famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 20.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I think the "official" PHL is considerably higher than just about every else in the region. Didn't they measure 9" for the last system? That seemed like a lollipop, but perhaps other totals nearby confirmed the measurement (I just didn't see them personally). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The GFS is rolling in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 GFS showing widespread 9-12+ if you play the 15:1 game for areas that should be due for ratio enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The GFS is rolling in.And it's even more amped than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'm thinking that as the models (particularly short range) pick up on the slow(er) invasion of cold air, we'll see this continue to level out to a more NW trend resulting in a system closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I think the "official" PHL is considerably higher than just about every else in the region. Didn't they measure 9" for the last system? That seemed like a lollipop, but perhaps other totals nearby confirmed the measurement (I just didn't see them personally). Here's some other totals: Pitman, Gloucester County, NJ - 25" (CoCoRaHS) Franklin Township, Gloucester County, NJ - 15.5" (CoCoRaHS) Washington Township, Gloucester County, NJ - 14.9" (CoCoRaHS) Elk Township, Gloucester County, NJ - 17.2" (CoCoRaHS) Lindenwold, Camden County, NJ - 16.0" (CoCoRaHS) Berlin, Camden County, NJ - 16.1" (CoCoRaHS) Collingswood, Camden County, NJ - 16.7" (CoCoRaHS) Somerdale, Camden County, NJ - 17.8" (NWS COOP) Rockledge, Philadelphia County, PA - 16.8" (CoCoRaHS) Philadelphia, Philadelphia County, PA - 15.0" (CoCoRaHS) Wyndmoor, Philadelphia County, PA - 14.0" (CoCoRaHS) Franklin Institute, Philadelphia County, PA - 13.4" (NWS COOP) Mount Holly, Burlington County, NJ - 17.8" (NWS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 00z GFS identical to 18z in terms of total liquid. .75" from just south of the Lehigh valley down through Maryland .50" for poconos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 OK, can someone give me some guidance? This chart was made by the NWS. The high temp tomorrow is 14°F So by this chart the Lehigh Valley would be 15-21". Am i seeing something wrong or is that chart a joke? lol Snowfall Meltwater Table.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 OK, can someone give me some guidance? This chart was made by the NWS. The high temp tomorrow is 14°F So by this chart the Lehigh Valley would be 15-21". Am i seeing something wrong or is that chart a joke? lol Not to get too deep into the nitty gritty because I'm on my phone and headed to bed - but if everything fell verbatim, at those ratios, and you received that much QPF and the ratios were constant. Yes. But, I'm looking toward an average closer to just below 15:1 --- if temperatures hold. But there are more to ratios than just that. I'm sure back just a few pages before there are plenty of discussions about ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 OK, can someone give me some guidance? This chart was made by the NWS. The high temp tomorrow is 14°F So by this chart the Lehigh Valley would be 15-21". Am i seeing something wrong or is that chart a joke? lol That chart is based on old guidelines which has long since been surpassed. DO NOT GO BY IT. Really just read Tony's thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Enjoy this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 00z GFS identical to 18z in terms of total liquid. .75" from just south of the Lehigh valley down through Maryland .50" for poconos Huh? I only get 0.63" for TTN. 0.47" for ABE. I think you got the 0.50" line mixed up with 0.75", etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 That chart is based on old guidelines which has long since been surpassed. DO NOT GO BY IT. Really just read Tony's thread. Thats what I figured, suprised its still on the NWS page haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Enjoy this one! Love that yellow patch....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Enjoy this one! Thank you, I will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Love that yellow patch....lolIf you are on Facebook check out Brookhaven 19015's page I have been posting on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Huh? I only get 0.63" for TTN. 0.47" for ABE. I think you got the 0.50" line mixed up with 0.75", etc. What's your TTN prediction on this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 What's your TTN prediction on this one? Latest thinking is 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Glenn going 9-14" PHL. 10-15" just east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mookiemike Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Since early Sunday, eh? You knew 10" since early Sunday? Quite the soothsayer considering not even the SREF plume maps didn't point to 10" until late Sunday. Since when was VERIFIED. my word, tied in with SREF Plume maps? The synoptic picture showed extreme dynamics and arctic cold. Once upon a time, people could look at that connection, which had Miller "B" plastered all over it. The first storm, tomorrows, never was moisture challenged with a strong Pacific jet, AND Southern branch getting involved. Sorry to ruin your lame stalking of me, which goes with Violent weather fan, and the aptly named MacChump. Bash on. This isn't my regular gig. For that, I'd have to utter Jack Nicholson's, "you can't handle the truth". There is a fine line between acerbic satire and true humor. I'll bet my healthy cynicism, that you guys go for the cheaper shot, not the humor in 90% of your wry attempts. Guess you enjoy commenting on comments, not the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Since when was VERIFIED. my word, tied in with SREF Plume maps? The synoptic picture showed extreme dynamics and arctic cold. Once upon a time, people could look at that connection, which had Miller "B" plastered all over it. The first storm, tomorrows, never was moisture challenged with a strong Pacific jet, AND Southern branch getting involved. Sorry to ruin your lame stalking of me, which goes with Violent weather fan, and the aptly named MacChump. Bash on. This isn't my regular gig. For that, I'd have to utter Jack Nicholson's, "you can't handle the truth". There is a fine line between acerbic satire and true humor. I'll bet my healthy cynicism, that you guys go for the cheaper shot, not the humor in 90% of your wry attempts. Guess you enjoy commenting on comments, not the weather. Not sure what you mean by stalking, take it easy just poking some fun about being a slow in typing behind the keyboard...relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 EC is just "slightly" (0.02") wetter at TTN. I didn't keep tabs elsewhere so I'm not sure if that is representative or not. Mt. Holly map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Ray I have been hoping between NYC and mid Atlantic, not sure where i saw this however I think this might have been already posted in this forum...nice bump from 6-8 to 8--10 for me....I hope I have time to get some good footage tomorrow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The NAM and GFS are now well over 12 inches for TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Warning for 8-12 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Strange how my county has WWA for 4-8 inches. In the past I have seen warnings for 4-7. May have something to do with the western part of the county getting less. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Strange how my county has WWA for 4-8 inches. In the past I have seen warnings for 4-7. May have something to do with the western part of the county getting less. Any thoughts? I think it has to do with the duration, it appears the 4 to 8 is spread out over more than 12 hours for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Lehigh was upgraded to a warning (should have been that in the first place) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Incoming...RADAR TRENDS AS OF 10Z SHOW SOME BANDING ACROSS SRN PA...ALIGNED WITH WEAK FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING. THIS BAND SHOULD INTENSIFY AND EXPAND EWD LATER TODAY WITH HEAVIER SNOW RATES FROM MD/ERN PA INTO NEW JERSEY AND SRN NEW YORK WHERE DEEP FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL BOTH INTENSIFY AND BE ALIGNED WITH TEMPERATURE PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR MAXIMUM DENDRITIC GROWTH. ..JEWELL.. 01/21/2014 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0030.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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