January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[weathafella]

That wave for the weekend looks pretty potent on the euro. 3 arctic waves over the next 5-7 days.

[Damage In Tolland]

Are these 2 snow events for all of SNE or just SE Mass?

[dendrite]

Ohs noes it is the low road!

Maybe we get into the love a little later in the week.  I know you were starting to like the weekend.

I won't say "like", but that's our relaxation between arctic shots. Some models/ens members are interesting, but that's about it right now. I don't want to muck up this thread with that though. Hopefully the Cape gets some good accums.

[weathafella]

No soap on 1/24 per euro today.

[dendrite]

Are these 2 snow events for all of SNE or just SE Mass?

You're outside looking in for decent accums right now.

[Ginx snewx]

That wave for the weekend looks pretty potent on the euro. 3 arctic waves over the next 5-7 days.

Brian said .05 for the first event confined to the South Coast, what kind of bus is it? A circus clown mini?

[Typhoon Tip]

heh, funny Jerry -- I was looking at the guidance since 00z (just operational ... haven't dug deep) and thinking maybe I'd suggest changing the title of this back to the 22-23rd idea, then I see you've beat me to it! 

 

Yeah, the 12z GFS brought that mid week deal back pretty robustly, though not enough to be a major player.  Still, that movement/trend, when considering it was smartly more impacting in the runs a few days ago, could be telling... Also, not to roll eyes, but that NAVGEM model also trended... The 00z UKMET was slightly W of it's previous 00z solution too..

 

Part of pattern recognition is 'behavior' and it seems we are doing a bit better for winter weather enthusiasts relative to these 60 hour lead time model runs that seemed deliberately programmed to deconstruct probabilities... haha.  We'll see... 

[jamesnichols1989]

I like the SREFs on this one, they seem to capture the nw trend for a while before the main models catch onto something.

[weathafella]

I like the SREFs on this one, they seem to capture the nw trend for a while before the main models catch onto something.

Post heavy snow pictures Tuesday ok?

[Damage In Tolland]

You're outside looking in for decent accums right now.

Im not looking for decent accums. I'm looking for a couple inches of snowcover. Ginx said each wave is 2-4 for the region, so I wanted to make sure

[jamesnichols1989]

Post heavy snow pictures Tuesday ok?

 

I will be doing that if the GFS/NAM and SREFs are correct.

[dendrite]

Im not looking for decent accums. I'm looking for a couple inches of snowcover. Ginx said each wave is 2-4 for the region, so I wanted to make sure

Well your 120hr QPF valid 00Z Sat on the euro is < 0.05". Keep praying for the NW trend.

[Damage In Tolland]

Well your 120hr QPF valid 00Z Sat on the euro is < 0.05". Keep praying for the NW trend.

Then where is he getting each event is 2-4 inches for everyone?

[Allsnow]

Then where is he getting each event is 2-4 inches for everyone?

It's not, perhaps a inch on the cape. 2nd event is nada or less the .05

[weathafella]

Then where is he getting each event is 2-4 inches for everyone?

Trend is good for Tuesday and naso good 1/24. Weekend should be more widespread. Keep the faith.....the warm abortionis over!

[jamesnichols1989]

Then where is he getting each event is 2-4 inches for everyone?

 

The EURO isn't the model to rely on in my opinion, if it comes into agreement that's cool, but its not needed to have confidence in a snow event in my opinion, to be honest its been quite bad and the last one to shift northwestward into agreement with the rest of the guidance.  To me I would watch the trends of the model suite over one model.  If the CMC/UKMET/GFS/NAM/NAM hires/SREFs all show something happening for Cape Cod, and the EURO is the only one not showing anything worth mentioning, I just chalk it up to something like its the last one to the table once again.

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh, 12z Euro looks like a less wanted solution through Friday ...  

[Ginx snewx]

Im not looking for decent accums. I'm looking for a couple inches of snowcover. Ginx said each wave is 2-4 for the region, so I wanted to make sure

That was the GFs gridded print out, look it up your self

[Ginx snewx]

It's not, perhaps a inch on the cape. 2nd event is nada or less the .05

GFS! Is, you need to understand Kevin, he tries to stir sh it all the time.

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=Kijd

[Damage In Tolland]

I wasn't stirring anything. There were a few folks talking good snows with each system and a few saying only for the Cape. Just looking for clarification

[CoastalWx]

It's mostly for PYM SE Kev. As of now anyways.

[Damage In Tolland]

Cold and dry for most of us then. Good luck SE Mass posters

[jamesnichols1989]

Do you think the SREFs are too bullish and too far northwest?  Because no other model is as bullish.

[N. OF PIKE]

Lol jerry is reaching on this (Cialis goggles?)

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Lol jerry is reaching on this

We just need to get through these next 7-10 days.

[weathafella]

You'll all, be giving me props. (Or looking for me to whack...lol)

[CoastalWx]

Pretty good euro weenie run overall.

[N. OF PIKE]

We just need to get through these next 7-10 days.

Lol then what

Honestly thou w n stream disturbances they will prob not be picked up well this week.

[Ginx snewx]

I wasn't stirring anything. There were a few folks talking good snows with each system and a few saying only for the Cape. Just looking for clarification

ok maybe you should have said Ginx said GFS shows 2- 4. Just read All Snows response.

[Ginx snewx]

It's mostly for PYM SE Kev. As of now anyways.

on the Euro, we need to be specific at all times with him