January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[CoastalWx]

0.50" jumps from BOS to ASH and there's a lot more spread. Must be some really amped members.

 

The mean track was still outside the BM so probably ARWs going wild?  Will be interesting to see. 

[CT Rain]

A seagull could fart and produce a dendrite with this kind of snow growth.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Sref mean crushes se ma especially.

[dendrite]

The mean track was still outside the BM so probably ARWs going wild?  Will be interesting to see. 

ARW must be some kind of abbreviation for Alex Rodriguez because they are usually on PEDs.

 

 

edit...

 

Alex Rodriguez Wx works

[Zeus]

A seagull could fart and produce a dendrite with this kind of snow growth.

 That was beautiful, brah.

[Damage In Tolland]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

[nutmegfriar]

A seagull could fart and produce a dendrite with this kind of snow growth.

Don't mean to be greedy but I'm looking for more of a shart.

[ORH_wxman]

The mean track was still outside the BM so probably ARWs going wild?  Will be interesting to see. 

 

 

SREFs are almost useless with those ARW members skewing the mean.

[jamesnichols1989]

I just finally had a chance to look at the Euro  ... heh, doesn't sit well that it is that far seaward, but ... it is also a significant NW and depth trend over what it's flatter appeal from previous runs, and that "could" mean that it will back in more tonight.  

 

we'll see...

 

The Boxing Day Snowstorm of 2004 was further east than the EURO has this storm currently, so in my opinion we get more than that storm, and that one brought Brewster 18" and Harwich 18"

[RI Rob]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

 

[ravensrule]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

[toronto blizzard]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

Relax dude. You look good for 6-10".

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

I'd say maybe 12+ in some area, still remains to be seen how widespread that would be

[jamesnichols1989]

I agree Kevin, someone could see 1'-2' with this storm.

[MarkO]

Good snowgrowth, ratios, 0.5" QPF up to ASH, I wonder how far NW BOX issues WSW? Worcester?

[CT Rain]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

 

Please stop. 

[jamesnichols1989]

I like the SREF mean SLP track, they have a 984mb low right off the Benchmark.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

SREFs are almost useless with those ARW members skewing the mean.

Happy to see a pro say this.

[Zeus]

I agree Kevin, someone could see 1'-2' with this storm.

 

You two should collaborate on a forecast map.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

Not unreasonable esp in OE preferred areas

[CT Rain]

Happy to see a pro say this.

 

Unfortunately I don't even really use the SREF anymore since they ditched the Eta members for ARW. 

[dendrite]

Happy to see a pro say this.

we've all said it. But a shift is a shift. They were already amped. We'll see what the NAM/GFS/RGEM do here.

[CoastalWx]

SREFs this time are more for trend diagnostics which is what Brian is saying. At least that is how I would treat it. 

[moneypitmike]

Not real worried about enough cold air. 10-15 here lollis to 2x's

My bigger fear is a nw jog which if it changes the wind fields enough we end up with more of an easterly component and totals would come down to 5-10...as the best shifts nw

my heart bleeds. Wake me up when it gets inside Nantucket, Massachusetts.

[Damage In Tolland]

Please stop.

You told me that Last time and we saw 17-24 in Mass. So no I won't

[MarkO]

Are the 18UTC model suite usually more robust?

[TalcottWx]

We may have to start thinking 1-2 foot amounts for some

I remember back on the 3rd when you said something similar and everyone weenie bunned you

[CT Rain]

You told me that Last time and we saw 17-24 in Mass. So no I won't

 

Huh?

[TalcottWx]

Not unreasonable esp in OE preferred areas

Agreed

[ORH_wxman]

Huh?

 

 

He's talking about the localized totals in Essex county in the Jan 2-3 storm. But obviously those were OES enhanced.