Absolute Humidity Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 ISP is just about 14" with three members over 30" it has to count for something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 03Z SREF Plume Mean for LGA: 12.34" of snow. Nine of those members are at least 15"+ of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Sorry. I'm a bit behind. I'm still waiting for the Plumes though. All good. I just posted the updated plumes as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Those arent the new ones... Kocin did the newest ones Those arent the new ones... Kocin did the newest ones Those were the new ones at the time..they have since been updated again notice the time frame...0653Z Monday ,,Newest ones are 0717Z Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So, basically we went from nada to something potentially tomorrow? Two questions before la la land for me. 1) How long a duration event can this be, 6-8 hours, 12-18 hours, what? 2) Will snow on ground help us with our +4 low and +9 high as far as future cold is concerned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 So, basically we went from nada to something potentially tomorrow? Two questions before la la land for me. 1) How long a duration event can this be, 6-8 hours, 12-18 hours, what? 2) Will snow on ground help us with our +4 low and +9 high as far as future cold is concerned? Snow was the missing component for the last arctic outbreak. This storm should lead to Central Park having a legitimate shot at breaking 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we are an hour or so away from Upton's new forecast, does anyone forsee a wsw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we are an hour or so away from Upton's new forecast, does anyone forsee a wsw? Probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we are an hour or so away from Upton's new forecast, does anyone forsee a wsw? Not a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Probably. Not a chance why the differing of opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we are an hour or so away from Upton's new forecast, does anyone forsee a wsw? Not yet. Maybe tomorrow afternoon if things hold serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Nam looks more amped from my phone @ 36 - Looks like this could be a much improved run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 But do we all agree tomorrow night from 9PM it can be snowing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 But do we all agree tomorrow night from 9PM it can be snowing?No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Precip shield is further northwest @ 39 looking good - mod snow starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 But do we all agree tomorrow night from 9PM it can be snowing? Not enough models on board for warning criteria so no watches yet. The gfs has a start time of Tuesday after 8 am. Not sure where people saw Monday 9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 06Z NAM @HR 36. Almost as amped as the 00Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Slightly more amped @HR 39. A bit more than the 00Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 this run is going to come in much wetter the 0z...prop similar to srefs - mod snow continues @ 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Is this to be classified a long duration event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 @HR 42: Vort over Virginia. It's digging a bit more than the GFS and the heights ahead of it are also higher than the 00Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Getting in the ccb @ 45... getting hit hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Clearly a huge improvement over the 00Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Is this to be classified a long duration event? Yes now go to bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Yes now go to bed LOL..night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Mod snow ending around 51 light snow ending @ 54 - like day and night between the last 2 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Heaviest snowfall just off the coast. 6-9" of snow for NE NJ/NYC. 8"+ of snow for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 336 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014 ...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL EVENT BECOMING MORE LIKELY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING WITH COLD AIR TO FOLLOW... DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>027-PAZ070-071-102-104- 106-202100- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0003.140121T1200Z-140122T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER- EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN... REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON... DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON... PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN... MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA... WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE... MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 336 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY EVENING WITH HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL COULD CAUSE PERIODS OF HAZARDOUS TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S THEN DROPPING INTO THE TEENS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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