for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 It's locked and loaded on this solution. It's still a really good model. Thinking mainly rain and a one day torch. Such a shame in the midst of a nice cold spell. But, you win some...you lose some. Even if the "torch" verifies, I doubt we lose all of our snow since we'll be adding on prior to then. It's a 6-12 hour period of temps above freezing at worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Even if the "torch" verifies, I doubt we lose all of our snow since we'll be adding on prior to then. It's a 6-12 hour period of temps above freezing at worst. Mid/upper 40's and rain can do some quick damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 It's locked and loaded on this solution. It's still a really good model. Thinking mainly rain and a one day torch. Such a shame in the midst of a nice cold/snowy spell. But, you win some...you lose some. the euro isn't quite as aggressive with the 850 0 line, never gets north of Ohio river but just south of Indy. Either way, the good news is even if the euro produces rain, (which it doesn't appear to for you or I), it would be brief and light. By the way....euro shows 8" of snow for Myrtle Beach day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Mid/upper 40's and rain can do some quick damage. Well, I'm skeptical it gets that warm unless the low tracks to Saginaw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 gonna be a real dud if LAF torches into the upper 40s and all we get out of it is 2" for Geos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Well, I'm skeptical it gets that warm. that makes 2 of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 the euro isn't quite as aggressive with the 850 0 line, never gets north of Ohio river but just south of Indy. Either way, the good news is even if the euro produces rain, (which it doesn't appear to for you or I), it would be brief and light. By the way....euro shows 8" of snow for Myrtle Beach day 7 Best case is a little front end action, with a short "torch" and little rain. And congrats Myrtle Beach. That would be awesome. Well, I'm skeptical it gets that warm unless the low tracks to Saginaw.. Aggressive WAA worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Good battle between the LAF brothers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 gonna be a real dud if LAF torches into the upper 40s and all we get out of it is 2" for Geos You're clearly not factoring in UGN ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Sunday overnight looks a tad windy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Good battle between the LAF brothers. hoosier is gonna win this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 going with 3.5" here for tomorrow and Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 going with 3.5" here for tomorrow and Sunday good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 hoosier is gonna win this one My lifetime record against him is like 2-185. But I still try... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 The WAA is pretty impressive for Sunday as Tim alluded to earlier. The 12z NAM has 850 mb temps going from -9C to -2C in 3 hours here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 euro drops LAF from 38 to 6 in a 6 hour period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Really nice thermal gradient being depicted. I'm with Tim, it's not hard to imagine that band overperforming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 or the thermal gradient being overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Really nice thermal gradient being depicted. I'm with Tim, it's not hard to imagine that band overperforming. Untitled.png Yeah I think we will see the GFS come back wet with its solution at some point. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Really nice thermal gradient being depicted. I'm with Tim, it's not hard to imagine that band overperforming. Good, we agree on one thing. or the thermal gradient being overdone You can tell you're a Cubs fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 euro drops LAF from 38 to 6 in a 6 hour period It will be neat to watch the temp gradient if nothing else. There should be a real tight temp gradient near where the low tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 or the thermal gradient being overdone Probably not in this situation. These are the "good" clippers that usually have a band of heavy snow somewhere with them because of the aggressive WAA with them. Also, someone south of the low track will get sneaky warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Yeah I think we will see the GFS come back wet with its solution at some point. We'll see. That band looks capable of dropping 1-2" per hour rates for a while imo. And it's more of a mesoscale thing which means that the globals may underestimate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Well, I'm skeptical it gets that warm unless the low tracks to Saginaw.. It won't get that warm. Plain & simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 What's up with the EURO and near 40° in NE IL Sunday! Would end up with drizzle if that run was right. Those conditions would wipe out all the high ratio snow that has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 23, 2014 Share Posted January 23, 2014 Can I made a general request that people who post wxbell graphics not crop out the scale bar? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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