January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[40/70 Benchmark]

So, when does the 00z suite come in...in about half an hour?

Hasn't started yet.

[Bostonseminole]

Banding looks good for ern MA and CT on the NAM despite QPF. That's all I need to see..

 

NAM looked good to me also, not sure what the problem is.

[N. OF PIKE]

Well correct me if im wrong but euro has best lift fronto from dc to Philly per Ryan than a but more again near se mass so 0z nam wouldnt be all that different. Not saying its right , just Somethin to consider.

We need a deepening mid level low as it passes south of us or at least maintaining strength to get our ten -twelve inch weenies.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Could the NAM be picking up on the arctic air getting pulled in?  That stuff is dry as a desert, I imagine it'll cut the snow line real sharp.

current dew points aren't that bad those numbers are in celsius

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Ok, i got schooled on it earlier so right back at ya....lets not micro analyze the nam.

[CoastalWx]

So, when does the 00z suite come in...in about half an hour?

 

LOL, NAM is about 24 hrs away from being relevant. 

[N. OF PIKE]

Banding looks good for ern MA and CT on the NAM despite QPF. That's all I need to see.

Yup it did bos to 128 look solid, now can it be trusted .....

[40/70 Benchmark]

Banding looks good for ern MA and CT on the NAM despite QPF. That's all I need to see.

My thoughts haven't changed......5-10".

 

Its just fun to make suicide jokes.

[jamesnichols1989]

NAM sucks, it is waffling pretty badly in my opinion.  Honestly I would watch the GFS/EURO and NMM/ARW combination tonight.

[Bostonseminole]

Yup it did bos to 128 look solid, now can it be trusted .....

 

i mean you just look at it for a trend, one way or the other, not any significant details, at this point it held serve from 18z and 12z, so all is good!

[jamesnichols1989]

My thoughts haven't changed......5-10".

 

Its just fun to make suicide jokes.

 

Why is that funny?  Don't you have consideration for others's lives, suicide could be something serious in other people's lives, don't make fun of something that is so serious, over snow?

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

NECN upped totals, 10-12" for the south shore into southeast Connecticut, 8-10" for all of Essex SW into NW CT (including Worcester), and 8-10" on the cape. 4-8 west of there into SNH and SE Maine.

[Bostonseminole]

NAM sucks, it is waffling pretty badly in my opinion.  Honestly I would watch the GFS/EURO and NMM/ARW combination tonight.

 

arw?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yup it did bos to 128 look solid, now can it be trusted .....

 

Yup it did bos to 128 look solid, now can it be trusted .....

LOL You always need to speak in your own little mesoscale language.

 

"Wakefield looks good up to about main street, but Willow grove may be smoking cirrus. Lynn, Peabody, Danvers, Melrose, Malden, and Everett, from the corner of weenie ave and shaft street look to clean up, but we may see too much marine influence around noose neck beach."

[CoastalWx]

LOL You always need to speak in your own little mesoscale language.

 

"Wakefield looks good up to about main street, but Willow grove may be smoking cirrus. Lynn, Peabody, Danvers, Melrose, Malden, and Everett, from the corner of weenie ave and shaft street look to clean up, but we may see too much marine influence around noose neck beach."

 

[CoastalWx]

This will have a screw zone though. That elongation of the mid level lows and lack of an intense CCB sort of give that look IMO.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Why is that funny?  Don't you have consideration for others's lives, suicide could be something serious in other people's lives, don't make fun of something that is so serious, over snow?

You're right.

 

I'm going to suck on a tailpipe.

I'm an awful, awful person.

[Bostonseminole]

 ban

[Bostonseminole]

You're right.

 

I'm going to suck on a tailpipe.

I'm an awful, awful person.

 

clown.. 

 

I think we do OK in the wakefield, Burlington, Woburn, Arlington area.. we can all measure our snows and see who wins.. then later we can measure our dongs, I know I would win.

[40/70 Benchmark]

clown.. 

 

I think we do OK in the wakefield, Burlington, Woburn, Arlington area.. we can all measure our snows and see who wins.. then later we can measure our dongs, I know I would win.

Heavy, heavy schlongs in Burlington, and suicide impersonations running a muck on Cape Cod, MA.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

This will have a screw zone though. That elongation of the mid level lows and lack of an intense CCB sort of give that look IMO.

You saying this after 0z nam concerns me.

[Bostonseminole]

clown.. 

 

I think we do OK in the wakefield, Burlington, Woburn, Arlington area.. we can all measure our snows and see who wins.. then later we can measure our dongs, I know I would win.

 

and I'm talking to Ray, NEmass128 and our favorite poster from arlington.

 

edit and cpick79

[Bostonseminole]

You saying this after 0z nam concerns me.

 

it should not

[Clinch Leatherwood]

NAM was neither great nor terrible.  Nothing earth shattering either way.  I believe it was a tick better than the earlier run. 

 

In some senses there does seem to be this 1 - 2 punch perhaps developing like we saw with the earlier storm.  I think the GFS comes down tonight but who knows.

 

Much more interested in the RGEM and Euro.

[N. OF PIKE]

Lol ray that was good

[CoastalWx]

You saying this after 0z nam concerns me.

 

Well it's all relative...sorry I do not mean to scare you man. I just think there may be an area that may have a bit of subsidence in between the meat of the stuff near the Cape and mid level stuff creating banding. Where that is I'm not sure since models are still not agreeing. 

[Zeus]

This will have a screw zone though. That elongation of the mid level lows and lack of an intense CCB sort of give that look IMO.

 

The SREF members -- tossable as some are -- give me the impression that it may set up with a nice steady band out around 495 and then better stuff SE MA but in between a bit risky. Just a possibility based on some of the features shown.

[CoastalWx]

it should not

 

It doesn't have to do with the NAM, just something to watch...it happens frequently in events. No reason to panic.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Interesting some models still coming nw, but the nam moved to a more euro-ish solution. If the gfs is going to cave, it will be this run.

Obviously, pretty big implications for all. If the gfs is correct, this is a bonafide snowstorm for some and close for others, if the euro type solution is right, might be more or a moderate event.

Hoping all do well

[CoastalWx]

The SREF members -- tossable as some are -- give me the impression that it may set up with a nice steady band out around 495 and then better stuff SE MA but in between a bit risky. Just a possibility based on some of the features shown.

 

Some of those members are south of Long Island..lol. Tough to take it that seriously. It may end up like a compromise with 12z euro/18z GFS solution...just my hunch.