January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[Damage In Tolland]

mike. Get a new phone.

 

 

Or stop typing drunk

[toronto blizzard]

Don't think anyone should be too concerned about the Euro or Euro ens. Tough year for that model..It's coming

Lol

[Damage In Tolland]

Lol

How much for Toronto

[toronto blizzard]

How much for Toronto

Zilch. This type of pattern sucks for here big time.

[moneypitmike]

dom'r wirru mom.  aleet aleet fot u!  2=4

 

ha

[CoastalWx]

Hopefully this does not tick SE from the current track.

[Ginx snewx]

Box will need to adjust with WSW in the OKX area next to their SRI zone

[CoastalWx]

If the GFS is right, someone is getting dumped fro srn/ern  CT to ern MA in a deformation band. 

[Ginx snewx]

Hopefully this does not tick SE from the current track.

with such a stout GEFS look would have to be a big tick. The models have extensively expanded the areal precipitation coverage

[mahk_webstah]

2 things:

 

one is off-topic.  that is a nice area of snow snowers in ny.  is that coming across the mountains?

 

the second is about the gfs.  how often is it overamped?  i don't think that happens too often?  when do we get srefs.  oh and what the hell is the cras?  apparently it is way amped.

[CoastalWx]

NAM has this too only a bit SE of the GFS. Classic signal.

[Brian5671]

Upton going for 3-7 here.  Wow.  What a change from a couple of days ago.  Of course, JB all in for blizzard conditions tomorrow night for coastal areas from DE to MA

[N. OF PIKE]

Man, any east tick and alot of us get less than advisory sans se mass/ cape.

This has such good "momentum" going that would stink. I wonder how far nw banding sets up.

[CoastalWx]

Man, any east tick and alot of us get less than advisory sans se mass/ cape.

This has such good "momentum" going that would stink. I wonder how far nw banding sets up.

 

Well many times we see that correction after a big jump NW. Not saying it will...but it has happened.  Hopefully trends stay put or inch NW today.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Great read from last night. Nice event for many

Interesting soapbox standing...

This has been such a funky model year wrt sniffing things out. I wish Phil would offer his insight on this.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Well many times we see that correction after a big jump NW. Not saying it will...but it has happened. Hopefully trends stay put or inch NW today.

I don't see this as a big interior threat. Classic SE MA, RI a la 1970s and 80s

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

I don't see this as a big interior threat. Classic SE MA, RI a la 1970s and 80s

Yup.... this thing does show a very nice tilt, however, as it slides ene which tends to favor great banding on the extreme nw side.

[dendrite]

SREF mean is a bit SE this run.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Expected, they were way too amped to begin with.

[weathafella]

I like where I sit for this. I like where Phil, James, and messenger sit even better.

[N. OF PIKE]

GHG to PYM to cape special is where my money is at this point.

Btv wrf has .25 from 10 m s of HFD to 5 miles s of Orh then sorts over to BVY

.5 e pym county and parts of cape

[HoarfrostHubb]

I like where I sit for this. I like where Phil, James, and messenger sit even better.

Still looking like big winds there?

[weathafella]

Still looking like big winds there?

I think a lot of areas will have wind whipped fluff and temps in the low teens or lower. I think ORH-BDL east does ok.

[N. OF PIKE]

I like where I sit for this. I like where Phil, James, and messenger sit even better.

Much less of a CF being modeled then post new years blizzard and messenger /cape wont have to deal w 32f isotherm

Ratios should be nice for GHG , wonder where best ocean enhancement component is . What winds do we look at for OES trajectory

[CarverWX]

Just catching up on this. Looks good down this way. Would be nice to see another tick NW today to make sure this is a lock.

[weathafella]

Much less of a CF being modeled and messenger /cape wont have to deal w 32f isotherm

Ratios should be nice for GHG , wonder where best ocean enhancement component is . What winds do we look at for OES trajectory

There will be surprises I'm sure when we add oes to the mix. South shore?

[N. OF PIKE]

Do we look at BL wind direction? 925?

BL winds would favor extreme e pym county and then the cape, not so much s shore (i think) perhaps early in event when winds are more ne/nne there

Waitin on box map

[weathafella]

Yeah I have no idea how to forecast oes.

[weathafella]

Nam may be quite the solution...

[Zeus]

Nam may be quite the solution...

 

I'm certainly liking the sweeping trend of the last 12-18 hours... if it continues, hey, I'm not mad at that.