1/21 Clipper that's not a Clipper Thread

[Sparky]

I expected 4 with trends, hoped for 5, but the gfs is weenie porn.

Still, it's going to be hard for me to top 12/8.

[nj2va]

GFS 00z QPF

[Amped]

Not sure why there is that lighter area DC into southern MD....doesnt really make sense but then again these maps are never quite right.

 

 

snowwww.gif

Looks similar to 1/30/2010 up here. 6" with a temp around 20f.

[CAPE]

I expected 4 with trends, hoped for 5, but the gfs is weenie porn.

DW the Euro will drag you back to reality

[Avdave]

Im happy where I am in this. Either way, it looks good. Im happy

[WinterWxLuvr]

Let me guess, you were only expecting a dusting?

I was actually expecting partly cloudy.

Seriously, this is still evolving IMO. Different than it was about 24 hours ago. Low developing quicker, more inland in my eyes. And then there's the usual north trend. Just compare 18z ens to last nights 0z ens. Easily seen.

[blizzardmeiser]

Let me guess, you were only expecting a dusting?

Isn't this the same group who said winter is over! Amazing!

[mitchnick]

UKMET is around .25-.30" qpf for BWI

DCA and IAD I can't tell because of limited tim periods available

maybe someone else has it

[ravensrule]

UKMET is around .25-.30" qpf for BWI

DCA and IAD I can't tell because of limited tim periods available

maybe someone else has it

Nice, so basically besides the Euro every model has us between .25-.45.

[CAPE]

Leesburg to Westminster to Parkton will do best, as always. If this is news to any weenies you need to lurk more.

Lol you say that every storm but it doesn't ALWAYS work out that way.

[DDweatherman]

UKMET is around .25-.30" qpf for BWI

DCA and IAD I can't tell because of limited tim periods available

maybe someone else has it

Source? Its awfully early for the UKMET unless you're speaking of 12z. 

[WinterWxLuvr]

Source? Its awfully early for the UKMET unless you're speaking of 12z.

Yeah I can't find it

[mitchnick]

Source? Its awfully early for the UKMET unless you're speaking of 12z. 

Plymouth

this is 48 hrs and the 54 hrs period I saw on NE thread

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ukmet≤=sfc&va=prec&in=.1&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest

[ravensrule]

Source? Its awfully early for the UKMET unless you're speaking of 12z. 

 

 

Yeah I can't find it

It is out, Earthlight in the NY thread is talking about it as well.

[DDweatherman]

It is out, Earthlight in the NY thread is talking about it as well.

Yeah I went up there to verify and saw him talking about it. Pretty decent run for much of us. 

[mitchnick]

Plymouth

this is 48 hrs and the 54 hrs period I saw on NE thread

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ukmet≤=sfc&va=prec&in=.1&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42474-january-2223mybe-january-24th-potential-very-cold-snow-event-its-gonna-snow-dammit/?p=2651841

[I-83 BLIZZARD]

Nice, so basically besides the Euro every model has us between .25-.45.

so far with ratios it seems like a solid 4-8 :weenie:

[Ian]

Serious question, I can't remember if Snoverkill (2nd storm in feb 2010) also was a clipper that bombed like this. I seem to recall that being the case, but perhaps I'm off.

Big bowling ball that came out of like MN I think. Northern stream for sure. I have a hard time calling that or this a clipper but I suppose the origins are similar.

[Ian]

People thought I was joking with the 6-10. I should troll less.

[DDweatherman]

Big bowling ball that came out of like MN I think. Northern stream for sure. I have a hard time calling that or this a clipper but I suppose the origins are similar.

If you're talking about 2/3 that storm came to mind. Lot warmer with that one however, as places were above freezing before the onset. 

[winter_warlock]

Not sure why there is that lighter area DC into southern MD....doesnt really make sense but then again these maps are never quite right.

 

 

snowwww.gif

hmm   nearly 9 inches for me in eastern balt county md.... seems a bit high lol I don't put a lot of stock in clown maps but its nice to see , gets peoples hope up just in time for euro to crush them later at 1 am lol

[ravensrule]

People thought I was joking with the 6-10. I should troll less.

You really should, no one ever knows if you are kidding or serious. Good news is you can never be wrong this way.

[ravensrule]

Tony Pann going for definite snow but only calling for a "few inches" right now.

[Ian]

If you're talking about 2/3 that storm came to mind. Lot warmer with that one however, as places were above freezing before the onset.

I'm talking about feb 9-10 2010 as per the initial query.

[winter_warlock]

You really should, no one ever knows if you are kidding or serious. Good news is you can never be wrong this way.

lol I thought Ian was being sarcastic  with the 6-10 lol

[yoda]

Tony Pann going for definite snow but only calling for a "few inches" right now.

 

Makes sense to call for that

[ravensrule]

I'm talking about feb 9-10 2010 as per the initial query.

So now you are calling for a repeat of that. Got you now.

[Scraff]

Tony Pann going for definite snow but only calling for a "few inches" right now.

He needs to listen to his boy Berk more often.

[winter_warlock]

although I do think this storm will over perform although at this time I think 6-10 is a bit much but, with high snow ratios,  anythings possible especially the way the storms have overperformed this year anythings possible,

[ravensrule]

Makes sense to call for that

Yea i am sure if the models stay similar or the Euro jumps on board he will got at least 2-4" in the morning newscast. Lol the guy on channel 2 in Baltimore is going for 1".