MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 RGEM looks beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Yeah, ISP had 11.2 of snow off .61 liquid equiv. 2 32 18 25 -7 40 0 0.27 4.7 0 16.3 25 40 M M 10 168 35 303 18 7 13 -18 52 0 0.34 6.5 9 19.2 33 330 M M 6 1289 40 320 Was between 10:1 and 11:1 here. Nothing special. I am about 10 miles from ISP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Nothing better then high ratio fluff! 6+ coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 this has much better banding potential in this region than 1/3. the system is more consolidated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 One guarantee today is that 12z GFS and EURO are going to be server crashing today lol. The turnaround in the past 24 hours is comparable to BD 2010. The models simply put just dropped the ball and found this development late in the game. That's yet to be seen from Gfs and Euro, though I fully expect the Euro to trend much better. As far as turnaround, you can't compare this to Boxing Day since Boxing Day basically was zero snowfall to full blown blizzard and 18-24"+ of snow in less than 24 hrs. I get what you're saying though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The best events are spur of the moments generally in life so this all good. The models did not torture people for days on end LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 That's yet to be seen from Gfs and Euro, though I fully expect the Euro to trend much better. As far as turnaround, you can't compare this to Boxing Day since Boxing Day basically was zero snowfall to full blown blizzard and 18-24"+ of snow in less than 24 hrs. I get what you're saying though. Maybe i shouldve added not intensity wise but forecasted scenarios and eventual track/ intensity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 RGEM is 15-20 mm of qpf for NYC, probably looking at .60-.70 inches of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This gfs is going to bring that .5 line further west this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So far through hour 21 the vort max looks good. Amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 A current summary: NAM .43" 7.5" 17X GFS .41" 6.3" 15X SREF Plume .50" 11.5" 23X all for LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So far through hour 21 the vort max looks good. Amped up. Yup. There's that low in Western NC/VA. NAM like... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So far through hour 21 the vort max looks good. Amped up. Agree! Looks real good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 RGEM is a MECS for the coast. Imagine if this goes more northwest. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 You can see pretty clearly how the subsidence associated with the PV pulls away further NW just as the storm is approaching. Good timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Wow where did this storm come from?! I was sleeping when I heard on channel 7 of 6+ for us and I was super confused! Love these surprise events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS should look at least as good as the NAM. The vort is really amped up and digging nicely. Snow approaching the area hour 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 RGEM is 15-20 mm of qpf for NYC, probably looking at .60-.70 inches of qpf. Parts of coastal NJ, south central nj, and parts of LI see even more than that. 20-25 mm or .80-.90 at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hr 30 light snow. Heavy snow mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hr 33 steady snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hour 30 light snow for all, hour 33 moderate to heavy snow. It might even be more amped up than the NAM. Awesome digging at hour 33. Looks like the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hr 36 steady snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS closes off the 850mb low over the Ohio Valley at hour 24. Then takes almost a classic track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Vort looks deeper at 36h than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hr 39 steady snow. 996 this is going to be a big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This system is going to break a lot of hearts in NE PA and southern upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hour 42 she's bombing. Nearly stalls from hours 39-42. CCB developing over head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Holy crap, this run of the GFS is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 988 sw of bm. Sne and Long Island 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like she becomes vertically stacked around hrs 45-48 as the system pulls away. Reaches sub 988 and stops intensifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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