January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[Damage In Tolland]

I think a lot of areas will have wind whipped fluff and temps in the low teens or lower. I think ORH-BDL east does ok.

I think warning snows get back to CT/MASS/NY border.. Big fronto signal..and fluff factor. 

[weathafella]

I'm certainly liking the sweeping trend of the last 12-18 hours... if it continues, hey, I'm not mad at that.

Your posting in the thread is a positive sign always.

[ineedsnow]

agree nam is looking great so far

I think warning snows get back to CT/MASS/NY border.. Big fronto signal..and fluff factor. 

[CoastalWx]

Your posting in the thread is a positive sign always.

Zeus is the God of Dendrites.

[Zeus]

Your posting in the thread is a positive sign always.

 

I'm not known to bite often when there's nothing into which I can sink my teeth.

 

Temps in the teens, strong chance of good ratios, OES involvement, and a storm trending closer and closer run by run as we approach it... this is a strong formula.

[CoastalWx]

Do we look at BL wind direction? 925?

BL winds would favor extreme e pym county and then the cape, not so much s shore (i think) perhaps early in event when winds are more ne/nne there

Waitin on box map

Surface winds to 950mb. Soundings etc. I see a brief CF near here and then shift SE.

[HoarfrostHubb]

CT, RI looking better I think...but, Tis the NAM

[Zeus]

CT, RI looking better I think...but, Tis the NAM

 

People are going to like this one anyhow.

 

And even though it IS the NAM, you want the trend to be consistent across the board.

[ineedsnow]

nam is going to make alot of people happy lets see what the gfs says

[HoarfrostHubb]

People are going to like this one anyhow.

And even though it IS the NAM, you want the trend to be consistent across the board.

Yup. If we can get some of the more reliable models to tick west a bit, more smiles.

I just have seen the NAM be wacky this season

[N. OF PIKE]

Surface winds to 950mb. Soundings etc. I see a brief CF near here and then shift SE.

Surface winds seems to have the n and nne/ne convergence closest to u around 10 pm then this shifts to areas further se of u . Looks like messenger would be primed from midnite to 7 am. But it looks to me like trajectory of OE is more due NNE and further confined to GHG to esp Se pym area , esp when comparing to 1/3 storm

Is this accurate as currently modeled? Or off rocker

[weathafella]

Looks like a DC-BOS snowstorm in the nam.

[CoastalWx]

DC nailed on the NAM

[weathafella]

Wow what a crusher!

[N. OF PIKE]

7H VV's crushing good deal of nj just kissing NYC and over LI/LI sound at 0z tmrw

[Bostonseminole]

2-4" trough 45hrs for my area on the NAM.. not bad was not expecting anything a few days ago.

[SnowMan]

Wow what a crusher!

Those of us in NH are looking at 2-4?  Possibly more?

[N. OF PIKE]

This run is def better for CT, Ginxy crush job on nam

Closes off 7h @12z

[Damage In Tolland]

Pretty big hit

[HoarfrostHubb]

Nice tilt. Longer snows for RI?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Intense tilt....this is what we need!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

But of course.....the worst guidance, even though theres pretty good agreement with the rest.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Hoping the GFS sends love

[CoastalWx]

Surface winds seems to have the n and nne/ne convergence closest to u around 10 pm then this shifts to areas further se of u . Looks like messenger would be primed from midnite to 7 am. But it looks to me like trajectory of OE is more due NNE and further confined to GHG to esp Se pym area , esp when comparing to 1/3 storm

Is this accurate as currently modeled? Or off rocker

The bands will get pushed west if you have an easterly 950 component. When it's cold like this, I think you may have less banding and perhaps more of an enhancement in spots but there is always at least one or two bands.

[Bostonseminole]

Pretty big hit

 

nice hit for me, nothing big.. 5-7" SE MA does well

[CoastalWx]

That's a big hit for many

[Ginx snewx]

at CHH Nam has 50 knots at 950 MB out of the NE, OES city

[N. OF PIKE]

Toss the 0z nam, rejoice the 12z lol

Has great VV's for ginxy from like 1z to 10z

[weathafella]

Nam comes in at 0.5+ BOS-PVD-NYC.

[HoarfrostHubb]

at CHH Nam has 50 knots at 950 MB out of the NE, OES city

Blizzard there/ACK?