January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[Clinch Leatherwood]

on the Euro, we need to be specific at all times with him

 

 

Just starting to pay attention to Tue/wed...the Euro is  not going to handle this well I don't think...been too flat and weak with every other one of these all winter.  Split the gap right now on the Euro/GFS but with that in mind that opens up the door to better wind directions and OES potential.

 

Nice look for Tuesday into Wednesday AM in SE areas.

[Ginx snewx]

Just starting to pay attention to Tue/wed...the Euro is not going to handle this well I don't think...been too flat and weak with every other one of these all winter. Split the gap right now on the Euro/GFS but with that in mind that opens up the door to better wind directions and OES potential.

Nice look for Tuesday into Wednesday AM in SE areas.

o

Yea looks like the Cape does well, let's see if we can sneak a 2005 in between Arctic intrusions

[Randy4Confluence]

The EURO isn't the model to rely on in my opinion, if it comes into agreement that's cool, but its not needed to have confidence in a snow event in my opinion, to be honest its been quite bad and the last one to shift northwestward into agreement with the rest of the guidance.  To me I would watch the trends of the model suite over one model.  If the CMC/UKMET/GFS/NAM/NAM hires/SREFs all show something happening for Cape Cod, and the EURO is the only one not showing anything worth mentioning, I just chalk it up to something like its the last one to the table once again.

What do those models show for e mass generally?

[CT Rain]

Euro ens a touch closer to the coast/bit more amplified than op run? 

[Ginx snewx]

NAM looks nice for Tues for southern NE

[Ginx snewx]

2-4 SE of 84 in CT more SE 95 3-6 per NAM

[N. OF PIKE]

NAM looks nice for Tues for southern NE

And Delmarva

[Ginx snewx]

And Delmarva

wrong forum

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Euro ens a touch closer to the coast/bit more amplified than op run? 

 

I'd agree...like I said OP Euro has been putrid in these marginal events.  Go with the more amplified solutions just a ? of how much more because normally the NCEP stuff is overblown at this range.

[ORH_wxman]

The Tuesday night deal could have a nice fronto band on the NW side...even the Euro is keying on this despite the QPF looking pretty meh...its one reason why looking at QPF isn't always the greatest idea. I mean you cna look at it to give a general idea, but when you start seeing fronto banding and omega in snowgrowth region, then you get some alarm bells going off.

 

The Cape could def get a decent event out of this. How much further NW it gets is still up in the air, however.

[N. OF PIKE]

2-4 SE of 84 in CT more SE 95 3-6 per NAM

This has nice potential for cape . I hope James and Phil get some

[CT Rain]

Nice cold sounding with great saturation through the snow growth zone on the GFS. That's a nice look for some big, fluffy dendrites. 

[eduggs]

I really like the look of things for SE SNE, including BOS.  I think the NAM is even better than it looks.  And the SREFs are chock full of maulings.

[ma blizzard]

18z gfs is the most robust run yet ..

[jamesnichols1989]

18z GFS seems consistent.

[powderfreak]

I really like the look of things for SE SNE, including BOS.  I think the NAM is even better than it looks.  And the SREFs are chock full of maulings.

 

Yeah, with the seasonal trend, there's no doubt this is a good hit for a good chunk of SNE, especially the eastern half.  Eastern areas have been racking up over-performers this year.  I bet this is a good hit for them.

[powderfreak]

18z GFS seems consistent.

 

You're getting smoked.  Good wind and snow.

 

Also, where the heck is CapeCodweather?  That guy Phil looks to get a real fun event.

[jamesnichols1989]

I like the trends, stronger energy in regards to the H5 level.  Right now it appears 3-6" is a good bet for SE New England, Plymouth and Barnstable counties and 6"+ for Nantucket.

[jamesnichols1989]

You're getting smoked.  Good wind and snow.

 

Also, where the heck is CapeCodweather?  That guy Phil looks to get a real fun event.

 

I'm just a town south of Phil, we should do quite well if the SREFs are right.  Patriots just don't have the weapons that the Broncos do.

[Ginx snewx]

You're getting smoked. Good wind and snow.

Also, where the heck is CapeCodweather? That guy Phil looks to get a real fun event.

watching his Pats get smoked?

[Modfan]

So...Looking at the weekly forcast from BOX, cold does not appear to be that impressive down here; ATT only 1 night at -1.

[SouthCoastMA]

I don't see the 24th threat. Sorry

[powderfreak]

watching his Pats get smoked?

 

Haha, I just haven't seen him post in a while too.  He was always a good voice of reality and watched a bunch of SNE storms from the outside.  Nice to see him possibly getting one.

 

This looks right up your ally Ginxy... maybe a little banding there on the NW side in eastern CT?

[jamesnichols1989]

NWS not as amped with the 22-23rd storm as they are with the 24th threat.

[Ginx snewx]

Haha, I just haven't seen him post in a while too. He was always a good voice of reality and watched a bunch of SNE storms from the outside. Nice to see him possibly getting one.

This looks right up your ally Ginxy... maybe a little banding there on the NW side in eastern CT?

would be a nice little event, been looking at grass for ten days.

[Damage In Tolland]

I think it's time for me to invest emotionally in this. Blow the horns, ring the bells. Snow

[IntenseBlizzard2014]

That topic headliner.  

[codfishsnowman]

Yeah, with the seasonal trend, there's no doubt this is a good hit for a good chunk of SNE, especially the eastern half. Eastern areas have been racking up over-performers this year. I bet this is a good hit for them.

eastern areas crushed last feb and march too, burying many western zones for seasonal totals! i would gladly go through a two year drought for what eastern areas and much of ct has experienced in recent winters!

[jamesnichols1989]

Patriots played their hearts out, Denver was just the better team today, and with all of the injuries we have sustained, no one is going to say this was a failure of a season.  Anyways back to the weather, GFS looks good for a moderate snowstorm, if only we could get that energy to consolidate more and buckle.

[CoastalWx]

GEfS seem nice.