Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Zeus

Zeus

Posted
Posted

Box going pretty conservative at the moment

 

I think they're just hedging their current package with a consistency factor. It's difficult to go from a forecast calling for negligible precip to widespread WSW's. Midday they may nudge, but certainly by afternoon IF the GFS and Euro continue the trend or even just hold serve,

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
Posted

The soundings in this system look better than the Jan 2-3 system....the snowgrowth layer goes from the surface to about 600mb.

 

Absolutely Will.   I think across the board this is a better looking system right now.   I've liked the inflow better/OE potential since first looking at it for a couple of reasons and it just keeps getting better and better. 

 

Barring a change I think this is a much more significant hit for most of Plymouth and Bristol County vs the more isolated earlier event.  Cape too although depending on wind direction we may get a shaft for a few hours on the OE.

 

Bottom line I think this one buries most of my hydrants :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
Posted

I like where I sit for this. I like where Phil, James, and messenger sit even better.

 

right at this moment I think the best is maybe just  NW Of me....between me and CoastalWx despite the models.  There should be some pretty epic OE influenced bands coming into Plymouth County and working SW trying to reach Bob.

 

On the flip side we're not going to have a wind pegging so much out of the east which should keep the CF at bay....we'll see if this creeps close enough to shift that though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

watch your backdoor today

LATEST MODELS INDICATE AN INCREASE IN QPF AND THE AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...HAVE INCREASED POPS
SOMEWHAT FOR SNOW SHOWERS. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO CHANCE ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES AND EXTENDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SOUTHWARD
TO NORTHERN CT AND NORTHERN RI

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Zeus

Zeus

Posted
Posted

The RGEM has performed better than the NAM overall. Only out to hr 36 though.

 

Sorry, that was tongue-in-cheek... I am fond of a comprehensive suite, legendary slampigs of winter such as the JMA notwithstanding.

 

Hell, even the Canadian is invited to this group action.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Sorry, that was tongue-in-cheek... I am fond of a comprehensive suite, legendary slampigs of winter such as the JMA notwithstanding.

 

Hell, even the Canadian is invited to this group action.

 

LOL I gotcha. FWIW it's a pretty sweet run for I-95 corridor, but I think most would be happy given how the mid levels look.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jamesnichols1989

jamesnichols1989

Posted
Posted

big banding signal as 700mb circulation closes off to our east leads to strong banding potential, storm deepens to 972mb near Nova Scotia, I think it strengthens much more rapidly as is the case with many strong extra-tropical cyclones, this one will be deeper than modeled.  So instead of pressure falls near 992mb for ACK its like 984mb.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...