Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 2/12/06 is one of the CIPS analog storms lol Wow. Imagine that. I think highest potential in 20" not 30" like that storm .. If I removed correctly that was supposed to be a 8-14" type of storm and most got 20-30" in that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yep and wherever the northern wall is...the bands will pile into it as the radar slowly shows the returns orienting E W to N/S and eventually NW to SE as the low pulls away. I can envision three different jp zones......a general one over cc in association with the CCB, another in the oe streamer on the s shore, and the final at that northern wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yep and wherever the northern wall is...the bands will pile into it as the radar slowly shows the returns orienting E W to N/S and eventually NW to SE as the low pulls away. Hopefully delivering that "Monadnock" effect to N Franklin Co. that I am so fond of with big coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I know we are on the fringes up here for the main event but maybe some extended steady light snow over the NW areas as the snow moves North? Yeah you'll get steady light snows I think...it won't be like a wall where one town gets 10" and 5 miles NW gets 1"...not that extreme I don't think. The initial surge north should actually get to ALB and S VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thinking back over time....I can't really recall a strong coastal that had the northern wall set up just to my s.....subsidence zones, sure... I think the closet call was Jan 1996.....the northern wall was over about Andover. I had about 20", and ,Methuen, about 10 mi to my north on the NH border, had a mere 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thinking back over time....I can't really recall a strong coastal that had the northern wall set up just to my s.....subsidence zones, sure... I think the closet call was Jan 1996.....the northern wall was over about Andover. I had about 20", and ,Methuen, about 10 mi to my north on the NH border, had a mere 5". Gfs is close to having the best comma head stuff miss me. But using the orh rule of thumb....best banding usually ends up nw. Multifaceted storm as it takes a bit longer to organize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I feel deflated. I shouldn' have gotten invested. bed time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Extend that back Sw to Ne MD, And then we agree I think it is growing clear that best bands will set up there, it will be like Boxing Day death band intensity wise for ne md thru njj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thinking back over time....I can't really recall a strong coastal that had the northern wall set up just to my s.....subsidence zones, sure... I think the closet call was Jan 1996.....the northern wall was over about Andover. I had about 20", and ,Methuen, about 10 mi to my north on the NH border, had a mere 5". I had near 10" just east of MHT and that was before I did 6hr clearings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I feel deflated. I shouldn' have gotten invested. bed time.lol...we were never in this to get crushed. Accept a couple inches and enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I think you are taking it a little too verbatim. I don't argue with a foot...but the locations of all these specific features aren't set. Anyways good luck all. Night. 16 Minutes later he's posting.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I had near 10" just east of MHT and that was before I did 6hr clearings. Must have been an outter deform band....I know far n MA got hosed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Wow. Imagine that. I think highest potential in 20" not 30" like that storm .. If I removed correctly that was supposed to be a 8-14" type of storm and most got 20-30" in that band did you just move to seymour/oxford? btw, i love oxford as a mini weenie spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 16 Minutes later he's posting.....lol lol....hes funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 How big are subsistence zones on the back side of a band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I can't believe how this is the EXACT same storm as the Jan. 2-3 Freezzard. - Extremely Cold Temperatures for a 6"+ Snowfall - The First piece looks good and then sucks when it gets here - The second piece comes out of nowhere, looks good but is too far Out to Sea - We Nickle and Dime our way to 0.5" - 0.7" but luckily the ratios are good so it's a 5-10 storm with some 12" amounts on the cape - OES happens on the cape at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Gfs is close to having the best comma head stuff miss me. But using the orh rule of thumb....best banding usually ends up nw. Multifaceted storm as it takes a bit longer to organize You may get dryslotted for a time tomorrow night. The whole banding NW rule is due to mid level processes that are identifiable. It's fairly easy to identify them, but oscillations east and west make it difficult to say where it happens. This is why I told pickles to relax. The best banding may actually be in CT and central MA up to NE MA for a time before shifting east. This storm will look weird on radar. It won't be a meaty CCB moving up from the south....it will be this 600 mile long band Moving in with echoes feeding into it from the south as it moves NW and does what Will describes. This move east and probably gets a boost as the CCB clips the Cape. Obviously OES stuff in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yeah you'll get steady light snows I think...it won't be like a wall where one town gets 10" and 5 miles NW gets 1"...not that extreme I don't think. The initial surge north should actually get to ALB and S VT. Thanks Will, I'll be thrilled if we can pull a 2-5" deal out here while those E hopefully get 2-3X that. I'm of course in favor of NW trends. Radar and WV will be good entertainment watching this evolve. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I think it is growing clear that best bands will set up there, it will be like Boxing Day death band intensity wise for ne md thru njj No Boxing day was a different beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 please refrain from using boxing day superband as analogs for any future bands. unless you were under the finding Nemo superband, nothing compares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I agree, that is what I said this afternoon. I'm hoping to get the "Dendirite band".... this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 lol...we were never in this to get crushed. Accept a couple inches and enjoy. well if we can manage .25qpf that could be 4-6 and I'd be happy about that. And I am happy for the southern guys...awesome almost surprise storm - the best! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I can't believe how this is the EXACT same storm as the Jan. 2-3 Freezzard. - Extremely Cold Temperatures for a 6"+ Snowfall - The First piece looks good and then sucks when it gets here - The second piece comes out of nowhere, looks good but is too far Out to Sea - We Nickle and Dime our way to 0.5" - 0.7" but luckily the ratios are good so it's a 5-10 storm with some 12" amounts on the cape - OES happens on the cape at the end. Huh? From what I understand there is only one piece to this storm. Not sure where you're coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 This feels the same as 1/3. I'm feeling I miss out on the initial banding tomorrow night to the NW then cash in for 5-6 hours while I sleep but by then everything's sliding SE. 5-10" sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 If it were up to me we'd have no boxing day references ever. Hated that storm and it's east flow. Think this one may feature a similar band orientation as Nemo, just less in all ways. No shaking houses and 45 dBZ. Impressive nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 You may get dryslotted for a time tomorrow night. The whole banding NW rule is due to mid level processes that are identifiable. It's fairly easy to identify them, but oscillations east and west make it difficult to say where it happens. This is why I told pickles to relax. The best banding may actually be in CT and central MA up to NE MA for a time before shifting east. This storm will look weird on radar. It won't be a meaty CCB moving up from the south....it will be this 600 mile long band Moving in with echoes feeding into it from the south as it moves NW and does what Will describes. This move east and probably gets a boost as the CCB clips the Cape. Obviously OES stuff in there too. Agreed. I sense multiple meltdowns coming Tuesday. What I'm hoping Scott is this time is that no easterly component crops up. nNE winds should keep most of ema in low level OE snows in between bands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 If it were up to me we'd have no boxing day references ever. Hated that storm and it's east flow. Think this one may feature a similar band orientation as Nemo, just less in all ways. No shaking houses and 45 dBZ. Impressive nonetheless. i was living in NJ and was under the garden state parkway superband. total overnight nakedness. but i know spots in SNE got shafted. its how it goes with wrapped up beasts..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Was hoping i would have a real good shot at 12+. Not sure that's going too happen. Probably too far west for any ocean enhancement fun, but far enough east to still pick up a respectable total. 8-10 final call for my back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 Well here's my take. We have a coastal storm bringing warning snows over ct and eastern ma. If I get 6....I'm pleased. I think there's a good chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 This will be fun regardless tmrw. Good luck to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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