PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The funny thing is a lot of us preached patience the truth is non was needed 2 days in and the pattern goes nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The funny thing is a lot of us preached patience the truth is non was needed 2 days in and the pattern goes nuts. I think Mother Nature got tired of all the whining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The funny thing is a lot of us preached patience the truth is non was needed 2 days in and the pattern goes nuts. Bad news. This is going to mean a higher bar as far as snowstorms go now lol But the QPF doesnt line up with a vertically stacked and stalling low over the benchmark. I suspect this run with respectivr QPF that a system like that would produce is from NYC-east 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I think Mother Nature got tired of all the whining. Mother nature just decided for no strip tease. Instead she gave us the saturday night lovers special haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 whats the deal with these storms the last few years. storm near benchmark yet precip barley makes it into pa. ive seen storms in the past with preciep shields way way into pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I was looking at the 0z model runs last night out of boredom and saw the 0z models and said "meh." Then I saw the ARW which had a snowstorm and it was so different from even the NMM and I said, either "It's out to lunch or I'm going to wake up to a WSW." The ARW is not known for scoring victories but in this case, it may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Oh my... I went to sleep last night and things were looking good but wow, they got even better this morning!!! This week is going to be very unproductive at work, lol You? I have to patrol in the snow tomorrow and Wednesday on foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Bad news. This is going to mean a higher bar as far as snowstorms go now lol But the QPF doesnt line up with a vertically stacked and stalling low over the benchmark. I suspect this run with respectivr QPF that a system like that would produce is from NYC-east 12"+ If it's off by a little and u get .75 I think u will and u go 20 to 1 You will end up better than jan 3 Rd. These are long island specials Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 whats the deal with these storms the last few years. storm near benchmark yet precip barley makes it into pa. ive seen storms in the past with preciep shields way way into pa We haven't had those classic Noreasters with the huge QPF fields all the way into Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Not to kiss your you know what... but you are just knocking it out of the park this winter man! Appreciate it my friend. Pattern isn't done yet. More to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Look at the vort off the coast Look at how consolidated the vort is and the negative tilt as it goes by. If that depiction is correct, and it's quite possible since other models have this look to it, this will be a very nice event for our area. That's exactly what you want to see for a significant snow event. We're definitely lucking out by having no kicker behind the low and an opportunity for amplification. The RGEM might really be onto something with its intense depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 You? I have to patrol in the snow tomorrow and Wednesday on foot. If you stop and frisk me I will kick your (crap, I have to behave) butt! This is going to be another one of those "shovel 8 inches with a broom" type of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 You? I have to patrol in the snow tomorrow and Wednesday on foot. Not as bad as driving a boat in New York Harbor! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Appreciate it my friend. Pattern isn't done yet. More to come. The next couple weeks should be fun. Lots of "surprise" events I'm guessing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Appreciate it my friend. Pattern isn't done yet. More to come. Why are they kissing your butt? Mods being worshiped? Hi. Looking at the medium range, today will be the last day without snow cover for a while. I'm going to go out and enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 We could see some really nice banding set up as the mid level lapse rates push 6.5-7.0. Why can't we get lapse rates this steep during our summer thunderstorm outbreaks? snd.gif I was thinking the same thing! Thundersnow definitely seems like a possibility based on that sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The next couple weeks should be fun. Lots of "surprise" events I'm guessing If we can hold this pattern for a while we might be well above normal snow by the time it breaks next month. Having a block around would be the best case but this event is happening without one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Appreciate it my friend. Pattern isn't done yet. More to come. Why are they kissing your butt? Mods being worshiped? Hi. Looking at the medium range, today will be the last day without snow cover for a while. I'm going to go out and enjoy it. Mods getting worshipped doesn't happen! Lol, I made a post last week about the pattern and how we would get multiple events and people would be screaming cold and dry at first but the events would suddenly appear. I think I'll go roll around in my grass today as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 What is the timing of tomorrow's event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I was looking at the 0z model runs last night out of boredom and saw the 0z models and said "meh." Then I saw the ARW which had a snowstorm and it was so different from even the NMM and I said, either "It's out to lunch or I'm going to wake up to a WSW." The ARW is not known for scoring victories but in this case, it may.Or what the GGEM sniffed out on Friday and subsequently lost... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 What if first crisis for new mayor is meteorological and not political! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Or what the GGEM sniffed out on Friday and subsequently lost... I spend most of my time on the E-Wall and the GGEM and the RGEM take too long to come out. I'm curious about the Ukmet because I have to go before the Euro comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Speaking of the ARW which I usually ignore but it has led the way so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I will not be shocked if the amounts go up as we get closer to the event. The models keep on getting stronger and trending west with the shortwave. The PNA ridge is really helping us out with this storm. The separation with the 2 disturbances are also helping us out. Lets see what the new mayor of NYC does. He closed school the last time . I bet he does the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Incoming Day 7 . not one and done . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I will not be shocked if the amounts go up as we get closer to the event. The models keep on getting stronger and trending west with the shortwave. The PNA ridge is really helping us out with this storm. The separation with the 2 disturbances are also helping us out. Lets see what the new mayor of NYC does. He closed school the last time . I bet he does the same. My earlier post that if the GFS scenario was to come fruition your talking more than .75" for LI/NYC. A vertically stacked and 18hr.+ system that looks like it can create some intense banding should produce lollipops of 12"+ handily. December 25, 2004 for me proved what banding can do for you in a short time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Incoming Day 7 . not one and done . Yup we'll see but one must be satisfied along the coast that the GFS verifies with another tick N/W. blizzard warnings for LI again? Or winds shouldnt be too severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 My earlier post that if the GFS scenario was to come fruition your talking more than .75" for LI/NYC. A vertically stacked and 18hr.+ system that looks like it can create some intense banding should produce lollipops of 12"+ handily. December 25, 2004 for me proved what banding can do for you in a short time I don't think my area got anything from that storm. If you want to talk about intense banding, Feb 2006 had 3-6 per hours rates with the storm. Also, the boxing day storm had intense banding for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I don't think my area got anything from that storm. If you want to talk about intense banding, Feb 2006 had 3-6 per hours rates with the storm. Also, the boxing day storm had intense banding for my area. He means 12/25/02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I don't think my area got anything from that storm. If you want to talk about intense banding, Feb 2006 had 3-6 per hours rates with the storm. Also, the boxing day storm had intense banding for my area. Those two storms i didnt ge nowhere near as much as nyc proper did. You guys got 24"+ and more in earthlight land where he bathed and loathed in 30" of the white stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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