PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Nice hit at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Tries to pinch off a mid level circ at 33 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The moderate snow makes it about 30-40 miles further NW so far. That energy is really digging, if it could just turn the corner a bit harder we would be talking about much higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This storm went from a hit to a miss to a hit now. Exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The 850mb low actually closes off at hour 33 and is still closed off at hour 36. Hour 39 the closed off 850 low is tucked right into the Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hr 39 Ccb love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This is really bombing this run. CCB now hammering NYC, LI and NJ from I-78 south. Moderate snow NW of the Poconos. Big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hour 42 the heavy stuff is starting to pull away but the area is still getting moderate snow. If this was able to tuck into the coast more the results would have been greater. At least it doesn't appear to be moving all that fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like we have the normal crazy nam run....i like the looks of it though. Gfs will be telling to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 If the GFS trends that way, then it's pretty certain that this will be much bigger than we have previously thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like we have the normal crazy nam run....i like the looks of it though. Gfs will be telling to me. Its not all that crazy..qpf still around .5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Great run , a little more tucked in , and its a bomb , but as it is , great hit , use high ratios and most important no tick S E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Lol nam goes from a coating to 10" (with ratios) in 2 runs sub 55 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hour 45 it's wrapping up. Snow lasts from approximately 20z Tuesday through 09z Wed. So from about 2-3PM tomorrow afternoon through about 6-7AM Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The 0.25"+ line is NW of the Poconos. The city, all of Long Island, central and southern NJ are all at least 0.50"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like 5 + for NYC on this run. Great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Again a little tick n/w and little more digging as paul said it is going to be a NICE miller B bomb. This solution is not that crazy at all, if 12z comes out with something similar its time to use dare i say the MECS term. Little excited yes, but like 1/3 this storm is agonizingly close to being something for the books Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The 4k NAM is much, much better this run. Shows accumulating snows beginning as early as noon tomorrow west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like the cras had the right idea slowing down the slp at r he coast due to getting captured. Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like the cras had the right idea slowing down the slp at r he coast due to getting captured. Maybe? ARW and RGEM showed this last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Again a little tick n/w and little more digging as paul said it is going to be a NICE miller B bomb. This solution is not that crazy at all, if 12z comes out with something similar its time to use dare i say the MECS term. Little excited yes, but like 1/3 this storm is agonizingly close to being something for the books Im not a met but thats a clipper to coastal (1/23/05 type event) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Again a little tick n/w and little more digging as paul said it is going to be a NICE miller B bomb. This solution is not that crazy at all, if 12z comes out with something similar its time to use dare i say the MECS term. Little excited yes, but like 1/3 this storm is agonizingly close to being something for the books Im happy with this . I don't expect this to wrap up much more . was 4 MB stonger than at 6z , so it helped . But you guys on Long Island , esp Suffolk County possibly looking at a foot of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The 4k NAM is much, much better this run. Shows accumulating snows beginning as early as noon tomorrow west of the city. Nice...can you post it yanks...how does the banding look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looks like the cras had the right idea slowing down the slp at r he coast due to getting captured. Maybe? It's the placement of the PV. It seems that the NAM is favoring a more western position, which will cause the H5 LP to amplify and tilt earlier. Could be due to the NW Atlantic ridge being a bit stronger than previously modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Im not a met but thats a clipper to coastal (1/23/05 type event) Shhh trying to sound weather savvy haha Another option here is maybe anthony infiltrated the models and pulled this one off? I dont know this is pretty weenieish run, ant fess up hahaha Trend is our friend folks, cheers to a great 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Here is the 12z Nam snowfall output. 6 + for the NYC area. Ratios will be high with the really cold temps in place during the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Great NAM run...nice tick north. 0.5" for all from about Rt.78 S. With decent ratios this is a 6-9" verbatim... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Here is the 12z Nam snowfall output. 6 + for the NYC area. Ratios will be high with the really cold temps in place during the storm. That's in line with the 03Z SREF and 00Z GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Great NAM run...nice tick north. 0.5" for all from about Rt.78 S. With decent ratios this is a 6-9" verbatim... Based on the Instant maps, it's 9-12" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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