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January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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FRWEATHA

FRWEATHA

Posted
Posted

Been a lurker here for a few years.  Thought I would create an account to give some obs for the upcoming event.  Just got back from the Lexington area this AM from a work trip.  Was nice to see some snow otg.  Hope to see some on s.coast tomorrow nite.  Thanks to all those who do the great analysis for us non-mets who are too busy to try to figure out wx maps, but have the same interest in wx.

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NorEastermass128

NorEastermass128

Posted
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Looks like this won't be one of those CJs where the heavy snows don't progress nw of thr oe bands....like Jan 2-3.

 

Nice.

I'd go 3-6" right now for us.  Hedge toward the lower amounts now too.  If the EURO trends NW at 12z, look out!  

 

Hopefully my little Hyundai can handle snow covered Rt. 93N tomorrow night after the first day of classes.

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Zeus

Zeus

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There is isn't a shred of guidance left that backs up BOX's current snowfall forecast

 

That was issued at 4:05 AM, well before the guidance shifted unanimously in the direction of a more substantial hit.

 

BOX will often temper their current thinking on a given forecast with the previous package, which helps create consistency from package to package. This concept appears lost on many.

 

Anyhow, I have no doubt in my mind that a midday or -- at the very latest -- afternoon update from BOX will have watches if not warning for much of the forecast area and a substantially adjusted accumulation forecast map.

 

Have patience.

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

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There is isn't a shred of guidance left that backs up BOX's current snowfall forecast

Right, but this is a preemptive approach to maintain some small semblance of continuity should the EURO hold serve, and the American suite cave tonight.

 

I don't expect that, but it wouldn't be the first time.

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leesun

leesun

Posted
Posted

That was issued at 4:05 AM, well before the guidance shifted unanimously in the direction of a more substantial hit.

 

BOX will often temper their current thinking on a given forecast with the previous package, which helps create consistency from package to package. This concept appears lost on many.

 

Anyhow, I have no doubt in my mind that a midday or -- at the very latest -- afternoon update from BOX will have watches if not warning for much of the forecast area and a substantially adjusted accumulation forecast map.

 

Have patience.

I understand all of what you say.  My problem with it is the general public goes and checks the website now and say-"OK, not too bad, I can keep my plans for tomorrow"

 

Why do they have to wait for the afternoon package---isn't it more important to get the word out ASAP

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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Right, but this is a preemptive approach to maintain some small semblance of continuity should the EURO hold serve, and the American suite cave tonight.

I don't expect that, but it wouldn't be the first time.

The euro has been too little too late in every one of these events this year. It will come back nw this run and increase the snow.

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