1/21 Clipper that's not a Clipper Thread

[I-83 BLIZZARD]

Fringed

Lol!

[needbiggerboat]

In RIC for this one....would usually try to be home if 4+ is a possibility, but Cobb is spitting out 10.1 on 18z nam for RIC.... Prob overdone. Maybe throw the snowblower in the trunk.

[Amped]

4 or 5" would put me close to my seasonal average.

[clskinsfan]

Who the heck is snowwxluvr? LOL

I hope you guys get jackpotted! My hope is for 2 inches.

 

There is a good chance everyone in this thread sees 2 inches. And DCA's curse should most likely fall.

[Scuddz]

Today's model runs are making me look like an idiot

[H2O]

Today's model runs are making me look like an idiot

Today's?

[Avdave]

ouch

 

Today's?

[DDweatherman]

ouch

Ooh rough. Good runs for us haha.

[Jebman]

At least the vort is to our south and its only a 2 days out. Seems likely that we something from it.

Higher elevations will get 2-6 inches, as will the Maryland Convergence Zone. Thats the pattern this winter, I'm going with persistence. I should see at least a car topper. Then we enjoy some excellent vodka cold.

[WxUSAF]

Not sure if anyone talked about the 15z SREFs, but they looked pretty good.  Big spread, but the mean is good. 

[Scuddz]

Today's?

  

ouch

It probably took both of you to come up with that one. Good teamwork

[Avdave]

IAN actually told us to say that

 

  
It probably took both of you to come up with that one. Good teamwork

[Huffwx]

Not sure if anyone talked about the 15z SREFs, but they looked pretty good. Big spread, but the mean is good.

do you mind posting it please? I'm on my cell in can't really get out navigate that site too well

[needbiggerboat]

ARP3 for 500 Alex.

[MidlothianWX]

In RIC for this one....would usually try to be home if 4+ is a possibility, but Cobb is spitting out 10.1 on 18z nam for RIC.... Prob overdone. Maybe throw the snowblower in the trunk.

Hoping for a nice little event down this way. Model trends are certainly encouraging. Clippers don't usually perform well for us but I suppose if you can get some decent amplification anything is possible.

 

Be prepared for disappointment though. And stay away from DT's house.

[ravensrule]

do you mind posting it please? I'm on my cell in can't really get out navigate that site too well

  

[clueless]

Am I being fringed? Woooo.

[yoda]

ARP3 for 500 Alex.

image.jpg

 

Looks like majority are for a 2-4... few outliers with nothing and 5 with 8" or more

[aldie 22]

Am I being fringed? Woooo.

Don't tell phineas

[DDweatherman]

Looks like majority are for a 2-4... few outliers with nothing and 5 with 8" or more

Most of those 0 numbers come from the nmb's it seems. Higher numbers deriving more so from the ARW based members, which are run off a GFS initialization package. Interesting to see a quarter of the members with 8+

[DDweatherman]

Don't tell phineas

"It's coming north, it does every time." His famous words. 

[mitchnick]

working on some plumbing with the help of my wife....lol

these model runs just saved my marriage after 25+ years

[KAOS]

working on some plumbing with the help of my wife....lol

these model runs just saved my marriage after 25+ years

 

Your wife still helps with your plumbing work after +25 years.

 

 

This sounds encouraging.

[mitchnick]

Your wife still helps with your plumbing work after +25 years.

 

 

This sounds encouraging.

she wears ear plugs

plumbing vocabulary is pretty strange as it has lots of one syllable, four-letter words, at least that's what I can remember from my old how-to books so I use them a lot when I do plumbing

[WinterWxLuvr]

working on some plumbing with the help of my wife....lol

these model runs just saved my marriage after 25+ years

She good with pipes?

[ravensrule]

Let's hug the RPM, the latest run shows 4-6".

[Bob Chill]

Really like the 18z gfs h5 panels. Vort has nice rotation at a perfect time for quick deepening. H7 shows some nice omegas. Someone ne of us could see tssn imo. Maybe N.J. somewhere. Not likely but possible. Very cold air behind compared to ocean temps.

Not sure what our max potential is. I assume the latest gfs is top end and is prob not going to verify. It's going to look great regardless. I'm fired up and hope 0z keeps bringing the love.

18z ens members are totally locked in FWIW

[WinterWxLuvr]

Let's hug the RPM, the latest run shows 4-6".

The model that nailed early March 2013 perfectly

[DDweatherman]

The model that nailed early March 2013 perfectly

Every model has nailed at least one storm perfectly. We go over this all the time, one of them has to be right Thanks for the enthusiasm though, and lets hope the RPM is right. 

[Scraff]

Let's hug the RPM, the latest run shows 4-6".

Tommy T lives and dies by the RPM. I'll let it ride with the RPM and CRAS. ;-)