Mitchell Gaines Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Light snow from a clipper is possible Tuesday into Wednesday. With temps in the 20's ratios may help. However qpf looks very limited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Current Wxsim shows 1" to 2" of snow from Tuesday late AM into evening with temps in the mid-20's to start but falling into the upper teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ME_wannabe Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 I read in midatlantic they are calling for generally .1 qpf and dc area is higher. Less for southeast NJ/shore areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Gfs is a quick little couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Hey weather gods, could you keep this, say, south of Newark Airport? K thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 19, 2014 Author Share Posted January 19, 2014 Quite a gradient between SREF members, mean around 2 inches removing the overdone members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 I will jump on the snow boat if the trends continue at 0 Z tonight. New NAM was a giant step, but this is the NAM outside its wheel house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 NAM now more impressive with the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Srefs are aggressive as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 this pattern can change so quickly before we blink with each possible event. hope we can get a 2" hit with pending cold. it won't feel as cold then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 LOL @ 18Z NAM COBB BUFKIT for KACY - 16.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Gfs .21 for Phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 This is turning into a classic NJ shore system, good UVVS, cold temps, someone on the beach is going to get 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 this pattern can change so quickly before we blink with each possible event. hope we can get a 2" hit with pending cold. it won't feel as cold then Snow magnet is out for the NW zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hey weather gods, could you keep this, say, south of Newark Airport? K thanks. Not sure of the exact timing, but if you're coming in earlier you might do better? Plus could be less up north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Like to see this from the Mt. Holly AFD update around 4 pm: ALSO THERE IS AN INCREASING LIKELIHOOD FOR MEASURABLE, POSSIBLYPLOWABLE SNOW ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURESYSTEM MOVES OFFSHORE. PLEASE LOOK FOR FURTHER UPDATES TONIGHT ANDMONDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Here comes the NAM. This one has the feel of one of those rogue snowstorms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Sref mean now to 10 inches at PHL with 43 percent of the members over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How far north and west does it get? Rdg? Abe? Mdt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 NAM fumbles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How far north and west does it get? Rdg? Abe? Mdt? SREF snow plumes for... ABE http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=ABE&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap RDG http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=RDG&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap TTN http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=TTN&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap PHL http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=PHL&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap ILG http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=ILG&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap ACY http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=ACY&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Not sure of the exact timing, but if you're coming in earlier you might do better? Plus could be less up north... Coming in late (near 8). Though it might end up the early 8 the next day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugalou Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 LOL @ 18Z NAM COBB BUFKIT for KACY - 16.6" Wrap it up, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 SREF snow plumes for... ABE http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=ABE&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap RDG http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=RDG&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap TTN http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=TTN&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap PHL http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=PHL&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap ILG http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=ILG&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap ACY http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140119&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=ACY&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=40.149229006911625&mLON=-74.696461328125&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So what does it mean? Ha it's all Greek to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So what does it mean? Ha it's all Greek to me Vertical axis is accumulated snowfall in inches. Horizontal axis is time, from now (left) to the end of the run (right). The line graphs represent accumulated snowfall from all the SREF members, with the mean represented by the thick black line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Vertical axis is accumulated snowfall in inches. Horizontal axis is time, from now (left) to the end of the run (right). The line graphs represent accumulated snowfall from all the SREF members, with the mean represented by the thick black line. A lot of noise is made of these typically. Are they accurate this far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 A lot of noise is made of these typically. Are they accurate this far out? I think they tend to overdo it, but I haven't followed them as closely as I perhaps should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 7 inches for reading? Did i read it right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 7 inches for reading? Did i read it right? Definitely read it right. Wouldn't put any stock on it though lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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