January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[nutmegfriar]

Locally, WTNH is calling for 8"-12" for me and FoxCT is calling for 7" plus.  Nice event if those numbers work out.

[Ginx snewx]

Oh man. If you guys only knew how it works.

I do know that everyone who needs to make management decisions will know in this afternoons briefing. I will share.

[CT Rain]

I think the Euro is coming NW - looks better at 24 hours. 

[N. OF PIKE]

I think the Euro is coming NW - looks better at 24 hours.

All ears

[moneypitmike]

We will need some ticks NW or more NNE track then ENE at the surface

 

Well hello there, Jeff.

 

Right now it's a yawner for you and me (and others).  Fun times ahead for many though it seems.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Messenger you realize alot of populated area had 10 inches or more in 1/3 storm right? Including cc.

So the cf is further se this storm and you won't be in isolated screwgie hole but population centers were hit hard on 1/3 and temps /wind chills were brutal

I do envy ur spot a bit right now i wish this could be slowed more

 

It wasn't isolated.  I don't want to get back into it but the reports from this area were badly inflated.    We weren't really any different than what Bob and Butterfish had along the 495 stripe onto the upper cape.  Out by Phil and James and north of Exit 6 or so on Rte 3 particularly by Scott did a lot better.   I would have put about $100 on us having 8-10" in that last storm but it was reported as much, much more (not by me).  

 

IMO this will have a greater impact in SE areas for snow.  There won't be the same type of tidal issues.  But this is going to be a nasty storm in SE areas.  I'm not excluding you guys N&W....I don't know enough to say so my saying SE isn't an exclusion...just punting for those that know more.

 

 

 

Oh man. If you guys only knew how it works.

 

Not sure why everyone is worked up.

[weathafella]

Euros on board.

[CoastalWx]

Uncle looked good for ern CT into ern MA. I can only really see QPF to 12z Wed, but H7 closes overhead too.

[NorEastermass128]

 

I think the news outlets are doing a fairly good job at conveying the message right now.  With everyone in a "day-off mindset", not sure too many are paying attention.  

 

That said, just minutes away from the 12z EURO...

[CT Rain]

Euro goes boom. Dr. Yes. 

[SouthCoastMA]

It wasn't isolated. I don't want to get back into it but the reports from this area were badly inflated. We weren't really any different than what Bob and Butterfish had along the 495 stripe onto the upper cape. Out by Phil and James and north of Exit 6 or so on Rte 3 particularly by Scott did a lot better. I would have put about $100 on us having 8-10" in that last storm but it was reported as much, much more (not by me).

IMO this will have a greater impact in SE areas for snow. There won't be the same type of tidal issues. But this is going to be a nasty storm in SE areas. I'm not excluding you guys N&W....I don't know enough to say so my saying SE isn't an exclusion...just punting for those that know more.

We barely squeaked out 10" here on 1/3. This storm will definitely be better.

[Bostonseminole]

ok I'm on board.

[NorEastermass128]

Euro goes boom. Dr. Yes. 

Cue the duck boats!  

 

Now we can start talking seriously for HFD-PVD-ORH-BOS metro.  SEMA was always in the game.  

[Johnno]

Furey up to 4-7 for the majority of the state, 7+ far SE and 2-4 for the Cannan Sharon area

[weathafella]

Unanimous agreement at 12Z

[Modfan]

Euro goes boom. Dr. Yes. 

Cumberland RI/Foster-Glocester/East Killingly special?

[CoastalWx]

Euro still isn't a big doozy for I-95, but much better look. 

[CT Rain]

Not quite as juicy as the other models but still good and definitely well NW of 00z. Really sizable jump for the Euro. 

[weathafella]

984 at 48 hours from barely a flat wave 18 hours earlier.

[RI Rob]

Cumberland RI/Foster-Glocester/East Killingly special?

Hahaha don't even say that! I go home for winter break and we get the low end of every storm, now I'm back in Boston.

[CT Rain]

Euro still isn't a big doozy for I-95, but much better look. 

 

Better storm for PHL/BWI/DCA lol

[Typhoon Tip]

Wow, GFS is a moderate snowstorm for E SNE and prob advisory snows back into the CT river valley.

 

And what the hell is with these 10F snow storms this year... man.  12z NAM has like -11C at 2-meters in this deal. 

[CoastalWx]

About 0.5" from Scituate MA to Newport. ).25" out to in between ORE and FIT WSW to NW CT,

[weatherMA]

Here's JR's map some were looking for. Starting to get the message out but still pretty conservative IMO.

 

[dryslot]

Well hello there, Jeff.

 

Right now it's a yawner for you and I (and others).  Fun times ahead for many though it seems.

 

Yawner indeed, Out side the BM tracks don't cut it up here

[weathafella]

I think euro is continuing the slow trend, Amazing how sluggish it has been this season in catching up. Great at picking the potential a week out though.

[N. OF PIKE]

Better storm for PHL/BWI/DCA lol

Why is this , more east trajectory?

[weathafella]

Better storm for PHL/BWI/DCA lol

Not per the maps the qpf queens quack about.

[CT Rain]

Why is this , more east trajectory?

 

Looks like forcing/frontogenesis is maximized to our south near DC. The forcing becomes a bit more muted from PHL-PVD and then ramps back up for SE Mass. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

About 0.5" from Scituate MA to Newport. ).25" out to in between ORE and FIT WSW to NW CT,

I think its safe to assume 15:1 ratios on avg in the banding.