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January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Trend is done.

 

BOX map looks good.

 

This is why BOX, wording nuances aside, made the right move.

 

Theoretically, say that eastward correction were to continue??

They never went nuts.....slow, calculated adjustments to a mod impact.

They maybe underestimating ratios a bit but good map so far.
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N. OF PIKE

N. OF PIKE

Posted
Posted

They maybe underestimating ratios a bit but good map so far.

Ratiio's under bandiing should be 18/ 20:1 so long as good lift reaches us.

Seems like a lock for areas near GON/PVD/TAN/PYM all about the banding baby

So unless this slows or tucks/ pivots should be a swath of ~10 inch snows somewhere where banding sets up w maybe tad higher se mass cape.

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted

They maybe underestimating ratios a bit but good map so far.

Assuming a general 15:1, which is about as aggressive as I'd ever go in advance of a "nowcast" scenario, then their amounts look good.

Maybe change it to 10-15", as opposed to 10-14".....and 6-10", as opposed to 6-8"....but again, that's hair splitting and need to account for potential of eastward correction.

Tic upwards at nowcast/go-time if need be.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Assuming a general 15:1, which is about as aggressive as I'd ever go in advance of a "nowcast" scenario, then their amounts look good.

Maybe change it to 10-15", as opposed to 10-14".....and 6-10", as opposed to 8"....but again, that's hair splitting and need to account for potential of eastward correction.

Tic upwards at nowcast/go-time if need be.

As mets have said,, if there's any trend it's more likely to bump NW
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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted

As mets have said,, if there's any trend it's more likely to bump NW

Who cares who said what....you don't need a degree to see that the westward trend has just ceased, and we are now 24hrs away from go-time.

I don't think the final outcome will vary much from the BOX map is all I'm saying.

Considering where we were 24 hours ago, I'm thrilled with that.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Who cares who said what....you don't need a degree to see that the westward trend has just ceased, and we are now 24hrs away from go-time.

I don't think the final outcome will vary much from the BOX map is all I'm saying.

Considering where we were 24 hours ago I'm thrilled with that.

lol. The jEuro jumped way west . The Nam was the same. Only Rgem went east and it was negligible
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MarkO

MarkO

Posted
Posted

lol. The jEuro jumped way west . The Nam was the same. Only Rgem went east and it was negligible

 

NAM looked a little east to me. But we're splitting hairs. Hopefully the GFS holds serve, or nudges NW. But agreed with Ray, this has been a great 24 hours. WS Warning and blizzard watches on the SE coast and islands. Awesome!

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