January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Really hope the gfs comes west. Want too see some of the big Names come on board here

[N. OF PIKE]

Good signs:

Uncle Jerry very insistent

Earthlight posting in the NE thread

Will giving sref props

Brian almost desperately cautious

Kevin asleep, dreaming

Scott saying "Wow"

I think these clippers have trended well this winter. The period just prior to the NY looked dry and then suddenly we had a couple storms. Lots of surprised to the upside this year. Look at yesterday for example. Why not now?

Funny and good post!

[earthlight]

GFS not as excited aloft through 30 hours, pretty noticeable. 

[Ginx snewx]

Oh man don't read JB

[CoastalWx]

GFS not as excited aloft through 30 hours, pretty noticeable. 

 

I thought it was better than 18z. It raises heights a bit ahead of the s/w. Just a tad though. It has lower heights here so net/net might not be much.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Ryan said "over correct then tick east".

Not that that is what nam is doing but not sure i just toss it outright?

It's simple:

Ncep always too far west and overdone

Euro too dry and starts too Far East but never shoots passed the western extent (still too dry at times)

There will be times when it doesn't play out like the above but so far this year most of the time it does.

[earthlight]

I thought it was better than 18z. It raises heights a bit ahead of the s/w. Just a tad though. It has lower heights here so net/net might not be much.

 

Yeah initially wasn't as amped as the s/w crosses the intl border. 

[mahk_webstah]

Funny and good post!

Thank you, can I have a free massage?

 

I think it was 10-11 where we just kept getting positive surprises, stuff that would usually show up on the models just a few days out and we are getting some of that vibe this year.  Although then, it always happened when I was on the elliptical at the gym as the 12Z runs came in.  Now I'm just lying in bed covered by a fake fur blanky.

[CoastalWx]

This will be better.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Oh man don't read JB

Took me a while to find the wx tweet amid his usual garbage

[earthlight]

Much more room for precipitation development on the NW side. Hard to imagine this not being better than 18z. 

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Oh man don't read JB

That's never a problem .

[Ginx snewx]

Took me a while to find the wx tweet amid his usual garbage

I warned you

[weathafella]

Toss NAM

Gfs looks good.

[CT Rain]

GFS will be better than 18z... also a good snowstorm for DC. 

[weathafella]

This ones on!

[CoastalWx]

Nice!

[ORH_wxman]

Wow, GFS is a moderate snowstorm for E SNE and prob advisory snows back into the CT river valley.

[CT Rain]

Nice negative tilt. 

[CoastalWx]

Boom.

[CT Rain]

Wow that's like 0.4"+ of liquid even back this way. 

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Wow, GFS is a moderate snowstorm for E SNE and prob advisory snows back into the CT river valley.

Provided we can keep favorable wind profiles I think has the potential to be a major hit along the coast due to oes enhancement.

[mahk_webstah]

Wow, GFS is a moderate snowstorm for E SNE and prob advisory snows back into the CT river valley.

and not done trending.

and had a se bias

I am joining this party with some 20:1 action up here.

Though it is still your party, I just want a couple drinks.

[dendrite]

I'll start your threads from now on ok?

Don't spike the ball early Leon...

[ORH_wxman]

RGEM and GFS trending like that is a big flag IMHO...the NAM run is totally irrelevant to me. We'll see if Euro keeps inching NW...I just don't want to see it go SE.

[weathafella]

That's alot of omega right after midnight.

[CoastalWx]

That's a blizz for CC.

[CT Rain]

RGEM and GFS trending like that is a big flag IMHO...the NAM run is totally irrelevant to me. We'll see if Euro keeps inching NW...I just don't want to see it go SE.

 

Absolutely. I liked how juicy the 18z GEFS members were... there were a lot of good ones in the bunch. 

[CT Rain]

That's alot of omega right after midnight.

 

LIkely some superb snowgrowth too. This one could be a 15 or 20:1 kind of deal in some spots. 

[CoastalWx]

RGEM and GFS trending like that is a big flag IMHO...the NAM run is totally irrelevant to me. We'll see if Euro keeps inching NW...I just don't want to see it go SE.

 

I know...you hate to see the euro give us 0.05"....but those are two good things to have on our side as you said.