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January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!


weathafella

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Just heard Burbank do a live forecast on WBZ. It's crazy how nonchalant he was in talking about the storm, even after acknowledging the latest models. Talked much more about the cold coming in after the snow.

Put that up against the tone of the board right now and it's no wonder the public doesn't have any idea it's going to snow tomorrow night.

Sorry for the OT. Love reading all the analysis, can't wait to see what happens.

BB isn't buying this one yet not sure why. He was the same way last night.

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EURO supports a stronger surface low near the benchmark.  Best guess is that the 18z and 00z suites continue with the stronger vort max solution and therefore might actually close off at h5 and h7 levels giving a prolonged snowfall to the eastern SNE region.  Anyone from the BOS to PVD corridor points south and east could see 10-14" out of this storm.

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Just heard Burbank do a live forecast on WBZ. It's crazy how nonchalant he was in talking about the storm, even after acknowledging the latest models. Talked much more about the cold coming in after the snow.

Put that up against the tone of the board right now and it's no wonder the public doesn't have any idea it's going to snow tomorrow night.

Sorry for the OT. Love reading all the analysis, can't wait to see what happens.

I suppose he could wait until 5 pm news or even 11, maybe. However, at 11 pm most people are in bed, so most will wake up to surprise big snowstorm!

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Snow removal guy texts me and said, "my weather guy told me this is a minor, sorry but I dont remove 1-3" of snow, where are you getting your information from?"

OT but it does give us more feedback that the general public and even some "weather guys" are lagging.

Ask him who "his wx guy" is. What part of nj , extreme nw?

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EURO supports a stronger surface low near the benchmark. Best guess is that the 18z and 00z suites continue with the stronger vort max solution and therefore might actually close off at h5 and h7 levels giving a prolonged snowfall to the eastern SNE region. Anyone from the BOS to PVD corridor points south and east could see 10-14" out of this storm.

Not an unreasonable estimate at this point. Is probably hedge that way.

Thinking places in Rhode Island and extreme western Bristol county probably do better in this storm. We got fringed with the oes enhancement last time, and most locals finished with 6-9 or 10 inches.

Your going to get croaked, enjoy it

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EURO supports a stronger surface low near the benchmark.  Best guess is that the 18z and 00z suites continue with the stronger vort max solution and therefore might actually close off at h5 and h7 levels giving a prolonged snowfall to the eastern SNE region.  Anyone from the BOS to PVD corridor points south and east could see 10-14" out of this storm.

 

I just finally had a chance to look at the Euro  ... heh, doesn't sit well that it is that far seaward, but ... it is also a significant NW and depth trend over what it's flatter appeal from previous runs, and that "could" mean that it will back in more tonight.  

 

we'll see...

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Snow removal guy texts me and said, "my weather guy told me this is a minor, sorry but I dont remove 1-3" of snow, where are you getting your information from?"

OT but it does give us more feedback that the general public and even some "weather guys" are lagging.

tell him to get a new weather guy or look at OKX maps online
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Not sure Barry's reasoning and maybe he's right but this one looks pretty high in potential.

Yeah, it's getting pretty close, getting pretty dicey to play that card.

The gf and her mom just moved into a house in lakeville, and there driveway is like 1/4 mile long I told them they better find a plow guy and fast, they had no idea it was going to snow.

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Snow removal guy texts me and said, "my weather guy told me this is a minor, sorry but I dont remove 1-3" of snow, where are you getting your information from?"

OT but it does give us more feedback that the general public and even some "weather guys" are lagging.

Tell the donkey to go F off and you'll go find someone who wants your business
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Not sure Barry's reasoning and maybe he's right but this one looks pretty high in potential.

 

It's a track far offshore and we sort of are on the edge...so I'm not surprised at his pause. But as of now..seems like a decent bet for a moderate event near BOS, more down towards the Cape. With the changes we have seen...sometimes we are on edge for a shift back SE..but we are close to the starting time relatively speaking and I don't see how this just gets shunted SE very much. I still could see a tick NW.

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